"Could Become a Depression in a Day or Two"??

#1 Postby **wxman57** » Tue Jul 15, 2003 5:51 pm

I suppose they're right. If it weakens some then it could become a depression. :wink:

Judge for yourself with this late afternoon shot:
http://home.houston.rr.com/wx/danny2.gif[url]

I zoomed out a bit here and adde 700mb flow to emphasize likely track:
http://home.houston.rr.com/wx/danny3.gif[/url]

So, the question is, has there ever been a season with FIVE named storms before the end of July?

#2 Postby **wx247** » Tue Jul 15, 2003 5:54 pm

It looks well. I think it very well could be Danny or a TD right now, but they are probably not concerned because it is not a threat except to shipping interests.

#3 Postby **wxman57** » Tue Jul 15, 2003 6:20 pm

In response to my own question, from 1900-2002, there have been only 4 seasons with 5 storms prior to the end of July:

1933 - 5 - total 21 storms
1936 - 5 - total 16 storms
1959 - 5 - total 11 storms
1966 - 5 - total 11 storms
1995 - 5 - total 19 storms

chadtm80 · #4 Postby **chadtm80** » Tue Jul 15, 2003 6:21 pm

Just Curious How about 6??

#5 Postby **Andrew92** » Tue Jul 15, 2003 6:26 pm

Wait a second though.....

Didn't Erin in 1995 develop into a tropical storm right on July 31? Maybe I'm wrong.

-Andrew92

Derek Ortt · #6 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Tue Jul 15, 2003 7:05 pm

1997 had 5 (the first was a subtrop, much like this year. Subtrops just weren't named then) by mid July when Danny formed then we had another TD form east of the Islands.

The rest is historical boredom. Just shows that nothing is edged in stone. Just like 2000 when nothing formed until August and 15 named storms occurred

chadtm80 · #7 Postby **chadtm80** » Tue Jul 15, 2003 8:08 pm

Got this off of another board

Here is a list of when the "D" storm and "E" storm started every year between 1995 - 2002 so that you can compare this year to them.

2002 - 12 Storms
D - 29 August
E - 01 September

2001 - 15 Storms
D - 22 August
E - 01 September

2000 - 14 Storms
D - 19 August
E - 01 September

1999 - 12 Storms
D - 24 August
E - 24 August

1998 - 14 Storms
D - 24 August
E - 31 August

1997 - 7 Storms
D - 16 July
E - 03 September

1996 - 13 Storms
D - 19 August
E - 19 August

1995 - 19 Storms
D - 28 July
E - 31 July

Colin · #8 Postby **Colin** » Tue Jul 15, 2003 8:22 pm

Could we get ALL the named storms this season? :o

ColdFront77 · #9 Postby **ColdFront77** » Wed Jul 16, 2003 1:10 am

It does look like this feature has a chance. Will be something to watch. It doesn't look like the steering currents will change it from becoming a "fish storm," at this time.

JCT777 · #10 Postby **JCT777** » Wed Jul 16, 2003 8:35 am

Colin wrote:Could we get ALL the named storms this season? :o

That would be a first! :o I doubt it will happen, but I would not dismiss this thought completely.

#11 Postby **wx247** » Wed Jul 16, 2003 11:27 am

Colin wrote:Could we get ALL the named storms this season? :o

I sure hope not!! :o :o

ColdFront77 · #12 Postby **ColdFront77** » Wed Jul 16, 2003 6:59 pm

Sure enough, (I hate to repeat myself - some members may not or may not try to read every post in each thread since there last visit) the steering pattern changed just ahead of, more so to the northwest of Tropical Depression #5, a northeast to southwest flow has formed ahead of the trough moving further into the Atlantic.

"Could Become a Depression in a Day or Two"??

"Could Become a Depression in a Day or Two"??

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