AZDUSTMAN YOU MAY BE GETTING YOU WISH!

[sprites]

RAIN LOOKS TO BE ON YOUR WAY, BUT IN VAST AMOUNTS.

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeswestpacuswv.html

[Aslkahuna]

A lot can happen to rain between the Pacific and Arizona.

Steve

[artist]

of all days - his father's memorial service is today.

[sprites]

A lot can happen to rain between the Pacific and Arizona.

Steve

lol, yeah I guess it can. lol.

[sprites]

of all days - his father's memorial service is today.

I am sorry, I didn't know that.

[Stephanie]

sprites - it could be a blessing or a gift to them.

I hope that it does come to fruition.

[Aslkahuna]

This late in the season, it's not going to help all that much.

Steve

[wxmann_91]

This late in the season, it's not going to help all that much.

Steve

Any is better than nothing, although, Steve has a point - rain has a hard time making it to Arizona with that rain shadow.

Sprites - I assume you live in Hacienda Heights, welcome to Storm2k! It's always good to see people from this region join and talk about the weather.

[weatherlover427]

There are a TON of advisories out for this system , see below for some of them.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 1000 PM PST SAT FEB 25 2006

ANTELOPE VALLEY-CATALINA ISLAND-CUYAMA VALLEY- LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES- LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE- LOS ANGELES COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS- SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST- SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA- SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-VENTURA COUNTY COAST- VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS- VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS- 1000 PM PST SAT FEB 25 2006

...VERY WET AND WINDY WEATHER WILL OCCUR ACROSS CALIFORNIA MONDAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY..

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS 800 MILES WEST OF SEATTLE THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT DRIFTS EASTWARD TOWARD THE WEST COAST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. WHEN IT NEARS OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA IT WILL LIKELY TAP INTO A DEEP LAYER OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE. THIS INTERACTION BETWEEN THE STORM AND THE MOISTURE PLUME IS LIKELY TO BRING VERY HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TO SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA.

A LONG FETCH OF MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES BY LATE SUNDAY...WITH RAIN SPREADING SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION OVERNIGHT SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE PEAK OF THE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES...AND MONDAY EVENING THROUGH MID TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY TUESDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF DEEP MOISTURE AND STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL GIVE THIS STORM THE POTENTIAL TO BRING VERY HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO THE REGION. PRELIMINARY RAINFALL FORECASTS ARE FOR 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS MOST COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS. FOOTHILL AND MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVE BETWEEN 5 AND 10 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES OF THE SANTA BARBARA...VENTURA...AND LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS.

RAINFALL INTENSITIES COULD EASILY EXCEED ONE HALF INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH RATES IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR POSSIBLE ACROSS FOOTHILL AND MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS. WITH SUCH INTENSE RAINFALL RATES EXPECTED...FLASH FLOODING WITH CORRESPONDING MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS WILL CERTAINLY BE A CONCERN FOR THE BURN AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. PLEASE REFER TO LAXFFALOX FOR EXACT DETAILS ON THE FLASH FLOOD RISKS. IN ADDITION..WIDESPREAD URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS LIKELY ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION.

DUE TO THE SUBTROPICAL NATURE OF THIS SYSTEM...SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE RESORT LEVELS DURING MOST OF THE EVENT. ON MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING OVER 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND THE CENTRAL COAST...WHERE A HIGH WIND WATCH (LAXNPWLOX) IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. WIND ADVISORIES MIGHT ALSO BE NEEDED ACROSS COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS OF VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES AS WELL.

ANYONE PLANNING TRAVEL SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND ROAD REPORTS BEFORE DEPARTING.STRONG WINDS AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. RESIDENTS IN AND AROUND THE BURN AREAS ARE URGED TO STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS...AND FOR POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS AS THIS SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS.

ASR

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 400 PM PST SUN FEB 26 2006

ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS- SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS- COACHELLA VALLEY- SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS- 400 PM PST SUN FEB 26 2006

...A STRONG PACIFIC STORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA MONDAY AND TUESDAY..

A MOISTURE LADEN...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL BRING POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAIN AS IT TAPS INTO A DEEP LAYER OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE. LIGHT RAIN WILL BEGIN AS EARLY AS MONDAY...THEN INTENSIFY MONDAY EVENING AS SOUTHERLY WINDS DRAW MORE MOISTURE INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THE BEST CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING WHEN THE COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE REGION.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM ONE TO THREE INCHES IN THE COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS...AND THREE TO SEVEN INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. THE SOUTH AND WEST FACING SLOPES WILL LIKELY RECEIVE THE MOST RAIN AND THERE WILL GENERALLY BE MORE RAIN IN THE NORTH AND LESS IN THE SOUTH. THE HIGH DESERTS SHOULD GET NEAR ONE AND A HALF INCHES OF RAIN WITH ABOUT AN INCH IN THE SOUTHERN DESERTS.

RAINFALL INTENSITIES MONDAY NIGHT COULD EXCEED ONE HALF INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH RATES IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR POSSIBLE ACROSS FOOTHILL AND MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS. WITH SUCH HIGH RAINFALL RATES...FLASH FLOODING...MUD SLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS WILL BE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY IN AND BELOW RECENTLY BURNED AREAS AND ON STEEP TERRAIN. URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

THE WARM TROPICAL AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP SNOW LEVELS ABOVE RESORT LOCATIONS UNTIL MONDAY NIGHT SO THAT ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE RESTRICTED TO THE HIGHEST PEAKS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE MOUNTAINS. AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...THE SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP TO ABOUT 6500 FEET ON TUESDAY MORNING.

ON MONDAY...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...AND WIND ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR SOME AREAS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO...RIVERSIDE AND SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS.

ALL INTERESTS SHOULD KEEP INFORMED ON THE LATEST DEVELOPMENT OF THIS STORM BY MONITORING THE LATEST WEATHER STATEMENTS. A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR THE HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO FALL MONDAY NIGHT.

ATKIN

[wxmann_91]

Looking forward to it. The weird thing is, there is not one cloud in the sky right now.

[cheezyWXguy]

There are a TON of advisories out for this system , see below for some of them.

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 200 PM PST SUN FEB 26 2006

.SYNOPSIS-SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. MAIN EVENT WILL BE MONDAY AFTERNOON OR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES. WEAKER SECONDARY SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL BE VERY HIGH UNTIL A TROUGH DEEPENS INTO THE AREA LATE MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY MORNING. SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS MAINLY TUESDAY MORNING. A WEAK TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. ANOTHER TROUGH WILL DEEPEN INTO THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH SHOWERS POSSIBLE. THE TROUGH MOVES OUT SATURDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT ON SUNDAY.

.DISCUSSION-FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE- SAN DIEGO-WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES.

SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TONIGHT OVER SOCAL. CROSS SECTION SHOWS MOISTURE INCREASING ENOUGH TONIGHT FOR SOME SHOWERS POSSIBLE. MODELS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE DEEP MOISTURE FROM THE SURFACE TO 200 MB FROM MON AFTERNOON THROUGH TUE MORNING. UVV CONTINUES TO LOOK QUITE IMPRESSIVE. SNOW LEVEL WILL BE VERY HIGH. AS TROUGH MOVES IN MON NIGHT AND EARLY TUE MORNING-THE SNOW LEVEL WILL DROP TO ABOUT 6500 FEET WITH SEVERAL INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS. SHORT WAVE MOVES IN BEHIND MAIN SYSTEM TUE NIGHT AND INTO WED MORNING SPREADING MORE RAIN AND SHOWERS OVER THE AREA. THIS SYSTEM COULD ADD A FEW INCHES OF SNOW TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND BRING SNOW POSSIBLY TO BELOW 6000 FEET. WEAK TROUGH OR FLAT FLOW WILL BE OVER THE AREA LATE WED THROUGH EARLY THU. ANOTHER TROUGH WILL DEEPEN INTO SOCAL THU NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND SHOWERS. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE A BIT COLDER WITH A LOWER SNOW LEVEL. CURRENT GFS SHOWS TROUGH LINGERS THROUGH FRI NIGHT AND SHOWERS MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THEN. THE TROUGH MOVES OUT SATURDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OVER SOCAL SUN. STRONG GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP MON THROUGH TUE MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND BREEZY ELSEWHERE-DECREASING TUE NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN MAINLY IN THE MOUNTAINS THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI.

.AVIATION- MARINE LAYER IS EXPECTED TO SHOW LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH THE EVENING BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO DEEPEN ON MONDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE IN MONDAY NIGHT.

ABOVE THE MARINE LAYER-VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY WITH VARIABLE AMOUNTS OF ALTOCUMULUS AND CIRRUS ABOVE 15000 FEET MSL. SOME MVFR VISIBILITIES ALONG THE COAST DURING THE MORNING FROM HAZE.

.SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT-..SEE LAXSPSSGX. HYDROLOGY OUTLOOK STATEMENT-SEE LAXESFSGX. FLASH FLOOD WATCH----.SEE LAXFFASGX.

PUBLIC-WHITLOW AVIATION-HORTON

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SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 210 PM PST SUN FEB 26 2006

.SHORT TERM (TODAY-WED)...VERY FEW CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST. TIMING STILL LOOKS ON TRACK, THOUGH IT MAY TAKE A LITTLE LONGER THAN EXPECTED FOR WIDESPREAD RAIN TO DEVELOP IN LA COUNTY. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF THIS DID NOT OCCUR UNTIL VERY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR NEAR RUSH HOUR. EVERYWHERE ELSE THOUGH RAIN SHOULD START UP TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING. VBG RADAR SHOWING SOME WEAK RETURNS OVER SLO COUNTY BUT SO FAR NOTHING IN THE GAGES AND PRB HAS ONLY REPORTED A TRACE SO FAR. IT MAY BE LIKE THIS FOR QUITE AWHILE AS THE AIRMASS HAS A LOT OF MOISTENING UP TO DO BASED ON THE 12Z VBG SOUNDING AND CURRENT SURFACE DEWPOINTS WHICH ARE STILL IN THE 20S AND 30S. SO PROBABLY A LOT OF VIRGA, AND ANY SHOWERS WILL MAINLY BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE TONIGHT UP IN SLO/SBA COUNTIES WITH MAYBE A SPRINKLE OR TWO DOWN IN LA/VTU COUNTIES OVERNIGHT.

THE BULK OF THIS EVENT WILL TAKE PLACE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THIS TIME PERIOD WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ISSUES, MAINLY NEAR THE BURN AREAS. CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH LOOKS GOOD, THOUGH AGAIN I THINK THE ONLY REAL AREAS OF CONCERN WILL BE THE BURN AREAS AS THE RIVER AND STREAMS ARE PRETTY DRY. THRESHOLDS FOR BURN AREA MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE VERY LOW, ESPECIALLY FOR BURNS THAT HAVE TAKEN PLACE IN THE LAST 6-12 MONTHS AND THIS STORM COULD EASILY PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF THOSE THRESHOLDS. RESIDENTS NEAR BURN AREAS SHOULD BE PREPARING FOR MAJOR MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS WITH THIS STORM. AND OF COURSE THERE WILL BE THE USUAL LITTANY OF FLOOD ADVISORIES FOR NUISANCE FLOODING OVER ROADS AND HIGHWAYS.

THUNDERSTORMS DON`T APPEAR TO BE A BIG ISSUE WITH THIS EVENT, THOUGH THERE COULD BE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WITH THE MAIN FRONTAL BAND. TEMPERATURES ALOFT NEVER GET THAT COLD AND AS A RESULT THE AIRMASS NEVER REALLY DESTABILIZES SIGNIFICANTLY. WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE IN THOUGH JUST IN CASE WE GET ONE OR TWO WITH THE MAIN FRONT, MAINLY LATE MONDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY.

SNOW LEVELS WILL BE VERY HIGH WITH THIS EVENT. WARM AIR ADVECTION HAS BEEN QUITE IMPRESSIVE TODAY WITH SURFACE TEMPS INTO THE 70S AT LOWER ELEVATIONS AND MID 60S IN THE MOUNTAINS. VERY HIGH ELEVATIONS, 9000 FEET AND ABOVE COULD SEE SOME DECENT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BUT WE GENERALLY DON`T ISSUE WARNINGS OR ADVISORIES FOR SNOW ABOVE 7500 FEET SO NO WINTER PRODUCTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT. SNOW LEVELS COULD LOWER TO AROUND 6000-7000 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING BUT THE BULK OF THE STORM WILL BE THROUGH THE AREA BY THAT TIME.

AS FAR AS THE WINDS GO, LATEST MODELS DON`T SHOW QUITE AS MUCH SOUTHERLY GRADIENT BETWEEN LAX AND SFO AND I THINK WIND ADVISORIES WILL SUFFICE, AT LEAST FOR THE CENTRAL COAST MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. WILL LEAVE THE HIGH WIND WATCH UP FOR THE LA/VTU MOUNTAINS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

RAIN SHOULD BE TAPERING OFF TUESDAY, BUT THE NAM STILL SHOWS CONSIDERABLE LOW LVL MOISTURE AND SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW. AND WITH THE TROF AXIS JUST PASSING THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON SHOWER CHANCES WILL CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

AT THIS TIME WED LOOKS DRY WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS.

.LONG TERM (WED NT-SUN)...12Z GFS SHOWS A MORE PROGRESSIVE PATTERN FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK WITH THE NEXT STORM NOW ARRIVING ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST WED NIGHT AND INTO THE LA AREA THURS. WENT AHEAD AND BUMPED UP POPS ALL AREAS THURSDAY, THOUGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE CONSIDERABLY LOWER THAN WITH THIS FIRST STORM. TROF AXIS WILL MOVE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WITH LINGERING SHOWERS EARLY ON. THEN DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THE REST OF THE WEEKEND LOOKS DRY.

.AVIATION...A WARM FRONT WAS MOVING NORTHEAST SPREADING SCATTERED LIGHT PRECIPITATION OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA MONDAY AND EVENTUALLY MOVE OVER THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. MODERATE UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BECOME STRONG OVERNIGHT. FREEZING LEVEL WAS AROUND 11KFT THIS MORNING AND WILL ASCEND A FEW HUNDRED FEET OVERNIGHT.

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... HIGH WIND WATCH (SEE LAXNPWLOX). FLOOD WATCH (SEE LAXFFALOX). WIND ADVISORY (SEE LAXNPWLOX). GALE WARNING (SEE LAXCWFLOX). SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SEE LAXCWFLOX). SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT (SEE LAXSPSLOX).

PUBLIC...WOFFORD AVIATION...FORWOOD

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Area Forecast For: Orange County Coastal Areas Issued: February 26, 2006 13:36:19 PST

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Lows 47 to 54. Light winds. Chance of measurable precipitation 20 percent.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs 64 to 69. Winds southeast 15 mph. Chance of measurable precipitation 50 percent
Monday night..Rain: Heavy at times. Lows 50 to 55. Winds south 15 to 25 mph.
Tuesday: Showers...heavy at times...likely in the morning...then partly cloudy with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs 57 to 62. Winds south 15 to 25 mph. Chance of measurable precipitation 70 percent.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Colder. Lows 42 to 49. Light winds. Chance of measurable precipitation 20 percent.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Highs 61 to 66.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Lows 41 to 51.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. Highs 59 to 64.
Thursday night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows 40 to 50.
Friday: Mostly cloudy in the morning...becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 58 to 63.
Friday night: Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening. Lows 41 to 50.
Saturday: Partly cloudy in the morning...becoming mostly sunny. Highs 59 to 64.
Saturday night: Mostly clear. Lows 41 to 51.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 66 to 71.

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Area Forecast For: San Diego County Coastal Areas Issued: February 26, 2006 13:36:19 PST

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Lows 45 to 53. Light winds. Chance of measurable precipitation 20 percent.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs 61 to 66 near the coast to 66 to 71 inland. Light winds becoming south 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Chance of measurable precipitation 50 percent.
Monday night..Rain: Heavy at times. Lows 52 to 57. Winds southeast 15 to 25 mph.
Tuesday: Showers likely in the morning...then partly cloudy with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs 58 to 63. Winds south 15 to 25 mph. Chance of measurable precipitation 70 percent.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Colder. Lows 42 to 51. Light winds. Chance of measurable precipitation 20 percent.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Highs 60 to 65.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Lows 43 to 52.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. Highs 60 to 65.
Thursday night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows 44 to 53.
Friday: Mostly cloudy in the morning...becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs around 60.
Friday night: Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening. Lows 42 to 51.
Saturday: Partly cloudy in the morning...becoming mostly sunny. Highs 58 to 63.
Saturday night: Mostly clear. Lows 44 to 54.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 60 to 65 near the coast to 64 to 69 inland.

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Area Forecast For: San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys - The Inland EmpireIssued: February 26, 2006 13:36:19 PST

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Lows 42 to 49. Light winds. Chance of measurable precipitation 20 percent.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs 61 to 70. Winds south 15 to 20 mph. Chance of measurable precipitation 50 percent.
Monday night..Rain: Heavy at times. Lows 48 to 53. Winds south 15 to 25 mph.
Tuesday: Showers likely in the morning...then partly cloudy with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs 57 to 63. Winds south 15 to 25 mph. Chance of measurable precipitation 70 percent.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Colder. Lows 37 to 44. Light winds. Chance of measurable precipitation 20 percent.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the morning. Highs 61 to 66.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Lows 36 to 43.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. Highs 59 to 65.
Thursday night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows 37 to 45.
Friday: Mostly cloudy in the morning...becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 56 to 61.
Friday night: Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening. Lows 35 to 43.
Saturday: Partly cloudy in the morning...becoming mostly sunny. Highs 59 to 65.
Saturday night: Mostly clear. Lows 38 to 45.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 65 to 72.

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Area Forecast For: San Bernardino County Mountains Issued: February 26, 2006 13:36:19 PST

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Lows 30 to 40. Winds southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. Chance of measurable precipitation 20 percent.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Snow level above 8000 feet. Highs 42 to 52. Winds south 20 to 30 mph with gusts to 45 mph. Chance of measurable precipitation 50 percent
Monday night.. Rain: Heavy at times. Becoming snow above 7000 feet late. Snow accumulation around 5 inches. Lows 33 to 43. Winds south 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 55 mph.
Tuesday: Showers likely in the morning...then partly cloudy with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Snow level 6500 feet. Highs 41 to 51. Winds southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 55 mph. Chance of measurable precipitation 70 percent.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Colder. Snow level 6000 feet. Lows 25 to 35. Winds west 15 to 25 mph. Chance of measurable precipitation 40 percent.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the morning. Highs 44 to 54.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Lows 27 to 36.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. Highs 37 to 47.
Thursday night: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the evening...then chance of showers after midnight. Windy. Lows 24 to 34.
Friday: Mostly cloudy in the morning...becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Windy. Highs 34 to 44.
Friday night: Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening. Breezy. Lows 23 to 33.
Saturday: Partly cloudy in the morning...becoming mostly sunny. Highs 38 to 48.
Saturday night: Mostly clear. Lows 22 to 32.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Not as cool. Highs 48 to 58.

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Area Forecast For: Los Angeles County Coast-Including Downtown Los Angeles...Malibu...Santa Monica...Beverly Hills...Hollywood...Long Beach Issued: February 26, 2006 15:37:26 PST

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the mid 50s.
Monday: Rain likely. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds around 15 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Monday night: Rain. Rain may be heavy at times. Lows in the 50s. East winds 15 to 20 mph shifting to the south after midnight.
Tuesday: Cloudy with rain likely and isolated thunderstorms in the morning...then partly cloudy with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds 15 to 20 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Wednesday and Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Lows around 50.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Thursday night: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the 40s.
Friday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Friday night: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the 40s.
Saturday and Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s.

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Area Forecast For: Antelope Valley-Including Lancaster...Palmdale Issued: February 26, 2006 15:37:26 PST

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s.
Monday: Rain likely. Breezy. Highs in the mid 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 70 percent
Monday night..Rain: Breezy. Rain may be heavy at times. Lows in the 40s. Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph.
Tuesday: Cloudy with rain likely and isolated thunderstorms in the morning...then partly cloudy with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Breezy. Highs in the 50s. Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the upper 20s and 30s. Southwest winds around 20 mph in the evening.
Wednesday and Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Lows near 40.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s.
Thursday night: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s.
Friday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the 50s.
Friday night: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the 30s.
Saturday and Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

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For: 2.7 miles east of Burbank. Created: February 26, 2006 17:30:54 PST

This Afternoon: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Probability of measurable precipitation 30 percent. Southeast wind 12 mph. High 73.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Probability of measurable precipitation 30 percent. Southeast wind 13 mph. Low 47.
Monday: Rain. Probability of measurable precipitation 60 percent. Southeast wind 17 mph. High 61.
Monday Night: Rain. Probability of measurable precipitation 90 percent. Southeast wind 23 mph. Low 47.
Tuesday: Thunderstorms then chance of rain showers. Probability of measurable precipitation 60 percent. South wind 28 gusting to 38 mph. High 55.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Probability of measurable precipitation 30 percent. Low 42.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High 56.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy. Low 46.
Thursday: Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Probability of measurable precipitation 30 percent. High 54.
Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Probability of measurable precipitation 30 percent. Low 40.
Friday: Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Probability of measurable precipitation 30 percent. High 50.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Probability of measurable precipitation 30 percent. Low 40.
Saturday: Partly cloudy. High 56.
Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Low 40.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. High 59.

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Area Forecast For: Ventura County Coast-Including Ventura...Oxnard...Camarillo Issued: February 26, 2006 15:37:26 PST

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Monday: Rain likely in the morning...then rain in the afternoon. Rain may be heavy at times in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds around 15 mph.
Monday night: Rain. Rain may be heavy at times. Lows in the lower to mid 50s. East winds 15 to 20 mph.
Tuesday: Cloudy with rain likely and isolated thunderstorms in the morning...then partly cloudy with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Lows in the 40s.
Wednesday and Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. Highs around 60. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs around 60.
Thursday night: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the 40s.
Friday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Friday night: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower to mid 40s.
Saturday and Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Lows in the lower to mid 40s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 60s.

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Area Forecast For: Santa Barbara County South Coast-Including Santa Barbara...Montecito...Carpinteria Issued: February 26, 2006 15:37:26 PST

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain in the evening...then rain likely after midnight. Breezy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast winds 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Monday: Rain and isolated thunderstorms in the morning. Rain may be heavy at times in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to around 40 mph
Monday night..Rain: Windy. Rain may be heavy at times. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts to around 40 mph decreasing to 15 to 20 mph after midnight.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms in the morning...then partly cloudy with a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southeast winds around 15 mph in the morning. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the 40s.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain after midnight. Lows in the upper 40s.
Thursday: Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s.
Thursday night: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows in the 40s.
Friday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the 50s.
Friday night: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows near 40.
Saturday and Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Lows near 40.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s to mid 60s.

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Area Forecast For: San Luis Obispo County Central Coast-Including San Luis Obispo...Pismo Beach...Morro Bay...Cambria...San Simeon Issued: February 26, 2006 15:37:26 PST

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Windy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southeast winds 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Monday: Rain and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Windy. Rain may be heavy at times in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts to 45 mph in the afternoon.
Monday night: Rain and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Very windy. Rain may be heavy at times. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts to around 45 mph.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain showers. Lows in the 40s. Southwest winds around 15 mph in the evening.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy in the evening...then mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain after midnight. Lows in the 40s.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the 50s.
Thursday night: Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Breezy. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Friday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. A 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s.
Friday night and Saturday: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
Saturday night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 1000 PM PST SAT FEB 25 2006

ANTELOPE VALLEY-CATALINA ISLAND-CUYAMA VALLEY- LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES- LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE- LOS ANGELES COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS- SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST- SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA- SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-VENTURA COUNTY COAST- VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS- VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS- 1000 PM PST SAT FEB 25 2006

...VERY WET AND WINDY WEATHER WILL OCCUR ACROSS CALIFORNIA MONDAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY..

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS 800 MILES WEST OF SEATTLE THIS EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT DRIFTS EASTWARD TOWARD THE WEST COAST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. WHEN IT NEARS OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA IT WILL LIKELY TAP INTO A DEEP LAYER OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE. THIS INTERACTION BETWEEN THE STORM AND THE MOISTURE PLUME IS LIKELY TO BRING VERY HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TO SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA.

A LONG FETCH OF MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES BY LATE SUNDAY...WITH RAIN SPREADING SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION OVERNIGHT SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY MORNING. THE PEAK OF THE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS SAN LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES...AND MONDAY EVENING THROUGH MID TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY TUESDAY.

THE COMBINATION OF DEEP MOISTURE AND STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL GIVE THIS STORM THE POTENTIAL TO BRING VERY HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO THE REGION. PRELIMINARY RAINFALL FORECASTS ARE FOR 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS MOST COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS. FOOTHILL AND MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS COULD RECEIVE BETWEEN 5 AND 10 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL ACROSS SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FACING SLOPES OF THE SANTA BARBARA...VENTURA...AND LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS.

RAINFALL INTENSITIES COULD EASILY EXCEED ONE HALF INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH RATES IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR POSSIBLE ACROSS FOOTHILL AND MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS. WITH SUCH INTENSE RAINFALL RATES EXPECTED...FLASH FLOODING WITH CORRESPONDING MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS WILL CERTAINLY BE A CONCERN FOR THE BURN AREAS. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. PLEASE REFER TO LAXFFALOX FOR EXACT DETAILS ON THE FLASH FLOOD RISKS. IN ADDITION..WIDESPREAD URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IS LIKELY ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION.

DUE TO THE SUBTROPICAL NATURE OF THIS SYSTEM...SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE RESORT LEVELS DURING MOST OF THE EVENT. ON MONDAY NIGHT...SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY LIGHT.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING OVER 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND THE CENTRAL COAST...WHERE A HIGH WIND WATCH (LAXNPWLOX) IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. WIND ADVISORIES MIGHT ALSO BE NEEDED ACROSS COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS OF VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES AS WELL.

ANYONE PLANNING TRAVEL SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER FORECAST AND ROAD REPORTS BEFORE DEPARTING.STRONG WINDS AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT. RESIDENTS IN AND AROUND THE BURN AREAS ARE URGED TO STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS...AND FOR POSSIBLE FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS AS THIS SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS.

ASR

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 400 PM PST SUN FEB 26 2006

ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS- SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS- SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS- COACHELLA VALLEY- SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS- 400 PM PST SUN FEB 26 2006

...A STRONG PACIFIC STORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA MONDAY AND TUESDAY..

A MOISTURE LADEN...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL BRING POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAIN AS IT TAPS INTO A DEEP LAYER OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE. LIGHT RAIN WILL BEGIN AS EARLY AS MONDAY...THEN INTENSIFY MONDAY EVENING AS SOUTHERLY WINDS DRAW MORE MOISTURE INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THE BEST CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING WHEN THE COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE REGION.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM ONE TO THREE INCHES IN THE COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS...AND THREE TO SEVEN INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. THE SOUTH AND WEST FACING SLOPES WILL LIKELY RECEIVE THE MOST RAIN AND THERE WILL GENERALLY BE MORE RAIN IN THE NORTH AND LESS IN THE SOUTH. THE HIGH DESERTS SHOULD GET NEAR ONE AND A HALF INCHES OF RAIN WITH ABOUT AN INCH IN THE SOUTHERN DESERTS.

RAINFALL INTENSITIES MONDAY NIGHT COULD EXCEED ONE HALF INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH RATES IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR POSSIBLE ACROSS FOOTHILL AND MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS. WITH SUCH HIGH RAINFALL RATES...FLASH FLOODING...MUD SLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS WILL BE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY IN AND BELOW RECENTLY BURNED AREAS AND ON STEEP TERRAIN. URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

THE WARM TROPICAL AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP SNOW LEVELS ABOVE RESORT LOCATIONS UNTIL MONDAY NIGHT SO THAT ANY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE RESTRICTED TO THE HIGHEST PEAKS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE MOUNTAINS. AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT...THE SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP TO ABOUT 6500 FEET ON TUESDAY MORNING.

ON MONDAY...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...AND WIND ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR SOME AREAS OF THE SAN BERNARDINO...RIVERSIDE AND SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS.

ALL INTERESTS SHOULD KEEP INFORMED ON THE LATEST DEVELOPMENT OF THIS STORM BY MONITORING THE LATEST WEATHER STATEMENTS. A FLOOD WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR THE HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO FALL MONDAY NIGHT.

ATKIN

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FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 1208 PM PST SUN FEB 26 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ORANGE...SAN DIEGO...SOUTHWEST SAN BERNARDINO AND WEST RIVERSIDE COUNTIES FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON..

.A PACIFIC STORM WITH A SUBTROPICAL CONNECTION WILL BRING HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING...MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS ESPECIALLY IN AND NEAR THE BURN AREAS...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.

ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS- SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS- COACHELLA VALLEY-SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS- 1208 PM PST SUN FEB 26 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON..

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF CA AND SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CA...SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS IN SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA...APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS...COACHELLA VALLEY...ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS...RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS...SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE...SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS...SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS...SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS.
* FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
* WITH A SUBTROPICAL CONNECTION...RAINFALL MAY BE VERY HEAVY AT TIMES WITH A THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING...MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS ESPECIALLY IN AND BELOW THE BURN AREAS. THE MOST RECENT 2005 AND 2006 BURN AREAS WOULD BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO FLOODING. THIS INCLUDES THE YORBA LINDA...WOODHOUSE...SAN TIMOTEO...THURMAN AND SOBOBA BURN AREAS AND IN 2006 THE SIERRA AND BLAISDELL BURN AREAS.
* THIS STORM COULD AFFECT ANYONE IN FAR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.. ESPECIALLY RESIDENTS OR PERSONS WITH INTERESTS NEAR OR DOWNSTREAM OF RECENTLY BURNED AREAS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION.

STORM RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM ABOUT 1 TO 3 INCHESIN THE COASTAL AREAS AND INLAND VALLEYS WITH 3 TO 7 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. THE DESERTS COULD GET AROUND AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A HALF OF RAIN. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL BE VERY HIGH WHEN THE RAIN BEGINS.. ABOVE 7500 FEET...FOR MOST OF THE STORM. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL LOWER TO ABOUT 6500 FEET LATE MONDAY NIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS RAIN AND NOT SNOW.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

WHITLOW

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FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 329 PM PST SUN FEB 26 2006

...PACIFIC STORM TO BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TO SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA MONDAY AND TUESDAY..

.A STORM OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL BRING HEAVY RAINS TO THE REGION MONDAY AND TUESDAY. MOSTLY LIGHT SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL COAST TONIGHT AND SOUTH TO LOS ANGELES COUNTY BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED MONDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST AND MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING IN LOS ANGELES COUNTY. RAINFALL IN COASTAL AND VALLEY LOCATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH 5 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS.

THE MOST VULNERABLE LOCATIONS IN THE REGION WILL BE THE RECENT BURN AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING THE SCHOOL...TOPANGA.. HARVARD...GORMAN AND TOVEY BURN AREAS. RESIDENTS LIVING BELOW THESE AND OTHER BURN AREAS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF MUD.. ROCK AND DEBRIS FLOWS AFTER THE ARRIVAL OF THE HEAVY RAIN. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS...AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS AS THE STORM DRAWS NEARER TO THE REGION.

LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST-SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA- LOS ANGELES COUNTY VALLEYS- LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE- ANTELOPE VALLEY-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY- 329 PM PST SUN FEB 26 2006

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING..

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* LOS ANGELES COUNTY...INCLUDING THE TOPANGA...HARVARD...GORMAN...TOVEY...FOOTHILL AND CROWN BURN AREAS.
* FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING
* PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING LOCAL RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR...WILL BRING THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS IN AND BELOW THE BURN AREAS.
* RESIDENTS OR PERSONS WITH INTERESTS NEAR AND ESPECIALLY DOWNSTREAM OF THE BURN AREAS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE PROTECTIVE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOODING WITH MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS DEVELOP.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING MAY TAKE THE FORM OF MUD AND DEBRIS FLOWS IN AND BELOW THE RECENT BURN AREAS. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

WOFFORD

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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 339 PM PST SUN FEB 26 2006

...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING..

.A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF STRONG AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WINDS TO THE REGION MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MOUNTAINS...HOWEVER WINDS GUSTING TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN SAN LUIS OBISPO AND NORTHERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES.

SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY COAST-SANTA BARBARA COUNTY NORTH COAST- 339 PM PST SUN FEB 26 2006

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 4 AM PST TUESDAY..

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM MONDAY TO 4 AM PST TUESDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

SOUTH WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

Geez! You expect me to read all of this? Ill bee 85 by the time I finish!

[Miss Mary]

Quiz on Monday!

LOL @ cheezy.....

Mary

[cheezyWXguy]

Quiz on Monday!

LOL @ cheezy.....

Mary

LOL

[Miss Mary]

Actually....I'm glad someone else spoke up. When I see long wx statements like that, I tend to skip a lot. Yikes, don't flame me anyone.....LOL

[azsnowman]

Well........I'm NOT holding my breath once again, why should I? I mean this will make "18" times moisture has been in the forecast since October 9th and not ONE time has it verified........I'm taking the "I'll believe when I'm WET" attitude!

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

FXUS65 KFGZ 271004 AFDFGZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 245 AM MST MON FEB 27 2006 .SYNOPSIS...EXPECT ANOTHER WARM AND BREEZY DAY TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE STATE. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING BREEZY AND COOLER CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH A CHANCE FOR RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO NORTHERN ARIZONA FRIDAY. && .DISCUSSION...WARM AND DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP TODAY AHEAD OF A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL ARRIVE ON TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ONCE AGAIN. NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL MODEL RUNS WITH THE EXPECTED IMPACT OF THE PACIFIC STORM ON OUR CWA. THE SOUTHERN END OF THE STORM WILL WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER ARIZONA. THE STRONGEST PART OF THE STORM WILL REMAIN NORTH OF ARIZONA...BUT THE MOISTURE PLUME AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGES. THE PLUME IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE WESTERN CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND GOOD OROGRAPHIC LIFT FOR PERIODS OF RAIN OVER THE MOUNTAINS WITH SHOWERS FOR THE VALLEYS...ALTHOUGH THE LCR VALLEY MAY NOT SEE MUCH PRECIP DUE TO STRONG DOWNSLOPING. GREATEST CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION (60-70 PCT) WILL BE OVER HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG AND SOUTHWEST OF THE MOGOLLON RIM. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL REMAIN ABOVE 7500 FEET THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. BY THE TIME COLDER AIR ARRIVES OVERNIGHT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY MORNING...MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL HAVE ENDED. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE OVER HIGHEST SOUTHWEST-FACING TERRAIN OF THE KAIBAB PLATEAU...WITH ONLY A COUPLE INCHES EXPECTED. THE STORM WILL ALSO PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS. IN SOME FAVORED LOCATIONS...WINDS MAY GUST TO 35 MPH ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

[LTHLBLU]

I think you may get some for once, I have a feeling, this a really wet storm. Im praying for ya man.