Hate to think it, but......

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

Hate to think it, but......

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:54 am

it looks like Rita has her eye on Louisiana. Check the weakness just to her north and the extremely dry surge to the west and NW:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/WV/20.jpg
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#2 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:57 am

An even better image:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/WV/20.jpg
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Wpwxguy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 427
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:10 pm
Location: Southeast Louisiana
Contact:
Contact Wpwxguy

#3 Postby Wpwxguy » Thu Sep 22, 2005 11:08 am

I tend to agree. Now if I am wrong and I so hope that I am, I will have my crow fried please. I think she is Louisiana bound, central Louisiana in my opinion. Hate to disagree with the NHC, they have been great this season, however I feel they will shift a little more east with time. Latest GFS has Rita approaching the LA coast near the TX/LA line, but I think with the current movement that things may change a little on the next run. Just my two cents........Hope I'm wrong, but if I lived anywhere from Galveston to N.O. I would certainly keep a close eye out.
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#4 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 22, 2005 11:17 am

Yes... I'm noticing that. :eek: :cry:
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11166
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

#5 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Sep 22, 2005 11:23 am

ive always said lousiana bound......i was hoping i would be wrong this time
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JQ Public
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4488
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 1:17 am
Location: Cary, NC

#6 Postby JQ Public » Thu Sep 22, 2005 11:24 am

I knew this was gonna happen. Our local met who has been using a model (Weatherscope) in conjunction with the NCSU meteorological dept said that it was always further north of the NWS predictions. It did move west to get closer to the nws predictions in the coming days but has not had its eye off on Louisiana. I distinctly remember this model predicting with incredible accuracy the hurricane landfall of several NC hurricanes of the recent past.
0 likes   
Top
Rainband

#7 Postby Rainband » Thu Sep 22, 2005 11:35 am

Local Met Wanye shadock said looks to be moving NW now :eek:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#8 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:02 pm

Rainband wrote:Local Met Wanye shadock said looks to be moving NW now :eek:


Sad for Louisiana, but glad for Texas. No matter what, someone is going to be in a world of hurt.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
digitaldahling
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 85
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:45 pm
Location: Mobile, AL

#9 Postby digitaldahling » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:06 pm

"Every eight hours Rita is moving 10 miles east"


That's according to weather on Fox.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SoupBone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3111
Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 5:24 pm

#10 Postby SoupBone » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:06 pm

Last frame of the WV Loop she seems to have made a good wobble west...I hope it's not just a wobble...be gone Rita...we don't need ya... :D :eek: :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
melhow
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 362
Joined: Sat Sep 04, 2004 4:00 pm
Location: Safety Harbor, FL

#11 Postby melhow » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:22 pm

digitaldahling wrote:
"Every eight hours Rita is moving 10 miles east"


That's according to weather on Fox.


just sayin...FOX NEWS has one of their dopey anchors from Fox & Friends do the weather in the morning, not even a met. I have the feeling that as far as forecasting and projected movement of weather goes, FOX NEWS on-air people read the accuweather provided teleprompter (correct me if they obtain weather from another source then accuweather), so I would take a FOX NEWS on-air personality's opinion on Rita's movement with a grain of salt. Now, as far as FOX's coverage of debris whizzing by Geraldo's head and Shep Smith's reporting on devastation after the fact goes, well, they rock...
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot], SconnieCane and 104 guests