Interesting Similarities 1933-1934 and 2005-2006

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Stormsfury
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Interesting Similarities 1933-1934 and 2005-2006

#1 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Sep 06, 2006 10:54 pm

An interesting discussion led me to do some research between 1933 and 2005 and the year following after that 1934 and 2006... one of the things brought up was the heat during the Dust Bowl years in the 1930's, which coincided with some very active including what was the previous all-time record for number of tropical cyclones in the Atlantic 1933. We're seeing the same this year for 2005-2006 WRT to excessive heat this summer, and again with tropical cyclone activity.

The similarities of the suspected developments of the storms in 1933, and compare those to the 2005 season, guess where the MDR was and how active it was for both seasons....

Both seasons, featured very little CV developments. Actually 1933, there no documented CV developments ... BUT the similarities of the MDR on both years are very striking with latter developments thusly resulting in many landfalls both years.

1933
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1933/track.gif

2005
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/2005/track.gif

I haven't found much similarities WRT to MDR from 1934 and 2006 --- however, now this is very freaky --- both seasons are almost on the exact same pace up to this point - As of Sept 6th in BOTH YEARS... the 6th storm of the season was ongoing on both DATES (Sept 6th) ...

1934 season
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1934/index.html

In 1934 --- There was one late May development, one JUN dev., one JUL development, and one AUG development....

In 2006 --- Featured Alberto in Mid June, Beryl in Mid July, then three developments in August --- Chris, Debby, and Ernesto. Florence formed on Sept 3rd, while the 6th storm formed (or the 1st documented best track plot) on the 5th of SEPT.

Just an interesting note

SF
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StormWarning1
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#2 Postby StormWarning1 » Wed Sep 06, 2006 11:25 pm

Check out 1887, a very active year and then 1888. Also look at 1995 and 1996. I think this year will be 1996 with a more eastward bias. The biggest US threat will be a system forming in the NW Caribbean, not something from the East Atlantic.
In El Nino years, most cyclones in the atalntic basin don't really start intensifying until they get North of 25N.
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#3 Postby AussieMark » Thu Sep 07, 2006 1:11 am

1996 was a fairly active year tho

13 Tropical storms
9 Hurricanes
6 majors


also interestingly to mention El Nino
The subsurface anomalities across the Equatorial Pacific over recent months
http://www.bom.gov.au/bmrc/ocean/result ... 06/Sep.gif
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Jim Cantore

#4 Postby Jim Cantore » Thu Sep 07, 2006 6:56 am

Remember we had an "El Nino" develop in 2004, we know how that turned out.
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