GOM is quiet

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RQSTR
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GOM is quiet

#1 Postby RQSTR » Fri Sep 15, 2006 2:05 am

Only Alberto came in the GOM this year, is it normal?
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#2 Postby AussieMark » Fri Sep 15, 2006 2:46 am

2005: Arlene, Bret, Cindy, Dennis, Emily, Gert, Jose, Katrina, Rita, Stan, Wilma

2004: Bonnie, Charley, Frances, Ivan, Matthew

2003: Bill, Claudette, Erika, Grace, Henri, Larry

2002: Bertha, Edouard (TD stage), Fay, Hanna, Isidore, Lili

2001: Allison, Barry, Gabrielle

2000: Beryl, Gordon, Helene, Keith

1999: Bret, Harvey, Irene

1998: Charley, Earl, Frances, Georges, Hermine, Mitch

1997: Danny

1996: Dolly, Josephine

1995: Allison, Dean, Erin, Gabrielle, Opal, Roxanne
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#3 Postby skysummit » Fri Sep 15, 2006 6:33 am

Good....KEEP it that way.
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#4 Postby Dean4Storms » Fri Sep 15, 2006 6:49 am

Long range GFS shows just the opposite come near the end of the month.
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#5 Postby skysummit » Fri Sep 15, 2006 6:50 am

Dean4Storms wrote:Long range GFS shows just the opposite come near the end of the month.


Darn...you're going to make look, aren't you.

***Just looked....I don't really see anything. Just a little precipitation, but nothing in terms of closed lows in the gulf.

***Edit again....I see, you weren't talking about activity, so to say, you were talking about the pattern change. I see.... :D Yea, the pattern toward the end of the month looks like it favors more steering toward the GOM.
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#6 Postby Dean4Storms » Fri Sep 15, 2006 6:59 am

skysummit wrote:
Dean4Storms wrote:Long range GFS shows just the opposite come near the end of the month.


Darn...you're going to make look, aren't you.

***Just looked....I don't really see anything. Just a little precipitation, but nothing in terms of closed lows in the gulf.



Here, run this to the end, note the flow from east to west from the Atlantic toward southern Florida with a big eastern seaboard ridge to the north. No, it isn't depicting a low. But, its the overall synoptics shown there that would be favorable for a Florida and Gulf problem. If you'll note, up until then the troughs are sweeping everything off the CONUS from West to East until near the end.

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/models/misc/ ... _sfc.shtml



http://wxweb.meteostar.com/models/misc/ ... _sfc.shtml
Last edited by Dean4Storms on Fri Sep 15, 2006 7:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#7 Postby skysummit » Fri Sep 15, 2006 7:00 am

Yes Dean...I see what you're saying now. I edited my post right before you replied :) I just read your post wrong :D
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#8 Postby Dean4Storms » Fri Sep 15, 2006 7:02 am

skysummit wrote:Yes Dean...I see what you're saying now. I edited my post right before you replied :) I just read your post wrong :D



Yep, that doesn't look good at all if it turns out to be correct.
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#9 Postby boca » Fri Sep 15, 2006 7:23 am

Dean the pattern might change at the end of the month to steer these storms to Florida and the Gulf but on a positive note their might not be any systems outh there at that time to track. Lookk just wishful thinking even though were getting into an El Nino after last year nothing can surprise me anymore.
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#10 Postby Dean4Storms » Fri Sep 15, 2006 7:47 am

Actually Boca the TW over the interior of Africa that the GFS spins up would be about two weeks away or a little more from getting to just off the east coast. So we could see a CV Storm at the end of the month if this synoptic unfolded.
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Rainband

#11 Postby Rainband » Fri Sep 15, 2006 8:30 am

Yes, October is Florida's month for systems. Hopefully it stays quiet for Florida :D
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#12 Postby LaBreeze » Fri Sep 15, 2006 9:03 am

Yes, the GOM is, and hopefully will remain, quite quiet. :D
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Rainband

#13 Postby Rainband » Fri Sep 15, 2006 9:08 am

LaBreeze wrote:Yes, the GOM is, and hopefully will remain, quite quiet. :D
I agree. The GOM has seen enough "action" to last a lifetime. I am happy that the Prayers of Many seem to be answered so far this season.
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#14 Postby TampaSteve » Fri Sep 15, 2006 9:25 am

Sunshine and crickets...that's all I wanna hear...sunshine and crickets... 8-)
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#15 Postby Rainband » Fri Sep 15, 2006 9:34 am

TampaSteve wrote:Sunshine and crickets...that's all I wanna hear...sunshine and crickets... 8-)
I agree, and I don't want to hear those crickets because my windows are blown out and I have no Power. :lol:
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#16 Postby TampaSteve » Fri Sep 15, 2006 9:48 am

Rainband wrote:
TampaSteve wrote:Sunshine and crickets...that's all I wanna hear...sunshine and crickets... 8-)
I agree, and I don't want to hear those crickets because my windows are blown out and I have no Power. :lol:


LOL... :lol:
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#17 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Sep 15, 2006 10:40 am

Dean4Storms wrote:Long range GFS shows just the opposite come near the end of the month.


Yep and by that time we have those nice cold fronts and the westerlies protecting us. The long range models haven't performed too well this season anyway.
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#18 Postby docjoe » Fri Sep 15, 2006 10:49 am

Rainband wrote:
TampaSteve wrote:Sunshine and crickets...that's all I wanna hear...sunshine and crickets... 8-)
I agree, and I don't want to hear those crickets because my windows are blown out and I have no Power. :lol:


Egads...you cant be serious. There is nothing quite as peaceful as the early morning hum of generators, chainsaws, and mosquitos buzzing around your ears. Especially enhanced by the huge beads of sweat that drip off and gently cascade to the floor....ahhh the good old days!!! :D :D :D
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#19 Postby Swimdude » Fri Sep 15, 2006 11:12 am

We've all been so lucky so far this season y'all. I'm sorry to say, as we all know, it only takes one in a season... [Andrew.] But so far we're half way through September, enjoying watching multiple long-range storms in the open Atlantic. Best season ever!!
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#20 Postby drezee » Fri Sep 15, 2006 11:51 am

The Gulf is loaded for...you know what! I mean loaded!!

If you look at the heat content in the GOM from 2005, Rita formed after this date! It eventually became the strongest GOM in history sub 900 mb!!! DO NOT SLEEP ON THIS!

2006
Image

2005
Image
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