How strong will Rita get before landfall?

Florida_TSR · #1 Postby **Florida_TSR** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:29 pm

What do you think?

#2 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:43 pm

Strong CAT 4 or CAT 5

Florida_TSR · #3 Postby **Florida_TSR** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:49 pm

I am with you. This thing will get strong - at or very near CAT 5.

#4 Postby **Buck** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:56 pm

Cat 4

GalvestonDuck · #5 Postby **GalvestonDuck** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 3:06 pm

Freaking bloody heck if you think I'm gonna vote on this one!!!

:eek:

scostorms · #6 Postby **scostorms** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 3:07 pm

Cat 4/5

Scorpion · #7 Postby **Scorpion** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 3:09 pm

145 kt.

ChaserUK · #8 Postby **ChaserUK** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 3:12 pm

Cat 4/5 too.

#9 Postby **cjrciadt** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 3:13 pm

Scorpion wrote:145 kt.

I will be a little conservative and say 955mb/135mph Cat 4 that will be her peak.

Mac · #10 Postby **Mac** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 3:17 pm

Peak intensity of 160 mph. Landfall at 135 to 140 mph. Tis the season.

Terrell · #11 Postby **Terrell** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 3:18 pm

Strong 3/weak 4, I think, but I could be wrong.

Florida_TSR · #12 Postby **Florida_TSR** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 3:23 pm

66% of the storm2k members think CAT 4 or higher. I agree. Conditions are too similiar to Katrina. How many Katrina comparisions are we in for in the coming days by the media? :roll:

Mac · #13 Postby **Mac** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 3:28 pm

Florida_TSR wrote:66% of the storm2k members think CAT 4 or higher. I agree. Conditions are too similiar to Katrina. How many Katrina comparisions are we in for in the coming days by the media?

Agreed. She seems to have just about everything going in her favor--extremely warm SSTs, upper level anticyclone supposed to sit in above her, low shear. About the only thing she doesn't have going for her is a little bit of dry air. But, quite frankly, I think she has enough else going for her that the relatively small amount of dry air she'll be dealing with can be worked out. Truth be told, I think she has even more going for her than Katrina did. Only interaction with land is going to slow her down, which is why I believe she'll be 135 to 140 at landfall. But if she's moving along at a good clip--say, 12 to 15 mph--she could very well make landfall higher than that.

canegrl04 · #14 Postby **canegrl04** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 3:31 pm

strong cat 4/cat 5 like I predicted with Katrina. Theres no telling how big a monster she could get,but realistically I don't see a 175mph plus cane with Rita

gilbert88 · #15 Postby **gilbert88** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:22 pm

Maxes at Cat. 5

Landfall as Cat. 4

CharleySurvivor · #16 Postby **CharleySurvivor** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 4:50 pm

Strong 3... the water is hot, some places is 90 degrees!

NastyCat4 · #17 Postby **NastyCat4** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 6:26 pm

890---I am very nervous about this one. :eek:

A strong Cat 5 in the making, unfortunately.

jopatura · #18 Postby **jopatura** » Tue Sep 20, 2005 6:28 pm

Even if it doesn't get as strong as a strong 4/Cat 5, it's supposed to hit at high tide. So storm surge damage is going to be impressive and not in the good way.

Mac · #19 Postby **Mac** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:09 pm

Mac wrote:Peak intensity of 160 mph. Landfall at 135 to 140 mph. Tis the season.

Now who would have thought I would have been too conservative with this prediction??? :eek:

#20 Postby **cjrciadt** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:10 pm

cjrciadt wrote:
Scorpion wrote:145 kt.
I will be a little conservative and say 955mb/135mph Cat 4 that will be her peak.

Boy I look stupid more like 160 for her peak in the GOM, not landfall.

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