NHC outlook question

[Portastorm]

Has anyone ever noticed how sometimes the NHC in its tropical outlook will say that "significant development" is not likely as compared to "development" is not likely.

Should the average Joe (or Josephine) read into this that "some" development might be likely but not SIGNIFICANT development?

For example, in this morning's 11:30 a.m. outlook, NHC says about the tropical wave near the Bahamas that "significant development" is not likely. Should we assume that SOME development may be likely?

[x-y-no]

I think that's just a matter of the habitual turn of phrase of the individual forecaster. I wouldn't read anything into it.

[dwg71]

I would not read much into it, the NHC will not use words like "never" or "definately", they don't paint themselves into a corner.

[Jim Cantore]

I would not read much into it, the NHC will not use words like "never" or "definately", they don't paint themselves into a corner.

especially not after last year.

[Portastorm]

I appreciate the feedback. Thanks guys!!

[theworld]

Hi,

I'm doing some research on La Nina/El Nino, and have been all over the current NOAA data, reading and viewing animations, concluding we are in an ENSO Neutral pattern in the Trop Pacific, as per their reports, and a reference noted in today's NOAA revised Atlantic Hurricane season #'s.

Can some please clarify what ENSO Neutral implies/means.

Is the Pacific somewhere in between El Nino & La Nina
or is La Nina still active
or is there just a mild El Nino in the SouthEast Pacific?

thanks