the trough is still very strong. the carib low will be

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
rainstorm

the trough is still very strong. the carib low will be

#1 Postby rainstorm » Sat Jun 14, 2003 9:00 pm

slow to develop. as i was saying in chat earlier, i dont see any rapid development. if anything, the trough is gaining strength.
0 likes   
Top
rainstorm

#2 Postby rainstorm » Sat Jun 14, 2003 9:02 pm

i do think whatever develops will head toward fla eventually
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#3 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Jun 14, 2003 9:22 pm

It's not going to a rapid development, but likely we will have a tropical depression in the next 12 hours...

What I don't like ATT, are the elongated nature of the overall cloud structure and maybe some shear from the west ... It won't be a rapid process but a gradual and steady one ...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mf_dolphin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 17758
Age: 68
Joined: Tue Oct 08, 2002 2:05 pm
Location: St Petersburg, FL
Contact:
Contact mf_dolphin

#4 Postby mf_dolphin » Sat Jun 14, 2003 9:30 pm

From the water vapor loop it looks like the dry air to the north is letting up a bit. May have a good environment as it gets further north.
0 likes   
Top
rainstorm

#5 Postby rainstorm » Sat Jun 14, 2003 10:25 pm

wait till morning. see what it looks like then
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Stormsfury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10549
Age: 53
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
Location: Summerville, SC

#6 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Jun 14, 2003 11:50 pm

The dry air may actually be attributed to neighboring Mexico ... bad burritos? ... Anyway, someone else posted (I think it was MWatkins) that Caribbean systems have a tendency to do this ... fade some during its incipient stage and when everything begins to come together ... look out ...

SF
0 likes   
Top
ColdFront77

#7 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Jun 15, 2003 12:46 am

The convection in the Caribbean developed rapidly yesterday, that in itself got us very interested in this system.

We shall see what happens overnight and tomorrow. :)
0 likes   
Top
Anonymous

#8 Postby Anonymous » Sun Jun 15, 2003 1:16 am

Convection is now firing near the mid level center. Development will be slow. But you also have to remember something...the same trough that will force what will likely be TS Bill may help ventilate the system as it moves into the GOM.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot], RomP, Stormybajan and 52 guests