New vortex message=1003 mbs

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cycloneye
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New vortex message=1003 mbs

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 12, 2003 7:30 pm

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPNT2.shtml?

56 kts maximun winds at flight level at NE Quadrant interesting data comming out.And pressure is down from 1008 mbs to 1003 mbs.
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#2 Postby Stormsfury » Sat Jul 12, 2003 7:40 pm

Hmmm .... the 5 mb drop isn't too bad considering the now completely exposed center of Claudette ...

Claudette continues to maintain strong convection NE of the center with divergent shear ... the same thing which continues to keep chopping off Claudette's top ...

Part of the reason may very well likely be now that Claudette has finally consolidated down to just one true center of circulation ...

SF
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#3 Postby ColdFront77 » Sat Jul 12, 2003 7:47 pm

I'm not too surprised this has happened. Shear could be a lot higher in the Gulf of Mexico, in and around Claudette.
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#4 Postby Toni - 574 » Sat Jul 12, 2003 7:51 pm

Well she has held her own today, and looks better tonight than I thought that she would. Still waiting on that left turn, things could change in another 24 hrs but tonight she looks like she is going N. to me. I know that the shear does give the apperance that she is heading at times off the the NNE, but I went as far as putting paper over half of my computer screen and only looked at the most western edge of Claudette and she still apeared to be moving N. to NNE. I know I know that's pretty desperate. Again, looks like she is trying to fire up some more convection tonight, but when I looked at the zoomed sat. pics I know I see at least 3 spins. How can she ever keep her intensity with that goin on? The dry air that is to her W. Will help for a while to keep her on that N. track also. This morning she had me pretty much convienced that she was going to go West, again I am having second thoughts. I'll believe it when I see it!
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#5 Postby OtherHD » Sat Jul 12, 2003 8:08 pm

It's already moving west...the center at least...
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#6 Postby Steve » Sat Jul 12, 2003 9:04 pm

>>I know I know that's pretty desperate

LMAO. But I'm hoping to get some blowoff convection tomorrow from Claudette when she re-fires. And she will re-fire. I just don't want any more floods (btw, I didn't post it on this site, but N.O. got it's 4th flooding day in 4 weeks. Never before have I seen anything like that).

Steve
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#7 Postby southerngale » Sat Jul 12, 2003 9:04 pm

OtherHD wrote:It's already moving west...the center at least...


It is? I guess I need my eyes checked....I just don't see it. :roll:
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#8 Postby Colin » Sat Jul 12, 2003 9:33 pm

It wouldn't surprise me if it did go north...Claudette has provided us with many surprises and it really wouldn't surprise me if it continued heading due north, but I'm doubting that that'll happen.

The shear could possibly increase, but only time will tell.
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You missed it!

#9 Postby wxman57 » Sat Jul 12, 2003 9:38 pm

You already missed the turn, it occurred about 5 hours ago. Claudette has been moving WNW-NW since about 4pm. Present movement 280 deg at 7kts. There will be no north movement tonight. She's right on course to hit the lower TX coast near BRO.
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#10 Postby Colin » Sat Jul 12, 2003 9:42 pm

Thanks wxman...stupid, stupid me. :roll:
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Maybe..

#11 Postby wxman57 » Sat Jul 12, 2003 9:49 pm

Maybe you'll get the next one, Colin. :wink: NHC is mentioning that the ridge is building north of Claudette as well. Turn out the lights (LA), the party is over. Claudette is going TX/MX! They really need some rain down there, too. I hear the Rio Grande hardly has any water in it any more.

With the flow pattern this year, Claudette is just a warm-up for the central to eastern Gulf. The big ones are yet to come in August and September.
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#12 Postby Toni - 574 » Sat Jul 12, 2003 9:59 pm

Oh Stop it Colin, your not stupid,you are only suffering from computeritis, and loop lag like the majority of us are!! :crazyeyes:
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#13 Postby wx247 » Sat Jul 12, 2003 11:12 pm

The pressure on the 10 CDT advisory was back up to 1005 mb.
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