Tropical Depression Basyang at WPAC

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Feb 28, 2006 4:05 pm

Let's see what this area of disturbed weather does in the next few days.

#2 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue Feb 28, 2006 4:12 pm

NOGAPS SHOWS A TROPICAL CYCLONE HITTING SOUTHERN PHILIPPINES IN A FEW DAYS.

James · #3 Postby **James** » Tue Feb 28, 2006 4:19 pm

Does it give much of an idea of what kind of strength it may be?

#4 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Feb 28, 2006 4:26 pm

I dont know if it's me but it has been a few days that the link to JTWC is not working.

#5 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue Feb 28, 2006 7:17 pm

The low pressure seems to be trying to get its act together!!!

#6 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue Feb 28, 2006 7:19 pm

Here is a look at Invest 93W and also Invest 97S.

#7 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Feb 28, 2006 7:23 pm

Yes HURAKAN you are right.Above is a visible pic and it looks like it's organizing but slowly.Look at the fanning to the north side which means anticyclonic flow and outflow trying to establish.

WindRunner · #8 Postby **WindRunner** » Tue Feb 28, 2006 7:23 pm

cycloneye wrote:I dont know if it's me but it has been a few days that the link to JTWC is not working.

This worked for me:

http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

#9 Postby **P.K.** » Tue Feb 28, 2006 7:25 pm

Well no mention of this area was made at 1800 GMT in the MetArea forecasts.

#10 Postby **HURAKAN** » Wed Mar 01, 2006 12:30 am

IF CURRENT DEVELOPMENT TREND CONTINUES WE COULD HAVE A TROPICAL DEPRESSION PRETTY SOON!!!

James · #11 Postby **James** » Wed Mar 01, 2006 2:36 am

Sure looking like it, this one sprung up pretty fast.

#12 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Mar 01, 2006 9:14 am

01/0833 UTC 4.2N 140.7E T1.0/1.0 93W -- West Pacific Ocean

James · #13 Postby **James** » Wed Mar 01, 2006 9:44 am

Looks like it's getting its act together. Certainly impressive on satellite.

#14 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Mar 01, 2006 6:41 pm

01/1933 UTC 3.5N 140.2E TOO WEAK 93W -- West Pacific Ocean

The system is not well organized right now although deep convection has increased in the past few hours.

James · #15 Postby **James** » Thu Mar 02, 2006 1:57 am

From the JTWC:

THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR.

#16 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Mar 02, 2006 6:41 am

02/0833 UTC 2.6N 140.0E T1.5/1.5 93W -- West Pacific Ocean

#17 Postby **P.K.** » Thu Mar 02, 2006 10:11 am

This appears to be the first mention of this area by the JMA.

WWJP25 RJTD 021200
WARNING AND SUMMARY 021200.
WARNING VALID 031200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
DEVELOPING LOW 980 HPA
AT 47N 154E SEA AROUND KURILS MOVING NORTHEAST 30 KNOTS.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 47N 154E TO 47N 156E 48N 157E.
WARM FRONT FROM 48N 157E TO 48N 162E 46N 166E.
COLD FRONT FROM 48N 157E TO 44N 156E 39N 153E 35N 151E 31N 148E 28N
146E 25N 142E.
WINDS 30 TO 55 KNOTS WITHIN 1300 MILES OF LOW SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
AND 700 MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 54N 165E WITH UNCERTAINTY OF 100
MILES RADIUS.
ANOTHER LOW 1000 HPA AT 44N 142E
MOVING EAST SLOWLY.
GALE WARNING.
DEVELOPED LOW 994 HPA
AT 63N 177W BERING SEA MOVING EASTNORTHEAST 15 KNOTS.
WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS WITHIN 800 MILES OF LOW SOUTH SEMICIRCLE AND 300
MILES ELSEWHERE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 29N 146E 39N 153E
47N 154E 53N 160E 50N 175E 30N 164E 26N 155E 29N 146E.
SUMMARY.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1008 HPA NEAR 05N 139E WEST SLOWLY.
HIGH 1028 HPA AT 42N 175E EAST 15 KT.
HIGH 1024 HPA AT 29N 122E ESE 20 KT.

#18 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Mar 02, 2006 10:49 am

02/1333 UTC 3.4N 140.4E T1.5/1.5 93W -- West Pacific Ocean

MiamiensisWx · #19 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Thu Mar 02, 2006 10:51 am

Looking better now... I see outflow starting to establish and convection firing near the center. Who agrees?

#20 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Mar 02, 2006 5:05 pm

At 18:00z NRL drops the pressure to 1004 mbs and increase the winds to 20kts.

Tropical Depression Basyang at WPAC

Tropical Depression Basyang at WPAC

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