HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1254UTC 18 NOVEMBER 2005
GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1200UTC tropical low located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude four decimal one degrees South [4.1S]
Longitude ninety three decimal six degrees East [93.6E]
Recent movement south southwest at 4 knots.
Maximum winds 25 knots.
Central pressure 1003 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre extending to 100 nautical miles
in southern quadrants.
FORECAST
Low may develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours
causing clockwise winds 30/40 knots, rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
At 0000UTC 19 November: Within 60 nautical miles of 4.9 South 93.4 East
Central pressure 997 hPa.
Winds to 30 knots near centre.
At 1200UTC 19 November: Within 90 nautical miles of 5.7 South 93.8 East
Central pressure 992 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 18 November 2005.
WEATHER PERTH
SW Indian Ocean: TD Alvin Ex-Bertie
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P.K.
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- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
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SW Indian Ocean: TD Alvin Ex-Bertie
Last edited by P.K. on Sat Nov 26, 2005 10:57 am, edited 8 times in total.
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HURAKAN
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- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
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HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0053UTC 19 NOVEMBER 2005
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0000UTC Tropical Cyclone Bertie located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude five decimal five south [5.5S]
Longitude ninety four decimal five east [94.5E]
Recent movement south at 8 knots.
Maximum winds 40 knots.
Central pressure 995 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 100 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 40 knots near centre increasing to 50 knots by 20/0000UTC.
Within 100 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants, winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
At 1200UTC 19 November: 6.7 south 94.7 east
995 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 20 November: 8.0 south 94.5 east
985 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 19 November 2005.
WEATHER PERTH
TROPICAL CYCLONE BERTIE DEVELOPS IN THE SE INDIAN OCEAN, NO LAND WILL BE AFFECTED, THIS WOULD BE CONSIDERED A "FISH" IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0053UTC 19 NOVEMBER 2005
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0000UTC Tropical Cyclone Bertie located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude five decimal five south [5.5S]
Longitude ninety four decimal five east [94.5E]
Recent movement south at 8 knots.
Maximum winds 40 knots.
Central pressure 995 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 100 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 40 knots near centre increasing to 50 knots by 20/0000UTC.
Within 100 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants, winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
At 1200UTC 19 November: 6.7 south 94.7 east
995 hPa. Winds to 40 knots near centre.
At 0000UTC 20 November: 8.0 south 94.5 east
985 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 19 November 2005.
WEATHER PERTH
TROPICAL CYCLONE BERTIE DEVELOPS IN THE SE INDIAN OCEAN, NO LAND WILL BE AFFECTED, THIS WOULD BE CONSIDERED A "FISH" IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN.
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0635UTC 19 NOVEMBER 2005
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0600UTC Tropical Cyclone Bertie located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude six decimal two south [6.2S]
Longitude ninety four decimal three east [94.3E]
Recent movement south southwest at 8 knots.
Maximum winds 40 knots.
Central pressure 995 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 100 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 40 knots near centre increasing to 50 knots by 20/0000UTC.
Within 100 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants, winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
At 1800UTC 19 November: 7.1 south 94.3 east
990 hPa. Winds to 45 knots near centre.
At 0600UTC 20 November: 8.1 south 94.1 east
985 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 19 November 2005.
WEATHER PERTH
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0635UTC 19 NOVEMBER 2005
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 0600UTC Tropical Cyclone Bertie located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude six decimal two south [6.2S]
Longitude ninety four decimal three east [94.3E]
Recent movement south southwest at 8 knots.
Maximum winds 40 knots.
Central pressure 995 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 100 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 40 knots near centre increasing to 50 knots by 20/0000UTC.
Within 100 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants, winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
At 1800UTC 19 November: 7.1 south 94.3 east
990 hPa. Winds to 45 knots near centre.
At 0600UTC 20 November: 8.1 south 94.1 east
985 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 19 November 2005.
WEATHER PERTH
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
40kts is 74kph making it a category 1 at the moment. (Although using the sustained winds is only a guide for this). Forecast to stengthen to a cat 2 in 24 hours.
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1235UTC 19 NOVEMBER 2005
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1200UTC Tropical Cyclone Bertie located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude six decimal eight south [6.8S]
Longitude ninety three decimal eight east [93.8]
Recent movement south southwest at 8 knots.
Maximum winds 40 knots.
Central pressure 990 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 100 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 40 knots near centre increasing to 55 knots by 20/1200UTC.
Within 100 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants, winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
At 0000UTC 20 November: 7.6 south 93.7 east
980 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre.
At 1200UTC 20 November: 8.6 south 93.3 east
975 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 1800 UTC 19 November 2005.
WEATHER PERTH
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1235UTC 19 NOVEMBER 2005
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1200UTC Tropical Cyclone Bertie located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude six decimal eight south [6.8S]
Longitude ninety three decimal eight east [93.8]
Recent movement south southwest at 8 knots.
Maximum winds 40 knots.
Central pressure 990 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 100 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 40 knots near centre increasing to 55 knots by 20/1200UTC.
Within 100 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants, winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
At 0000UTC 20 November: 7.6 south 93.7 east
980 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre.
At 1200UTC 20 November: 8.6 south 93.3 east
975 hPa. Winds to 55 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 1800 UTC 19 November 2005.
WEATHER PERTH
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Still a category 1 it looks like.
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1757UTC 19 NOVEMBER 2005
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1800UTC Tropical Cyclone Bertie located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude seven decimal two south [7.2S]
Longitude ninety three decimal six east [93.6]
Recent movement south southwest at 8 knots.
Maximum winds 45 knots.
Central pressure 985 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 100 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 45 knots near centre increasing to 60 knots by 20/1800UTC.
Within 100 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants, winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
At 0600UTC 20 November: 8.1 south 93.5 east
980 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre.
At 1800UTC 20 November: 8.9 south 93.2 east
970 hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 0100 UTC 20 November 2005.
WEATHER PERTH
HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1757UTC 19 NOVEMBER 2005
STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA
Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.
SITUATION
At 1800UTC Tropical Cyclone Bertie located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude seven decimal two south [7.2S]
Longitude ninety three decimal six east [93.6]
Recent movement south southwest at 8 knots.
Maximum winds 45 knots.
Central pressure 985 hPa.
AREA AFFECTED
Within 100 nautical miles of the centre, extending to 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants.
FORECAST
Sustained winds to 45 knots near centre increasing to 60 knots by 20/1800UTC.
Within 100 nautical miles of centre, extending to within 180 nautical miles in
southern quadrants, winds above 34 knots with rough to very rough seas and
moderate swell.
At 0600UTC 20 November: 8.1 south 93.5 east
980 hPa. Winds to 50 knots near centre.
At 1800UTC 20 November: 8.9 south 93.2 east
970 hPa. Winds to 60 knots near centre.
Next warning issued by 0100 UTC 20 November 2005.
WEATHER PERTH
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Must be in the upper left of these images: http://www.bom.gov.au/gms/IDE00035.200511191730.jpg, and http://www.bom.gov.au/gms/IDE00005.200511191730.gif
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Forecaster Colby
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
WTXS31 PGTW 192100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190951ZNOV2005//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BERTIE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
191800Z --- NEAR 7.5S 93.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.5S 93.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 8.4S 93.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 9.4S 93.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 10.4S 92.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 11.2S 92.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
192100Z POSITION NEAR 7.7S 93.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (BERTIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
330 NM NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 03S IS
STEADILY IMPROVING IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN
190951ZNOV2005 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 191000).
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 200900Z AND 202100Z.//
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190951ZNOV2005//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (BERTIE) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
191800Z --- NEAR 7.5S 93.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 7.5S 93.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z --- 8.4S 93.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z --- 9.4S 93.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z --- 10.4S 92.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z --- 11.2S 92.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
192100Z POSITION NEAR 7.7S 93.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (BERTIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
330 NM NORTHWEST OF COCOS ISLANDS, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 03S IS
STEADILY IMPROVING IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN
190951ZNOV2005 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 191000).
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 200900Z AND 202100Z.//
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