Will Miami be evacuated?

[Aqua Teen Hunger Force]

???

[Brent]

No.

Storm is coming in from the west... and it's impossible to evacuate. If your in a sturdy building away from the flooding, you'll be fine.

[Aqua Teen Hunger Force]

I hope your right.

[SamSagnella]

Why don't we wait another...say...two days before asking this question.

[Brent]

I hope your right.

Yes... a sturdy building will survive Cat 3 winds(and Miami may not see that). The surge is what destroyed everything in SE LA and MS.

[NCHurricane]

I'd give Wilma 24 hours before I started thinking about that. The Keys maybe. Wednesday evening will give a little better idea of where she may or may not be heading. There is still some uncertainty on the effect or the trough (strong enough or too weak).

Chuck
http://www.nchurricane.com

[Aqua Teen Hunger Force]

Typically one would hope to avoid this:

[Brent]

Typically one would hope to avoid this:

That's exactly why.

Now a Cat 4 or 5 coming in from the east, that's a different story.

[arkess7]

NO...........INMO..

[Aqua Teen Hunger Force]

Okay. So the consensus seems to be Miami will be safe?
I understand things can change but with the NHC track right now, will Miami escape the brunt of it?

[pavelbure224]

moble homes will be evacuate

[Vandora]

Low-lying and mobile homes if we're in danger, but Miami doesn't generally evacuate up, rather in(land).

[CHRISTY]

how strong can these winds get in miami?

[Brent]

Okay. So the consensus seems to be Miami will be safe?
I understand things can change but with the NHC track right now, will Miami escape the brunt of it?

No... No... No. Evacuating and being safe are COMPLETELY different.

If your house can withstand 100 mph winds... and is not in a flood zone, they won't be ordering you to evacuate. Simple as that.

[kai96]

The surge is what destroyed everything in SE LA and MS.

I think you should re-evaluate that statement. If you lived here (just north of New Orleans) like I do. You would know that the wind wiped out just about anything from here (Slidell) east to mobile.


Yes there was a storm surge too. But if you would look at the pics as I see them here you can see that the wind left little standing in many of our areas. Then the storm surge arrived AFTER the winds left us.. I know. I live here. There are thousands of homes destroyed down to the slabs before the water got here.

This katrina devastated us all the way up to almost Jackson MS.

kai96

[wxmann_91]

Now that I think of it, wind damage was nearly the same from the coast to Hattiesburg, the HRD data supports that, and I noticed that Katrina was strengthening and her eye clearing out again as she was making landfall in Mississippi.

Anyway mandatory evacs in Miami I think will be ordered for residents in surge-prone areas and mobile homes maybe on Friday.

[StrongWind]

Downtown Miami is densely packed with high-rise buildings in effect forming canyons that channel the wind. This could result in wind speeds much, much higher in places than what is being measured out in the open.

[Dr. Jonah Rainwater]

It'll be bad enough trying to evacuate the entire West Coast of Florida from Spring Hill to Key West. Nobody's going to have even a remote idea as to the landfall location until about 24-36 hours before landfall, when Wilma makes her right hook. Nobody's going to want to go inland to Orlando again after Charley's thrashing, which means I-75 Northbound will basically look like...I-45 Northbound 24 hours before Rita. Basically, a nightmarish situation unfolding without the added strain of a Miami evacuation. If anything, Miami will see an influx of evacuees from the Keys and Naples/Ft. Meyers coming to stay in the city. I mean it's 5 days out of course, but Miami residents will likely be told to just hunker down and sit this one through even if we end up with an Irene-style track.

[HURAKAN]

Today is the day to start preparing to evacuate the Keys and other places unsecured to ride a Cat. 3 (I hope it weakens to at least a 3 before landfall).

[Ground_Zero_92]

It'll be bad enough trying to evacuate the entire West Coast of Florida from Spring Hill to Key West. Nobody's going to have even a remote idea as to the landfall location until about 24-36 hours before landfall, when Wilma makes her right hook. Nobody's going to want to go inland to Orlando again after Charley's thrashing, which means I-75 Northbound will basically look like...I-45 Northbound 24 hours before Rita. Basically, a nightmarish situation unfolding without the added strain of a Miami evacuation. If anything, Miami will see an influx of evacuees from the Keys and Naples/Ft. Meyers coming to stay in the city. I mean it's 5 days out of course, but Miami residents will likely be told to just hunker down and sit this one through even if we end up with an Irene-style track.

I agree. Residents of Monroe County (the Keys) will likely be sent to the FIU campus here in Miami-Dade County. They will evacute all mobile homes and residents alonge the coast (storm surge zones). The remaining residents will probably be told to hunker down as long as they feel that they are in a safe structure. Miami-dade has one of the strictest building codes in the country, especially since Andrew. Depending on the final track, the building code may be put to the test. All in all, I am hopefull that we will be ok.

God bless all of us that are in the path of this monster.