TS Ernesto General Chat Thread

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SouthFloridawx
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TS Ernesto General Chat Thread

#1 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:14 pm

561
WONT41 KNHC 241912
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
315 PM EDT WED AUG 16 2006

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE
TROPICAL WAVE MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS HAS
DEVELOPED A CLOSED WIND CIRCULATION...AND ADVISORIES ON EITHER A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM WILL BE INITIATED AT 5 PM
AST. MAXIMUM WINDS AT THIS TIME APPEAR TO BE JUST BELOW TROPICAL
STORM STRENGTH...BUT IT IS POSSIBLE THAT STRONGER WINDS MAY BE
OBSERVED PRIOR TO ADVISORY TIME.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Last edited by SouthFloridawx on Thu Aug 24, 2006 5:05 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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#2 Postby Thunder44 » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:15 pm

They say it could be TS at 5pm too.
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#3 Postby gatorcane » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:15 pm

Ernesto is awakening folks!!! :eek: :grr:
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#4 Postby Swimdude » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:15 pm

THIS IS IT!!!
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#5 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:16 pm

:woo:
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#neversummer

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#6 Postby Buck » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:16 pm

So no time was wasted with this one.
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#7 Postby Windsurfer_NYC » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:16 pm

NHC forgot to update the date - it should read AUG 24
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#8 Postby Lowpressure » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:16 pm

Still naked on the NW Quad. Nothing will happen fast until it wraps itself.
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#9 Postby Lifesgud2 » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:17 pm

Weeeee!!!!!!! :coaster:
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#10 Postby canetracker » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:18 pm

Lifesgud2 wrote:Weeeee!!!!!!! :coaster:


Totally agree! We are in for another rollercoaster ride.
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#11 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:19 pm

as posted earlier... 1/2 the models show a continued weakness in the ridge 5+ days out, others show the ridge temporarily weakening and then trying to build back slowly to the west, but hten weakening again. we need a few more days to know how strong, and persistent, that ridge is going to be.

I guess we also need to start looking at any ridging over TX that could be there in by next weekend and/or any early season fronts that could be traveling across the lower states by then in case they could be players too.
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#12 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:19 pm

SouthFloridawx the main thread already is posted. :)
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#13 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:20 pm

Brent wrote::woo:


I'm sorry but after last season you need to explain to me what all the excitement is about. No one, I repeat no one needs another hurricane along the GOM or even Eastern U.S. coastline.
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#14 Postby tropicana » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:21 pm

Barbados' Grantley Adams Airport reporting sustained winds to 38mph from the south at 1830Z ( 230pm) .

I have seen rain reports from the islands of averaging 30mm at least from Barbados and Tobago and over 60mm from Trinidad since yesterday.
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#15 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:21 pm

SouthFloridawx,this will be the advisory thread. :)
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#16 Postby whereverwx » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:22 pm

Stormcenter wrote:
Brent wrote::woo:


I'm sorry but after last season you need to explain to me what all the excitement is about. No one, I repeat no one needs another hurricane along the GOM or even Eastern U.S. coastline.

Well, it ends the lull, so I can understand the excitement. And I'm sure Brent doesn't want a hurricane hitting land either.
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#17 Postby Windsurfer_NYC » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:22 pm

Stormcenter wrote:
Brent wrote::woo:


I'm sorry but after last season you need to explain to me what all the excitement is about. No one, I repeat no one needs another hurricane along the GOM or even Eastern U.S. coastline.


because we are meteorologists (or weather enthusiasts) and enjoy the weather (but don't wish death/disaster on anyone). Why can't we just all agree on this and let it drop?
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Josephine96

#18 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:22 pm

The excitement is probably because there are now 2 storms out there at the same time for the 1st time this season.

Apparently the lid has been blown off the Atlantic Ocean's pot..
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rnbaida

#19 Postby rnbaida » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:23 pm

Folks, we are averaging 2-4 post every minute.
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#20 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Aug 24, 2006 2:24 pm

calamity wrote:
Stormcenter wrote:
Brent wrote::woo:


I'm sorry but after last season you need to explain to me what all the excitement is about. No one, I repeat no one needs another hurricane along the GOM or even Eastern U.S. coastline.

Well, it ends the lull, so I can understand the excitement. And I'm sure Brent doesn't want a hurricane hitting land either.


What was wrong with the "lull"? I just don't figure it. I pray that none of you guys don't regret what you are all now excited about.
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