Area in S. FL/Bahamas

#1 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 4:21 pm

021
ABNT20 KNHC 042119
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT MON SEP 4 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INTERACTING WITH A MID- TO
UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING A BROAD AREA OF
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND EXTENDING WESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA...
AND INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. SURFACE PRESSURES ARE
HIGH...AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO
OCCUR. HOWEVER...SINCE THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING LITTLE...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND SOUTH
FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

\

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

#2 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 4:55 pm

This is an interesting little area of possible development. The nhc above says since it is moving very little... it's possible we could see some development.

MiamiensisWx · #3 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 4:58 pm

I see some very weak rotation in the southeast corner of the Key West radar loop. It appears that there may be a weak MLC. With proper divergence in the area, a very weak surface low may form.

Extremeweatherguy · #4 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 5:00 pm

is this an invest yet? usually when they say slow development is possible there is.

#5 Postby **fci** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 5:01 pm

Not to suggest anything serious will come of this, however; this season has yielded no homegrown systems as opposed to last year where I recall several.

When I am saying "homegrown" I am referring to "home" for me (near SE Florida) like the Bahamas. Last year; Franklin, Katrina, Ophelia, Rita,and Tammy all seemed to start in the Bahamas yet this year none.

May not end up relating to the system being referred to in the Bahamas now; but it is interesting; nonetheless.

#6 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 5:04 pm

fci wrote:Not to suggest anything serious will come of this, however; this season has yielded no homegrown systems as opposed to last year where I recall several.

When I am saying "homegrown" I am referring to "home" for me (near SE Florida) like the Bahamas. Last year; Franklin, Katrina, Ophelia, Rita,and Tammy all seemed to start in the Bahamas yet this year none.

May not end up relating to the system being referred to in the Bahamas now; but it is interesting; nonetheless.

It is rather interesting and I was going to have a post about it earlier today because like the NHC, I did suspect some "slow development" here - it has been a BIG rain maker for south florida and has literally rained-out the entire holiday weekend :grrr:

#7 Postby **fci** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 5:09 pm

gatorcane wrote:
fci wrote:Not to suggest anything serious will come of this, however; this season has yielded no homegrown systems as opposed to last year where I recall several.

When I am saying "homegrown" I am referring to "home" for me (near SE Florida) like the Bahamas. Last year; Franklin, Katrina, Ophelia, Rita,and Tammy all seemed to start in the Bahamas yet this year none.

May not end up relating to the system being referred to in the Bahamas now; but it is interesting; nonetheless.

It is rather interesting and I was going to have a post about it earlier today because like the NHC, I did suspect some "slow development" here - it has been a BIG rain maker for south florida and has literally rained-out the entire holiday weekend

But the rain here has been moving differently each day.
Two days ago from the SW to NE.
Yesterday, stationary and then from W to E
Today from SE to NW with a pretty potent line coming in now (6 pm)

#8 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 5:13 pm

The Miami-FSU game appears to be a complete wash-out.

#9 Postby **tgenius** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 5:14 pm

gatorcane... you know football games play in the rain... besides... do we really care who wins this game?

Actually we want FSU

windnrain · #10 Postby **windnrain** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 5:16 pm

I've been watching it for a long time, I was scared to seem like an idiot, heh. It seems like it's a place of a lot of shower activity and cloudiness, but I had no idea why it wasnt mentioned in any of the forecasts.

x-y-no · #11 Postby **x-y-no** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 5:28 pm

tgenius wrote:gatorcane... you know football games play in the rain... besides... do we really care who wins this game? Actually we want FSU

Hey! Them's fightin' words!! :grr:

Go Canes!!

#12 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 5:29 pm

x-y-no wrote:
tgenius wrote:gatorcane... you know football games play in the rain... besides... do we really care who wins this game? Actually we want FSU

Hey! Them's fightin' words!!

Go Canes!!

I have no desire to see FSU win - I would rather even lowly Tennessee beat them. :lol:

wzrgirl1 · #13 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 5:37 pm

gatorcane wrote:
x-y-no wrote:
tgenius wrote:gatorcane... you know football games play in the rain... besides... do we really care who wins this game? Actually we want FSU

Hey! Them's fightin' words!!

Go Canes!!

I have no desire to see FSU win - I would rather even lowly Tennessee beat them.

go gators....oops they already won

PTrackerLA · #14 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 5:40 pm

I was about to post about this area earlier but I was bbq'ing 8-)

. If the convection is around tomorrow, we could see something here.

Normandy · #15 Postby **Normandy** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 5:43 pm

Most of that convection seems to come from Outflow boundaries, nothing special here.

#16 Postby **fci** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 5:54 pm

Their both GATOR BAIT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

johngaltfla · #17 Postby **johngaltfla** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 5:57 pm

Local mets mentioned it to. The VORTEX forecasting radar/modeling software indicated potential development by Tuesday...

#18 Postby **tailgater** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 6:13 pm

johngaltfla wrote:Local mets mentioned it to. The VORTEX forecasting radar/modeling software indicated potential development by Tuesday...

.

Where can I find that site 8-)

Geaux Tigers

#19 Postby **terstorm1012** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 6:15 pm

Not sure if this will develop, one met I read belives it will hook up with the front and ride northward, dumping a lot of rain on us Tuesday and Wednesday

#20 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Sep 04, 2006 6:39 pm

Looks like the thunderstorm activity continues to become more concentrated in the Florida straits....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg

Area in S. FL/Bahamas

Area in S. FL/Bahamas

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