99E Invest at EPAC

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cycloneye
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99E Invest at EPAC

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 02, 2005 12:18 pm

Image


ABPZ20 KNHC 021609
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM PDT SUN OCT 2 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC... EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OTIS... LOCATED ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO ON
THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE IS CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. LITTLE MOTION IS ANTICIPATED.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA


And the active EPAC season continues.
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 02, 2005 1:35 pm

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (EP992005) ON 20051002 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051002 1800 051003 0600 051003 1800 051004 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 13.1N 93.5W 13.5N 94.7W 14.0N 95.9W 14.4N 97.1W
BAMM 13.1N 93.5W 13.5N 94.0W 13.8N 94.4W 14.2N 94.8W
LBAR 13.1N 93.5W 13.3N 94.3W 14.3N 95.7W 15.4N 97.3W
SHIP 25KTS 27KTS 30KTS 35KTS
DSHP 25KTS 27KTS 30KTS 35KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051004 1800 051005 1800 051006 1800 051007 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 14.9N 98.2W 16.1N 100.2W 17.6N 102.0W 18.8N 103.4W
BAMM 14.9N 95.0W 17.2N 95.4W 17.6N 94.7W 16.1N 91.6W
LBAR 16.2N 99.1W 18.6N 103.0W 20.6N 105.0W 20.9N 106.8W
SHIP 40KTS 50KTS 55KTS 56KTS
DSHP 40KTS 32KTS 27KTS 27KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 13.1N LONCUR = 93.5W DIRCUR = 0DEG SPDCUR = 0KT
LATM12 = 13.1N LONM12 = 93.1W DIRM12 = 262DEG SPDM12 = 7KT
LATM24 = 13.2N LONM24 = 93.4W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM



It looks like Mexico will see this system.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#3 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Oct 02, 2005 2:44 pm

Come Eastern Pacific show us that both basins can be super busy at the same time!!!

In one more Eastern Pacific beat the Atlantic. They are having to many tropical depression like 10,19.
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#4 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Oct 02, 2005 2:46 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Come Eastern Pacific show us that both basins can be super busy at the same time!!!

In one more Eastern Pacific beat the Atlantic. They are having to many tropical depression like 10,19.


Yeah the EPAC is catching up but it wont last forever. Remember the EPAC starts 2 weeks earlier then the Atlantic but also ends 2 weeks earlier which means it is also 2 weeks closer to finishing compared to Atlantic.

<RICKY>
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Scorpion

#5 Postby Scorpion » Sun Oct 02, 2005 2:53 pm

How is the EPAC so active? Its more active than 97, and that was a big El Nino year.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Oct 02, 2005 2:57 pm

This year has had 15 named storms.
1997 I believe had 17 named storms.

The record is 1992 with 24 named storms.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#7 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:03 pm

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#8 Postby WeatherEmperor » Sun Oct 02, 2005 3:12 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/storm_ep_image21/latest_ep_1.html

Looks like we got a LLC.


yup.

<RICKY>
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#9 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Oct 04, 2005 3:15 am

It got sucked into Stan, apparently.

04/0645 UTC 15.5N 93.2W OVERLAND 99E
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#10 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 04, 2005 3:20 am

It looks like the Atlantic system made sure of it would not develop. :eek:
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