WSW motion continues @ 8 PM

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Florida_TSR

WSW motion continues @ 8 PM

#1 Postby Florida_TSR » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:01 pm

Lat down to 24.7. The risk continues to move westward. I expect the NHC to move west again @ 11 PM.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

Re: WSW motion continues @ 8 PM

#2 Postby hicksta » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:08 pm

Florida_TSR wrote:Lat down to 24.7. The risk continues to move westward. I expect the NHC to move west again @ 11 PM.


Doubt it
0 likes   
Top
logybogy

#3 Postby logybogy » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:12 pm

I'm betting the 11PM NHC Forecast Track will be very close to New Orleans with the latest model shift and the need to get the New Orleans metros "attention" that there is a very serious threat here..
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#4 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:14 pm

I think it'll be very close to the Mouth of the MS River and the LA/MS border. Then if the models continue, over NO in the morning.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Florida_TSR

#5 Postby Florida_TSR » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:18 pm

The NHC has been too far north since it starting dropping at 26 N. The high pressure to the east is stronger than they have forecasted and the storm keeps moving on a WSW motion. The longer it continues falling in latitude the higher the risk moves west. When the storm finally shifts west it will have to gain the latitude lost over the prior 24 hours. On the current forecast track they have the storm at 24.9 @ 5 AM on SAT. It continues to move WSW. They have to move the track west again as it is not going to be @24.9 tomorrow morning.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#6 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:33 pm

wow it's really startint to shoot more SW over the past 30 minutes...the NHC must be going bonkers right now!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
canegrl04
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2486
Joined: Thu Aug 26, 2004 5:37 pm
Location: Texas

#7 Postby canegrl04 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:38 pm

Its hair pulling time :coaster:
0 likes   
Top
Opal storm

#8 Postby Opal storm » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:39 pm

boca_chris wrote:wow it's really startint to shoot more SW over the past 30 minutes...the NHC must be going bonkers right now!

Just saw a slight jog back to the SW on TWC.I wonder how much longer it will go SW and I wonder how in the world the NHC didn't see this coming.
0 likes   
Top
raynpa
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 105
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 7:52 am

#9 Postby raynpa » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:42 pm

If Katrina keeps this up she will end up in the carribean sea.
0 likes   
Top
spinfan4eva
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 295
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2005 1:27 am
Location: Jacksonville, Florida
Contact:
Contact spinfan4eva

#10 Postby spinfan4eva » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:44 pm

That trough is only going to dig down so far, If it continues wswward and misses it altogether, I suspect it could either meander out there for a while until something finally picks it up or be a western gulf threat
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#11 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:44 pm

If Katrina keeps this up she will end up in the carribean sea.


Katrina to the Yucatan she goes....
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#12 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:00 pm

Storm is fully 260* and still moving south of west.

Dry Tortuga's taking east core winds...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
johngaltfla
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2072
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 9:17 pm
Location: Sarasota County, FL
Contact:
Contact johngaltfla

#13 Postby johngaltfla » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:12 pm

:notworthy:

I give up. I think I'll wait to see what she'll do when/if/ever the low drops down and scoops it north.

:eek:
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10385
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#14 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:39 pm

Estimate 250* average since 5pm position.

Katrina even more WSW now.


Obvious eye structure improvement. Estimate windspeed at least 105mph now...
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 164 guests