Aw S! Im in the cone of doom, destruction and general mayhem

[Aqua Teen Hunger Force]

That's right.



But If I listen to Accuweathers' track. I'm generally safe.




Decisions, Decisions.

[El Nino]

You won't be the first ...

[Canelaw99]

Basically if you live on the peninsula of FL you're in the cone LOL

[Aqua Teen Hunger Force]

Pretty much.

Guess I'll have to wait a day or two. However, my evacauation point is also in the cone, too.

[hicksta]

Joe B has her moving slower... Hmm wierd since all the models are picking up on her going faster

[Aqua Teen Hunger Force]

JB said forecasting Wilma was giving him a headache or some silliness on his free daily column.

[El Nino]

I think he's not the only one. Even machines will have a big headache at this rate. Time to change the CPU

[Brent]

The reason your not in the Accuweather cone is because they don't take it all the way across Florida like the NHC does.

[Aqua Teen Hunger Force]

The reason your not in the Accuweather cone is because they don't take it all the way across Florida like the NHC does.

Look at the dates. For some reason Joe seems to think the hurricane will move much slower than the NHC.

[Brent]

The reason your not in the Accuweather cone is because they don't take it all the way across Florida like the NHC does.

Look at the dates. For some reason Joe seems to think the hurricane will move much slower than the NHC.

I have no clue why... because the models all show a landfall on Saturday.

[aerojad]

The reason your not in the Accuweather cone is because they don't take it all the way across Florida like the NHC does.

Look at the dates. For some reason Joe seems to think the hurricane will move much slower than the NHC.

I have no clue why... because the models all show a landfall on Saturday.

Well obviously JB thinks it will take longer to hit because that way he gets more pub, run, and probably money!

[arkess7]

yea we are all in the cone!!!

[kranki]

me, too

[tronbunny]

Note that Accuweather changed to match the 5pm!

[Aqua Teen Hunger Force]

Accuweather is always critical of the NHC. So why wuld they discard there own projections and go with the NHC

[Brent]

Not to be nitpicky, but they are a little north of the NHC track. Fort Myers vs. Naples.

[MGC]

Join the club. I am a charter member of the destruction zone club. I would not wish a major hurricane on any of you......MGC

[SouthFloridawx]

HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE OCT 18 2005

AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT HAS JUST MADE ITS FIRST PASS
THROUGH THE CENTER OF WILMA...FINDING A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
970 MB AND MAXIMUM FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS...SO FAR...OF 75 KT. A
DROPSONDE IN THE NORTH EYEWALL REPORTED SURFACE WINDS OF 64 KT.
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB ARE 77 KT. THE
ADVISORY INTENSITY OF 70 KT IS A BLEND OF THE SATELLITE AND
RECONNAISSANCE OBSERVATIONS.

THERE HAS BEEN NO CHANGE TO THE THINKING REGARDING THE INTENSITY
FORECAST. WILMA CONTINUES TO HAVE VERY STRONG UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW
CHANNELS TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. OCEANIC HEAT
CONTENT AHEAD OF WILMA IS HIGH...INCLUDING IN THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF
OF MEXICO. IN THE SHORT TERM...THE ONLY INHIBITING FACTOR IS THE
DRY AIR MASS IN THE GULF AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN. A HIGH
LIKELIHOOD OF RAPID STRENGTHENING CONTINUES TO BE INDICATED BY THE
SHIPS RAPID INTENSIFICATION INDEX. WILMA COULD BE A MAJOR HURRICANE
BY THIS TIME TOMORROW...AND REACH CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH BEFORE
ENTERING THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. AS WILMA ACCELERATES
NORTHEASTWARD IN THE GULF...WIND SHEAR IS FORECAST TO INCREASE
SLIGHTLY...BUT AT THIS TIME DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE SUFFICIENT TO
WEAKEN WILMA VERY QUICKLY. HOWEVER...IT IS WORTH REMEMBERING THAT
THERE IS LITTLE SKILL IN LONG-RANGE INTENSITY FORECASTS.

[tronbunny]

Not to be nitpicky, but they are a little north of the NHC track. Fort Myers vs. Naples.

True, but closer to NHC than the original post.

(thanks for the observation, 'cause I really did miss that on my first glance.)