Hurricane season may have a few blasts left

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iceangel
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Hurricane season may have a few blasts left

#1 Postby iceangel » Sun Sep 25, 2005 11:44 pm

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#2 Postby THead » Mon Sep 26, 2005 12:21 am

Wow, straight from Max himself:

"We're still in the peak of the season here, that goes for another month or so. (It) makes me think that not only will we have more storms and hurricanes, but we could have another major hurricane or two," said Max Mayfield, director of the U.S. National Hurricane Center, on CBS' "Face the Nation" on Sunday.
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#3 Postby sma10 » Mon Sep 26, 2005 12:23 am

Well there is one thing we can look forward to: if we don't have another named storm within the next 2 or 3 days, someone is bound to post another "Why has the season turned so dead" threads.
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#4 Postby Deb321 » Mon Sep 26, 2005 12:35 am

THead wrote:Wow, straight from Max himself:

"We're still in the peak of the season here, that goes for another month or so. (It) makes me think that not only will we have more storms and hurricanes, but we could have another major hurricane or two," said Max Mayfield, director of the U.S. National Hurricane Center, on CBS' "Face the Nation" on Sunday.


Wow scarey thought but we do still have at least six weeks left. I for one hope no other canes hit the US, I think we have had enough. Unfortunately you are probably correct and we will have several more storms and at least one more major cane. I am holding my breath till this season is over. :eek:
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#5 Postby Deb321 » Mon Sep 26, 2005 12:36 am

sma10 wrote:Well there is one thing we can look forward to: if we don't have another named storm within the next 2 or 3 days, someone is bound to post another "Why has the season turned so dead" threads.


Yeah and as soon as they say that everything will break loose !!!
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#6 Postby senorpepr » Mon Sep 26, 2005 12:40 am

Check out this in the Tropical Analysis Forum:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 86#1076986
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#7 Postby inotherwords » Mon Sep 26, 2005 12:33 pm

Great analysis, senorpepr!
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#8 Postby Anonymous » Mon Sep 26, 2005 12:35 pm

My forecast:
20/11/7

Current Status:
17/9/5
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#9 Postby NastyCat4 » Mon Sep 26, 2005 2:14 pm

No Fraternity Row---we may get as far as Wilma, but everybody is assuming that the level of intensity that has gone on for 4 1/2 months will continue--this just isn't going to happen. It would be a statistical and scientific long shot-- 3-4 more storms will put the icing on a very active cake, and let's stop the doom and gloom senarios. Have people not learned that the "numbers" mean nothing anymore? We've had a catastrophic season, especially for our friends in the Gulf.
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#10 Postby gilbert88 » Mon Sep 26, 2005 2:17 pm

So you think Mr. Mayfield is exaggerating?
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#11 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Sep 26, 2005 2:18 pm

NastyCat4 wrote:No Fraternity Row---we may get as far as Wilma, but everybody is assuming that the level of intensity that has gone on for 4 1/2 months will continue--this just isn't going to happen. It would be a statistical and scientific long shot-- 3-4 more storms will put the icing on a very active cake, and let's stop the doom and gloom senarios. Have people not learned that the "numbers" mean nothing anymore? We've had a catastrophic season, especially for our friends in the Gulf.


No one is making any doom and gloom scenarios.

No offense but last month when someone I know downplayed "doom and gloom" scenarios, Katrina and Rita happened. :roll:

So there is nothing wrong with forecasts calling for very intense hurricanes
during October especially with MJO and untouched carribean ssts and intense energy in carribean oceans.
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#12 Postby HurryKane » Mon Sep 26, 2005 2:25 pm

~Floydbuster wrote:My forecast:
20/11/7

Current Status:
17/9/5


Stupid question: does anyone have the old prediction thread bookmarked? I haven't been able to find it with a search and I can't remember what I predicted. It was the #/#/# thread.
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feederband
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#13 Postby feederband » Mon Sep 26, 2005 2:29 pm

1-Cycloneye=12/7/3
2-Sunny=15/9/5
3-Brent=13/8/4
4-Scorpion=14/9/5
5-x-y-no=13/8/4
6-vbhoutex=14/9/5
7-Andrew92=13/7/3
8-StormChasr=11/5/2
9-Skywatch_NC=13/10/4
10-NWIASpotter=13/9/3
11-Stephanie=14/7/3
12-Jekyhe32210=16/10/5
13-Matt-Hurricanewatcher=15/9/5
14-HURAKAN=12/7/3
15-feederband=16/10/4
16-hurricanefloyd5=15/9/5
17-pojo=13/7/4
18-Windtalker=15/8/3
19-therock1811=14/7/4
20-Rainband= 16/9/6
21-mf_dolphin=15/8/5
22-YankeeGirl=14/9/4
23-yoda=15/8/4
24-Cookiely=16/10/5
25-KatDaddy=15/9/4
26-Krysof=14/7/3
27-Hurricanehink=13/9/3
28-Lindaloo=12/7/2
29=TampaFl=14/6/4
30-skywarn=15/8/4
31-mobilebay=13/8/4
32-KWT=13/7/4
33-Josephine96=15/8/5
34-The Cycloman PR=16/9/5
35-tropicalweatherwatcher=16/9/6
36-ColdFront77=13/8/4
37-MSRobi911=12/9/4
38-southerngale=14/8/3
39-chris_fit=9/5/3
40-boca=14/8/3
41-MGC=11/7/3
42-Stormsfury=12/7/3
43-StOrmsPr=14/8/4
44-Vortex=14/7/4
45-senorpepr=16/9/5
46-recmod=14/8/5
47-florida23=15/6/4
48-Wnghs2007=17/10/5
49-BreinLa=11/7/2
50-wx247=12/8/3
51-kamqercam=14/8/4
52-rainstorm=12/7/3
53-HurricaneBill=12/6/3
54-lsu2001=13/8/6
55-Ixolib=15/10/3
56-weatherwindow=15/9/5
57-Floydbuster=14/8/5
58-vacanechaser=14/8/4
59-JtSmarts=14/9/3
60-zoeyann=12/7/2
61-ChiTownMC=12/6/4
62- Wpwxguy= 13/7/4
63- BayouVenteux=12/8/4
64-hookemfins=14/8/3
65-Appalachian=12/8/5
66-jdray=14/8/5
67-casper=14/9/4
68-P.K.=15/8/4
69-canegrl04=12/8/4
70=TexasStooge=15/7/4
71=James=15/8/4
72=coriolis=14/10/4
73=george_r_1961=16/10/5
74=cyclonaut=13/8/4
75=kevin=10/6/3
76=msbee=11/6/3
77=King-6=14/8/5
78=tomboudreau=14/7/4
79=donsutherland1=11/6/4
80=drezee=13/7/4
81=HouTXmetro=15/9/5
82=Ground_Zero_92=15/8/4
83=Agua=13/7/4
84= wayne56=18/10/7
85=chadtm80=14/9/5
86=LAwxrgal=14/8/4
87= dhweather=13/8/3
88=HurricaneQueen=15/9/4
89=dmaui=12/7/3
90=Stormtrack03=12/6/3
91=bree4bryce=13/9/4
92=Trader Ron=11/6/3
93=dixiebreeze=13/7/4
94=HurryKane=14/8/4
95=swimaster20=15/8/5
96=rockythehusky=13/9/5
97=SouthernWx=14/9/4
98=skysummit=14/9/4
99=furluvcats=14/7/3
100=wxcrazytwo=15/7/4
101=GalvestonDuck=13/8/4
102=Team Ragnarok=15/7/3
103=angelwing=16/9/6
104=Valkhorn=17/10/7
105=Hyperstorm=15/10/5
106=taligater=13/9/6
107=DoctorHurricane2003=16/10/5
108=LaPlaceFF=12/7/3
109=jujubean=15/9/5
110=drudd1=16/10/5
111=marcus=19/11/6
112=Timedrifter=13/7/4
113=LarryWx=16/9/4
114=cswitwer=14/9/5
115=Hybridstorm_November2001=17/10/6
116=Jack8631=14/8/4
117=birdwomn=12/7/4
118=boca_chris=13/8/3


http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 13&start=0
Last edited by feederband on Mon Sep 26, 2005 3:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#14 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Sep 26, 2005 2:31 pm

Also add mine:
Mine were
17/10/6
My initial projections were TOO LOW in the named storms department
We have already hit 17.
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#15 Postby sponger » Mon Sep 26, 2005 2:33 pm

One thing is for sure, this year is an anomoly, the worst in recorded history. I think all bets are off and I expect to take down at least two into the Greek Alpabet, and 3 would not suprise me.
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#16 Postby HurryKane » Mon Sep 26, 2005 2:49 pm

Thanks, feederband. Boy did I tank this one.
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#17 Postby feederband » Mon Sep 26, 2005 3:02 pm

Yeah, there was only a few with 17 or more named storms...

Wnghs2007=17/10/5
wayne56=18/10/7
Valkhorn=17/10/7
marcus=19/11/6
Hybridstorm_November2001=17/10/6
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Anonymous

#18 Postby Anonymous » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:29 pm

I updated mine from 14/8/5 to 20/11/7 in August
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#19 Postby terstorm1012 » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:33 pm

Hazel in 1954 was a rather violent mid-to-late October storm.........so it's possible we could see some more monsters. I wouldn't put anything past this hurricane season.
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