Flare Up in SE Bahamas

[TropicalBill]

Anyone concerned about the flareup of thunderstorms in the southeastern Bahamas?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[HURAKAN]

It seems to be part of the tail of Ophelia.

[krysof]

it looks like the driest air is pushing southwest

[southerngreen]

just looking at that! the infrared loop looks pretty impressive - nothing from the vet mets yet?

looks like a lot of energy at 75n & 22w

is this what Joe B. is talking about???

"A tropical wave along 69 west, south of 20 north, is interacting with an upper-level low located north of Hispaniola. This upper-level low should remain in place for the next couple of days, while the wave moves further west. This wave will therefore have too much shear over it for organization through the weekend."
http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurric ... 0&site=ATL

[Praxus]

Looks interesting - check out the quick flareup on this loop
(select last 12 images or more)

http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/satellite ... es=1&clf=1

[southerngreen]

in the last frame it looks like some kind of creature with a big red eye and horns - i am not liking this at all.

[jasons2k]

in the last frame it looks like some kind of creature with a big red eye and horns - i am not liking this at all.

Does it have an eye with a Pentagram in it??

J/K.....I see the resemnblance too.....

[Thunder44]

I believe it's being caused by divergent flow alot there. Like Katrina did when she was just east of Florida. I don't believe anything is going to develop here.

[southerngreen]

in the last frame it looks like some kind of creature with a big red eye and horns - i am not liking this at all.

Does it have an eye with a Pentagram in it??

J/K.....I see the resemnblance too.....

OK, I am laughing, but nervously.

[TropicalBill]

I'm not seeing the shear that Joe B. referred to, but that localized concentration of storms (ak/a red eye) has gained my attention.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Deja Vu....we've had 2 storms in a row develop near the SE Bahamas.
It wouldn't surprise me if this developed....hopefully it won't develop,
but it seems like storms that reach the SE Bahamas seem to
get going this year.

[gpickett00]

that would be awesome if that thing developed

[gatorcane]

it's nothing. This typically happens with the "tails" of hurricanes.

[spinfan4eva]

I think that is an upper low as can be seen at the beginning of this loop.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[MiamiensisWx]

The wave near the Bahamas and just to the north-northwest of Haiti (in Hispaniola) appears to be separating itself from Ophelia. There is now an apparently increasing gap between the wave and Ophelia. Here is the infra-red image.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg

The separation appears evident on visible imagery as well.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/VIS/20.jpg

Who else is noticing this as well?

[TropicalBill]

I'm with you CapeVerdeWave. Not only is the Bahamas flareup looking more impressive to me, but the ULL approaching the southern Antilles is beginning to look a tad more serious.

[MiamiensisWx]

I'm with you CapeVerdeWave. Not only is the Bahamas flareup looking more impressive to me, but the ULL approaching the southern Antilles is beginning to look a tad more serious.

We have had a lot of systems form this year close to the U.S. For example, Franklin and Katrina formed in the Bahamas. Anything that is close (such as this wave near the southeastern Bahamas) needs to be watched. The wave near northeastern South America and the southeastern Caribbean may prove interesting as well. Looks fairly good on infra-red and visible imagery, at least for now. The Bahamas system also looks somewhat interesting. However, it all depends on how shear will be (such as from the ULL to the west) that will determine if the Bahamas wave will persist.

[gatorcane]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Let me sum up the "potential" in the Atlantic right now as succinctly as possible:

Antilles Wave : nothing will develop (see that thread for my reason)
Bahamas Wave: nothing will develop (see this thread for my reason)

[wxwatcher91]

it's nothing. This typically happens with the "tails" of hurricanes.

yes. remember Katrina and the huge area of convection that formed behind her?

[jrod]

It is in association with an upper level low(ULL) and Ophelia. For a chance of development it will have to persit for a few more days and wait for Ophelia to get out of the picture.