projected path

[emeraldislencguy]

the projected path is for sc but what are the chances it could move inland further north in north carolina--and what about the highest winds--will there winds higher that 65 miles per hour??

[ThunderMate]

Well i think there might be a few gusts above 65 mph due to the pressure gradient between the high and low pressure and depending on how much ernie restrenghthens.

[brunota2003]

dont know...but here is the 510 PM Hurricane Local Statement For Carteret County:

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
510 PM EDT WED AUG 30 2006

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR CAPE LOOKOUT SOUTH...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

ONSLOW AND CARTERET

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT
SOUTH IN NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST OR 25 MILES WEST VERO
BEACH FLORIDA.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO WAS MOVING NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. ERNESTO IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF OF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST LATER TONIGHT AND
MOVE NORTHWARD TOWARD THE CAROLINAS TOMORROW. CURRENTLY MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ERNESTO IS
EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN BACK TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TONIGHT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR ERNESTO. PEOPLE
SHOULD USE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY TO PREPARE FOR THE STORM. PEOPLE IN
LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD CONSIDER MOVING TO HIGHER
GROUND AS ERNESTO MOVES THROUGH.

MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL TV AND RADIO IN CASE
FLASH FLOOD OR TORNADO WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

PEOPLE WITH MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD BEGIN MAKING PREPARATIONS NOW TO
SECURE THEIR VESSELS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
A ONE TO THREE FOOT STORM SURGE IS POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WOULD
BE HIGHEST ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING AROUND THE TIME OF
HIGH TIDE. HIGH TIDE IS AROUND 730 PM THURSDAY NIGHT AND AROUND 700
AM FRIDAY MORNING.

...WIND IMPACTS...
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF ERNESTO. WIND
SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH...
ESPECIALLY ALONG COASTAL SECTIONS OF ONSLOW AND CARTERET
COUNTIES...THURSDAY NIGHT CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY MORNING AS THE
CENTER OF ERNESTO MOVES WEST OF THE AREA.

...FLOODING IMPACTS...
THREE TO SIX INCHES OF RAIN IS LIKELY ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH FRIDAY. LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE
HEAVIEST RAIN WILL OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA FROM
THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS...
THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL BE HIGH THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
PEOPLE ARE URGED TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER UNTIL ERNESTO HAS MOVED
OUT OF THE AREA.

...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS...
WAVES WILL BUILD TO SEVEN TO TEN FEET LATE THURSDAY ALONG THE SOUTH
FACING BEACHES THEN CONTINUE FOR THE ENTIRE COAST ON FRIDAY. THIS
WILL RESULT IN ROUGH SURF AND MINOR BEACH EROSION LATE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 11 PM EDT.