Another TD in 48 hours??

cyclone_watcher · #1 Postby **cyclone_watcher** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:49 pm

GFS and MM5FSU are forecasting a TD forming in 48 hours SE of the Cape Verde Islands.

See

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/gfs/fcst/archive/05092112/79.html

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/gfs/fcst/archive/05092112/79.html

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2005092112&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/mm5fsutc2.cgi?time=2005092112&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

EFrancis · #2 Postby **EFrancis** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:57 pm

Exactly what we need right now. :roll:

Cmon, Mother Nature, give the states a BREAK

CharleySurvivor · #3 Postby **CharleySurvivor** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:01 pm

nequad · #4 Postby **nequad** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:40 pm

Don't count on it.

Besides...any storm that forms out there this time of year aint likey to hit land.

cyclone_watcher · #5 Postby **cyclone_watcher** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 4:51 am

I really hope that if they do develop they will do like Philippe.

caribepr · #6 Postby **caribepr** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:07 am

nequad wrote:Don't count on it.

Besides...any storm that forms out there this time of year aint likey to hit land.

We count on anything possible until it's over. By "ain't likely to hit land" would you be referring only to the US coasts? As there is a lot of "land" between Cape Verde and the CONUS which has been hit many times at this time of year and quite a lot later in the season.

johngaltfla · #7 Postby **johngaltfla** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:10 am

nequad wrote:Don't count on it.

Besides...any storm that forms out there this time of year aint likey to hit land.

TROPICAL STORM EMILY DISCUSSION NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2005

"SO FAR...THE 2005 HURRICANE SEASON SEEMS
TO HAVE LITTLE INTEREST IN CLIMATOLOGY."

Patrick99 · #8 Postby **Patrick99** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:57 am

SouthEAST of the Cape Verde islands? I wouldn't even bet on such a storm making it to the lesser Antilles, much less the US.

Frank2 · #9 Postby **Frank2** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 7:11 am

If you run this loop all the way through it shows that future system starting to recurve into the trough left by Phillipe (also note that according to this model, the western portion of the subtropical high all but dissipates towards the end of the forecast period):

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

let's hope that the end of the season is in sight...

Frank

caribepr · #10 Postby **caribepr** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 7:44 am

Patrick99 wrote:SouthEAST of the Cape Verde islands? I wouldn't even bet on such a storm making it to the lesser Antilles, much less the US.

Typos are our friends!!

Another TD in 48 hours??

Another TD in 48 hours??

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