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How nice it will be to throw off my junkie tendencies and NOT watch this tomorrow (well, I'll be in planes all day, so I can't - enforced withdrawal). But I can already feel some of the relief that comes with not watching what is going on...it will or won't happen, without my eyes. Hope it does fizzle though!!
I don't know when that big trough is supposed to lift. But until it does, all of these promising young waves are doomed as soon as they leave shore on these suicide missions.
FAR EAST ATLANTIC TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 20W S OF 14N MOVING W 10 KT. THE LAST FEW VISIBLE IMAGES FROM METEOSAT-8 PORTRAY A LOW-AMPLITUDE CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ...AND A CONVECTIVE FLARE-UP IN THE VICINITY JUSTIFIES THIS POSITION. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE WAVELENGTH BETWEEN THE ATLC TROPICAL WAVES HAS SHORTENED CONSIDERABLY...AND THE NEXT WAVE IS ONLY ABOUT 500 NM TO THE W OF THIS WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 4N-10N BETWEEN 19W-27W.
8 PM Discussion about this wave.
It has to deal with the dry air and the upper low in front although far from the wave near 16n-49w.
It was not necessary to bump thread as it was at first page almost at the top as my replie was less than one hour earlier than the bump.
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cycloneye wrote:It was not necessary to bump thread as it was at first page almost at the top as my replie was less than one hour earlier than the bump.