For no good reason at all, I'm going to put my first forecast out there.
TD7 may become TS Gordon within the next 24 hours. It (and perhaps soon to be "he") appears fairly well organized; more organized than many of the heartbreakers we've seen this year. It does not appear that he will be encountering any significant shear in the short term and sea surface temperatures are plenty warm enough to favor intensification. He'll likely meander west / wnw for the next 24 to 36 hours as he gathers steam. Depending upon the rate of intensification and whether the initial motion is more west or northwest, it is possible that Puerto Rico and the British Virgin Islands may experience TS force winds as he tracks to the north of the islands over the next two days. As he approaches 65W, I expect he'll begin to drift to the north and then northeast as he begins to feel the weakness left behind by Florence. I am forecating a hurricane with winds of 80 mph as he begins his more northerly track around 65W. Further modest and steady intensification seems likley thereafter, and a peak intensity of 120 mph is forecast which, unfortunately, will likely occur as he approaches Bermuda. Thereafter, steady weaking is forecast as TD7 drifts northeast and begins encountering the cooler waters north of Bermuda.
And by the way: I'm not a meterologist...nor am I a psychic. Just givin my edumacated guess as to what this storm is likely to do. Therefore, don't take anything I've said too seriously and be sure to pay attention to official products and the NHC for reliable information.
