Convection persistent in ITCZ -- UPDATE.....

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dixiebreeze
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Convection persistent in ITCZ -- UPDATE.....

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:20 am

Almost looks like July in the ITCZ:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg
Last edited by dixiebreeze on Tue Dec 06, 2005 6:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:22 am

Nothing to worry about! Wait for 2006!
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#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:23 am

HURAKAN wrote:Nothing to worry about! Wait for 2006!


I'm not worried, just interested.
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#4 Postby no advance » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:24 am

Your right Dixie. If it were Aug. there would be trouble. Have a nice holidays you all remember when the contractor ask for an advance say NO ADVANCE.
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#5 Postby quandary » Tue Dec 06, 2005 10:43 am

This doesn't really look like July. Here is some convection there, but it gives the appearance that it is highly disorganized.
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#6 Postby dixiebreeze » Tue Dec 06, 2005 6:01 pm

Look at this update:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg
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#7 Postby vbhoutex » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:23 pm

Almost all of it is below 10º, which means in any part of the season it wouldn't have much chance of doing anything. I have to admit it does look active.
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#8 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Dec 06, 2005 9:25 pm

Just think if it started moving northward by the first weeks of January. :eek:
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#9 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Dec 07, 2005 5:52 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Just think if it started moving northward by the first weeks of January. :eek:


A premature CV season...we'll have to see SSTs and shear conditions
and trough conditions in Jan....
IMO won't happen but you never know....:eek:
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#10 Postby angelwing » Thu Dec 08, 2005 8:26 am

2005 is not over yet. The way this season has been anything can happen :eek:
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#11 Postby Jim Hughes » Fri Dec 09, 2005 10:52 am

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Just think if it started moving northward by the first weeks of January. :eek:


A premature CV season...we'll have to see SSTs and shear conditions
and trough conditions in Jan....
IMO won't happen but you never know....:eek:


I would not be surprised to see a tropical system form towards year end or at the very beginning and I am strongly considering forecasting this in the next day or so. Not sure whether CV though.


Jim
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#12 Postby Crumbling Sky » Fri Dec 09, 2005 2:01 pm

Well here goes my first post.
Just because we have set the hurricane season as June 1 thru November 30th doesn't necessarily mean that nature will always act on our timeframe. O_o
It's pretty unlikely though.
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#13 Postby Jim Hughes » Fri Dec 09, 2005 2:27 pm

Crumbling Sky wrote:Well here goes my first post.
Just because we have set the hurricane season as June 1 thru November 30th doesn't necessarily mean that nature will always act on our timeframe. O_o
It's pretty unlikely though.



Well like I mentioned I was only thinking about making it at this point and time. I need to do some more research. I will post something if I think it will occur. Just like I might forecast a snowstorm for the NE and Midatlantic.


Jim
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