At 11 AM First Advisorie.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE (AL252005) ON 20051022 1200 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051022 1200 051023 0000 051023 1200 051024 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.8N 67.5W 16.8N 69.9W 18.1N 72.1W 20.0N 74.0W
BAMM 15.8N 67.5W 17.1N 69.9W 18.4N 71.8W 20.1N 73.8W
A98E 15.8N 67.5W 16.5N 70.0W 17.3N 72.2W 18.9N 74.2W
LBAR 15.8N 67.5W 16.9N 69.7W 18.5N 71.6W 20.5N 73.4W
SHIP 30KTS 35KTS 41KTS 46KTS
DSHP 30KTS 35KTS 33KTS 38KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051024 1200 051025 1200 051026 1200 051027 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 23.3N 75.4W 33.8N 71.3W 43.7N 53.4W 37.4N 25.8W
BAMM 23.2N 75.3W 32.3N 72.0W 41.4N 56.2W 39.8N 29.0W
A98E 22.4N 74.8W 28.2N 70.9W 34.7N 59.6W 37.7N 37.4W
LBAR 23.5N 74.1W 37.9N 66.0W .0N .0W .0N .0W
SHIP 51KTS 54KTS 51KTS 34KTS
DSHP 43KTS 45KTS 43KTS 25KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 15.8N LONCUR = 67.5W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 13KT
LATM12 = 15.1N LONM12 = 65.0W DIRM12 = 285DEG SPDM12 = 14KT
LATM24 = 14.3N LONM24 = 62.3W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
Tropical Depression 25 Advisories
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 148497
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Tropical Depression 25 Advisories
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Oct 22, 2005 1:40 pm, edited 9 times in total.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 38263
- Age: 37
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL252005
1500Z SAT OCT 22 2005
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
ALL OF HISPANIOLA BY THE GOVERNMENTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND
HAITI.
AT 11 AM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 68.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 68.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 67.5W
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.9N 69.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.2N 71.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.6N 72.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 24.9N 72.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 36.3N 62.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...ABSORBED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 68.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL252005
1500Z SAT OCT 22 2005
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
ALL OF HISPANIOLA BY THE GOVERNMENTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND
HAITI.
AT 11 AM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 68.0W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 68.0W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 67.5W
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.9N 69.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.2N 71.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.6N 72.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 24.9N 72.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 36.3N 62.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...ABSORBED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 68.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB
0 likes
#neversummer
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 148497
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 38263
- Age: 37
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005
...25TH DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTHEAST OF HISPANIOLA...
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
ALL OF HISPANIOLA BY THE GOVERNMENTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND
HAITI.
AT 11 AM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 200 MILES... 325 KM... SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND
ABOUT 210 MILES... 335 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH
...20 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4
TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...16.1 N... 68.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005
...25TH DEPRESSION FORMS SOUTHEAST OF HISPANIOLA...
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
ALL OF HISPANIOLA BY THE GOVERNMENTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND
HAITI.
AT 11 AM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 200 MILES... 325 KM... SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND
ABOUT 210 MILES... 335 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH
...20 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4
TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...16.1 N... 68.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB
0 likes
#neversummer
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 148497
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Brent wrote:Did the NHC forget to write the discussion?
Knabb always is slow writting the discussions as they come late.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 38263
- Age: 37
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE TROPICAL WAVE IN THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN HAS DEVELOPED WESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND A CLOSED
SURFACE CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM HAS ALSO DEVELOPED CONVECTIVE BANDS
WITH -80C COLD TOPS TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF A CENTRAL
AREA OF CONVECTION. NWS/SAN JUAN RADAR ALSO REVEALS FAIRLY
WELL-DEFINED ROTATION. ON THIS BASIS...ADVISORIES ARE INITIATED ON
THE SEASON'S 25TH TROPICAL DEPRESSION. ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE TREND
TOWARD INCREASED ORGANIZATION... MORE THAN LIKELY THE DEPRESSION
WILL BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS SIMILAR TO THE SHIPS GUIDANCE WHICH SHOWS GRADUAL STRENGTHENING
TO 45 OR 50 KT IN ABOUT 48 HOURS... BEFORE A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE
IN WESTERLY SHEAR SPREADS OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. AFTERWARD...THE MAJORITY OF THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST
THAT THE SYSTEM WILL EITHER DISSIPATE OR BECOME ABSORBED WITHIN THE
BAROCLINIC SYSTEM WHICH IS ALSO EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH WILMA.
THE FORECAST WILL REFLECT ABSORPTION INTO A FRONTAL SYSTEM BY DAY
4.
INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 300/11. A LOW- TO MID- LAYER
TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE SITUATED TO THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION AND IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT 36
HOURS... AHEAD AND EAST OF THE APPROACHING HURRICANE WILMA AND A
MID-LATITUDE BAROCLINIC SYSTEM. THIS SHOULD CAUSE THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD OVER HISPANIOLA AND THE
TURKS AND CAICOS. BEYOND 48 HOURS...THE DEPRESSION SHOULD BEGIN TO
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED... WITH AN EVENTUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST
AHEAD OF WILMA AND THE FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
FOLLOWS THE MODEL CONSENSUS AND THE MID- LAYER MEAN GFS BAM.
THE MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY
RAINFALL AND POTENTIAL FLOODING OVER HISPANIOLA.
WITH THE REGULAR LIST OF NAMES EXHAUSTED... WE WOULD UTILIZE THE
GREEK ALPHABET SHOULD THE DEPRESSION REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH.
THE FIRST NAME ON THIS LIST IS ALPHA.
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 22/1500Z 16.1N 68.0W 30 KT
12HR VT 23/0000Z 16.9N 69.6W 35 KT
24HR VT 23/1200Z 18.2N 71.4W 35 KT
36HR VT 24/0000Z 20.6N 72.8W 30 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 24/1200Z 24.9N 72.3W 45 KT
72HR VT 25/1200Z 36.3N 62.5W 30 KT
96HR VT 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE TROPICAL WAVE IN THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN HAS DEVELOPED WESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND A CLOSED
SURFACE CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM HAS ALSO DEVELOPED CONVECTIVE BANDS
WITH -80C COLD TOPS TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF A CENTRAL
AREA OF CONVECTION. NWS/SAN JUAN RADAR ALSO REVEALS FAIRLY
WELL-DEFINED ROTATION. ON THIS BASIS...ADVISORIES ARE INITIATED ON
THE SEASON'S 25TH TROPICAL DEPRESSION. ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE TREND
TOWARD INCREASED ORGANIZATION... MORE THAN LIKELY THE DEPRESSION
WILL BECOME A TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
IS SIMILAR TO THE SHIPS GUIDANCE WHICH SHOWS GRADUAL STRENGTHENING
TO 45 OR 50 KT IN ABOUT 48 HOURS... BEFORE A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE
IN WESTERLY SHEAR SPREADS OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC. AFTERWARD...THE MAJORITY OF THE GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST
THAT THE SYSTEM WILL EITHER DISSIPATE OR BECOME ABSORBED WITHIN THE
BAROCLINIC SYSTEM WHICH IS ALSO EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH WILMA.
THE FORECAST WILL REFLECT ABSORPTION INTO A FRONTAL SYSTEM BY DAY
4.
INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED AT 300/11. A LOW- TO MID- LAYER
TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE SITUATED TO THE NORTH OF THE DEPRESSION AND IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT 36
HOURS... AHEAD AND EAST OF THE APPROACHING HURRICANE WILMA AND A
MID-LATITUDE BAROCLINIC SYSTEM. THIS SHOULD CAUSE THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD OVER HISPANIOLA AND THE
TURKS AND CAICOS. BEYOND 48 HOURS...THE DEPRESSION SHOULD BEGIN TO
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED... WITH AN EVENTUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST
AHEAD OF WILMA AND THE FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
FOLLOWS THE MODEL CONSENSUS AND THE MID- LAYER MEAN GFS BAM.
THE MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACT OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVY
RAINFALL AND POTENTIAL FLOODING OVER HISPANIOLA.
WITH THE REGULAR LIST OF NAMES EXHAUSTED... WE WOULD UTILIZE THE
GREEK ALPHABET SHOULD THE DEPRESSION REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH.
THE FIRST NAME ON THIS LIST IS ALPHA.
FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 22/1500Z 16.1N 68.0W 30 KT
12HR VT 23/0000Z 16.9N 69.6W 35 KT
24HR VT 23/1200Z 18.2N 71.4W 35 KT
36HR VT 24/0000Z 20.6N 72.8W 30 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 24/1200Z 24.9N 72.3W 45 KT
72HR VT 25/1200Z 36.3N 62.5W 30 KT
96HR VT 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED
0 likes
#neversummer
-
Aqua Teen Hunger Force
-
senorpepr
- Military Met/Moderator
- Posts: 12542
- Age: 43
- Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
- Location: Mackenbach, Germany
- Contact:
Actually, it's Roberts, a newer forecaster, that is writing the discussion. Dr. Knabb is quality controlling the product.Aqua Teen Hunger Force wrote:cycloneye wrote:Brent wrote:Did the NHC forget to write the discussion?
Knabb always is slow writting the discussions as they come late.
Where's Stewart when you need him.
0 likes
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 38263
- Age: 37
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE NEARING TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH...
AT 2 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED
PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO PEDERNALES ON THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE
OF HAITI.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS...
AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST OR
ABOUT 235 MILES... 380 KM... SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND
ABOUT 175 MILES... 280 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH... 24
KM/HR... AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS
EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND MAY BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4
TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...16.2 N... 68.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER MAINELLI/KNABB
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE NEARING TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH...
AT 2 PM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED
PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO NORTHWESTWARD TO CABO
FRANCES VIEJO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO PEDERNALES ON THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINE
OF HAITI.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS...
AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST OR
ABOUT 235 MILES... 380 KM... SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND
ABOUT 175 MILES... 280 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH... 24
KM/HR... AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK... THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE IS
EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER HISPANIOLA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND MAY BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4
TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...16.2 N... 68.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER MAINELLI/KNABB
0 likes
#neversummer
-
MiamiensisWx
HISTORY IS IN THE MAKING RIGHT HERE. JUST 5MPH MORE AND WE WILL HAVE A RECORD-BREAKING ALPHA MAKING THE 2005 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON THE MOST ACTIVE ONE ON RECORD. -
WeatherEmperor
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4806
- Age: 41
- Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
- Location: South Florida
-
PTrackerLA
- Category 5
- Posts: 5280
- Age: 41
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
- Location: Lafayette, LA
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 311 guests