TS Alberto Recon Reports

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dixiebreeze
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TS Alberto Recon Reports

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Jun 08, 2006 10:01 am

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1100 AM EDT THU 08 JUN 2006
SUBJECT: TROPICAL STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (TSPOD)
VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z JUN 2006
TSPOD NUMBER.....06-008

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: PSBL LOW LEVEL INVEST
NEAR YUCATAN NORTHERN COAST 10/1800Z.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
WVW
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#2 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Jun 08, 2006 10:07 am

Tropical Weather Outlook


Statement as of 11:30 am EDT on June 08, 2006


For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
A broad surface low pressure system located near Belize is producing
widespread cloudiness and showers across the eastern Yucatan
Peninsula... Belize... western Cuba... and much of the northwestern
Caribbean Sea. Any development of this system should be slow to
occur due to only marginally favorable upper-level winds and
interaction with land. However... as the system moves slowly north
or northwestward... locally heavy rainfall will be possible over
much of the Yucatan Peninsula... Belize... Guatemala... and western
Cuba during the next day or two.
Elsewhere...tropical storm formation is not expected through Friday.
Forecaster Stewart
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#3 Postby tailgater » Thu Jun 08, 2006 10:12 am

It's a little soon for this thread. Don't ya think :P
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#4 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jun 08, 2006 10:15 am

tailgater wrote:It's a little soon for this thread. Don't ya think :P


Possible low level invest
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#5 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Jun 08, 2006 10:18 am

tailgater wrote:It's a little soon for this thread. Don't ya think :P


Not really, but if it is, it will soon be deleted. :)
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#6 Postby jlauderdal » Thu Jun 08, 2006 11:11 am

tailgater wrote:It's a little soon for this thread. Don't ya think :P


r u kidding, a t-storm forms in the atlantic basin and the posts start flying, wait until we actually have something..the wind was east fora while here now west, i am starting a thread about a circulation around fort lauderdale
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#7 Postby StormScanWx » Thu Jun 08, 2006 11:28 am

Will the Recon fly into this system today?
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#8 Postby tailgater » Thu Jun 08, 2006 11:37 am

StormScanWx wrote:Will the Recon fly into this system today?

No and probably not tommorrow either, if it has a center it's over land and will probably be there for 24hrs. IMHO
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#9 Postby Stratusxpeye » Thu Jun 08, 2006 11:39 am

tailgater wrote:
StormScanWx wrote:Will the Recon fly into this system today?

No and probably not tommorrow either, if it has a center it's over land and will probably be there for 24hrs. IMHO


I agree with that one. Possible reformation of center near NE Coast of yucatan. But it will be over land for awhile either way.
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Re: 90L Invest Recon. thread

#10 Postby donsutherland1 » Thu Jun 08, 2006 11:46 am

One statistic to bear in mind: June storms are notorious for making U.S. landfall.

In the 1950-2005 period, 35 named storms formed in the June 1-30 period. 25 (71%) made U.S. landfall. 22 (88%) of those storms made landfall on the U.S. Gulf Coast. Last year TS Arlene made landfall on the Florida Panhandle while TS Bret did not make U.S. landfall.
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#11 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Jun 08, 2006 12:37 pm

Lets hope that these water temps in the GOM don't support any major hurricanes. It would be catastrophic for the first hurricane to be a Major into the U.S like Andrew, Audrey, and Allen.
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#12 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:00 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:
tailgater wrote:It's a little soon for this thread. Don't ya think :P


Not really, but if it is, it will soon be deleted. :)


No it wont be deleited. :)
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#13 Postby Yankeegirl » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:09 pm

Wow.... already an invest! I had to refresh my hubby on what an invest was... lol...
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#14 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 09, 2006 7:36 am

This thread will continue to be used for the information about the plan of the day for 90L.Let's see later this morning what will the plan of the day brings so stay tuned.
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#15 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 09, 2006 10:08 am

464
NOUS42 KNHC 091500
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1100 AM EDT FRI 09 JUN 2006
SUBJECT: TROPICAL STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (TSPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z JUN 2006
TSPOD NUMBER.....06-009

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA NEAR YUCATAN.
FLIGHT ONE
A. 10/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST
C. 10/1530Z
D. 20.0N AND 86.0W
E. 10/1700 TO 2300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: PSBL LOW LEVEL INVEST
OR FIX MISSION NEAR 24N AND 88W 11/1800Z.


Recon for tommorow at 2 PM EDT.
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#16 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Fri Jun 09, 2006 10:12 am

Uh Oh when the NHC starts sending out recon then that spells trouble.
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#17 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 09, 2006 10:17 am

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Uh Oh when the NHC starts sending out recon then that spells trouble.


Not a done deal as many times they haved sent missions and haved not found a close circulation.
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#18 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Jun 09, 2006 10:18 am

take-off around 11:30 A.M. EDT, reachs the storm around 1 P.M. EDT, leaves the storm around 7 P.M. EDT...hmmm...very interesting that they are sending recon out there tomorrow...I wonder what they will find...
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#19 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 09, 2006 10:25 am

I forgot to mention that they can cancel the mission as it has occured in past years if they dont see plenty of organization of the system.
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#20 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Jun 09, 2006 10:29 am

cycloneye wrote:I forgot to mention that they can cancel the mission as it has occured in past years if they dont see plenty of organization of the system.
That actually happend alot last year with systems near the Windward (sp) Islands...the system would look good...then the day recon was going to investigate it, it would fall apart...
EDIT: hey...what do you know? page two of the thread already...:lol:
Last edited by brunota2003 on Fri Jun 09, 2006 10:30 am, edited 1 time in total.
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