GOM BLOB ALERT 5-29-06

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HouTXmetro
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GOM BLOB ALERT 5-29-06

#1 Postby HouTXmetro » Mon May 29, 2006 9:20 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

Chance of develpment?
Last edited by HouTXmetro on Mon May 29, 2006 9:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby HURAKAN » Mon May 29, 2006 9:23 am

Do you mean, 5-29-06?

Development, no!!

Just wait for the season to start!!!! 8-) 8-) 8-)
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#3 Postby HouTXmetro » Mon May 29, 2006 9:24 am

HURAKAN wrote:Do you mean, 5-29-06?

Development, no!!

Just wait for the season to start!!!! 8-) 8-) 8-)


Thanks, lol
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#4 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon May 29, 2006 9:25 am

houston i think we have a problem, somebody changed the date :cheesy: :ggreen:
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#5 Postby HURAKAN » Mon May 29, 2006 9:25 am

Too much wind shear,

Image

and it's increasing.

Image
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#6 Postby skysummit » Mon May 29, 2006 9:35 am

Right now there's too much shear, however, in 36 - 48 hours, if convection is persistant, the BoC will be pretty favorable when it comes to wind shear. The GFS does put a low in that area in the short term, but does nothing with it. I doubt convection will stay persistant long enough, but who knows. Here's another visible shot:

14:02 UTC:

Image

14:15 UTC:

Image
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CHRISTY

#7 Postby CHRISTY » Mon May 29, 2006 9:43 am

I just noticed the flare up too....it looks like it came from the pacific?maybe a part of Aletta.
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#8 Postby TS Zack » Mon May 29, 2006 9:47 am

Way to much shear....

The subtropical jet has been persistent across the GOM and Caribbean for the past few weeks. Not looking like much in the way of development early on unless something gives.
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CHRISTY

#9 Postby CHRISTY » Mon May 29, 2006 9:49 am

TS Zack wrote:Way to much shear....

The subtropical jet has been persistent across the GOM and Caribbean for the past few weeks. Not looking like much in the way of development early on unless something gives.


i would have to agree with u.
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#10 Postby skysummit » Mon May 29, 2006 9:50 am

Yes Zack, I agree with you on the shear right now, but what are your thoughts on the convection hanging around for 36 - 48 hours or so? The shear is "supposed" to let up by then, but I see where you're coming from...it hasn't in the last few weeks.
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Rainband

#11 Postby Rainband » Mon May 29, 2006 9:52 am

The models show this blob and do nothing with it.
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#12 Postby Johnny » Mon May 29, 2006 9:53 am

The rain southeast, Texas is recieving right now can easily be compared to tropical storm type rain. Some parts of southeast, Texas have recieve 12 to 15 inches of rain! It's not over yet.
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#13 Postby HouTXmetro » Mon May 29, 2006 9:56 am

Johnny wrote:The rain southeast, Texas is recieving right now can easily be compared to tropical storm type rain. Some parts of southeast, Texas have recieve 12 to 15 inches of rain! It's not over yet.


I know... I pray that no one looses their home in this event. The rain is falling over Southeast Texas including Houston.
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#14 Postby vbhoutex » Mon May 29, 2006 9:59 am

My current concern with that blob would be more if the abundant moisture from it is pulled up into the ongoing system we are dealing with now. That we don't need.
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#15 Postby beachbum_al » Mon May 29, 2006 10:29 am

Could we just have the rain off of the blob? We need rain here like most of the Gulf Coast!
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CHRISTY

#16 Postby CHRISTY » Mon May 29, 2006 10:38 am

Here are a few images of this BLOB that will soon go :blowup:

Image

Image

Image
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#17 Postby weatherwoman132 » Mon May 29, 2006 10:49 am

it was nice knowing that blob. =] lol
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#18 Postby Houstonia » Mon May 29, 2006 12:27 pm

Johnny wrote:The rain southeast, Texas is recieving right now can easily be compared to tropical storm type rain. Some parts of southeast, Texas have recieve 12 to 15 inches of rain! It's not over yet.


Which brings us up to that timely statement:

It doesn't take a hurricane to cause disaster in the Houston/Galveston area.

:roll:
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Rainband

#19 Postby Rainband » Mon May 29, 2006 12:30 pm

I agree or any where else.
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#20 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon May 29, 2006 12:32 pm

beachbum_al wrote:Could we just have the rain off of the blob? We need rain here like most of the Gulf Coast!


I couldn't agree more. In Florida, it's mostly inland rain -- if any at all. :cry:
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