Euro Day 7... all aboard the polar express

[Brent]

This would be unbelievably cold all the way to the Gulf Coast for Mid-December...

[Portastorm]

Aye carumba!!!!

[boca]

Brent I have no idea how to read that map how cold does that map say for Florida.My knowledge is with hurricanes not winter,but I'm willing to learn.

[WXextreme]

This would be unbelievably cold all the way to the Gulf Coast for Mid-December...

It happened in mid-December 1989 with snow for SE Louisiana. So maybe it will again. JB w/accuweather had been touting a 1989 look to this current pattern. Anyone hear from him lately?

[Brent]

Brent I have no idea how to read that map how cold does that map say for Florida.My knowledge is with hurricanes not winter,but I'm willing to learn.

There would probably be freezing temperatures pretty far south... probably not to Miami, but Tampa/Orlando would likely.

[boca]

Thanks we could use a change down here, preferably the cold.

[cctxhurricanewatcher]

This would be unbelievably cold all the way to the Gulf Coast for Mid-December...

It happened in mid-December 1989 with snow for SE Louisiana. So maybe it will again. JB w/accuweather had been touting a 1989 look to this current pattern. Anyone hear from him lately?

If that is 1989 set up down this way. The nurserymen and garden centers are going to have a banner spring. Good bye tropical plants.

[boca]

How accurate is this model ?

[Brent]

How accurate is this model ?

It's been good at times. I do believe there's going to be a huge dump of cold air sometime between early next week and right before Christmas... the GFS shows a similar look on the 20th, 2 weeks from today and 5 days before Christmas.

[CaptinCrunch]

I'm sure this wont be the only Arctic Express we see this season, the pattern is now shifting to a colder Central and Eastern U.S period. It will not be crazy to have 2 or 3 more major Arctic outbreaks into the Central part of the US thru February.

[adamh1181]

I am used to looking at models for hurricanes living in florida and all, but when you look at models for winter weather, what do you look at, sea surface presure, virtual temp, theta-E, or Vorticity? or none of theses. and i know the GFS is used, but what about the UKMET and others. thanks
for the help

[aggiecutter]

Here's the day 6 and 7 Oz run from Plymouth
Day 6:
http://vortex.plymouth.edu/ecmna.107.gif
Day 7:
http://vortex.plymouth.edu/ecmna.108.gif

[Scorpion]

Once again Florida will be left in the dust. Theres a big western bias with these fronts this year. Looks like maybe 30's into Central Florida, nothing we haven't seen before this year. 40's for us.

[boca]

It's a rarity to even get into the 30's south of Orlando. 40"s in an artic outbreak is all we can ever muster up here in S FL.