Setting up a pattern for winter?

[azsnowman]

Could this be setting up a pattern we may see for the rest of the autumn season and leading into the winter??

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

FXUS65 KFGZ 041026 AFDFGZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 325 AM MST WED OCT 04 2006 .SYNOPSIS...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES THIS WEEK. THIS WILL BRING BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS THROUGH FRIDAY...AS WELL AS INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. IN ADDITION...EXPECT COOLER TEMPERATURES THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. && .DISCUSSION...A 500 MB TROUGH CONTINUES TO DEEPEN OFF THE CA COAST THIS MORNING. THIS WILL SLOWLY MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...EVENTUALLY PUTTING NORTHERN AZ IN A REGION OF STRONG MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW BY THURSDAY. MODELS INDICATING GOOD ISENTROPIC UPLIFT AND WEAK STABILITY FOR A GOOD CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION DURING THIS PERIOD. ON FRIDAY...CURRENT MODELS INDICATE A SHORTWAVE EJECTING NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF THE TROUGH...WHICH WILL CONTINUE GOOD CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION AS THE DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE FEATURE INTERACT WITH MOIST CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA. IN ADDITION...THIS SHORTWAVE WILL LIKELY BRING A SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT...PRODUCING COOLER WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM...MAINLY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. CURRENT MODELS INDICATE THE BEST CHANCE FOR ADVISORY STRENGTH WINDS WILL BE FRIDAY BEFORE THE COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH. OTHERWISE...HEAVY CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION APPEAR THAT THEY WILL LIMIT MIXING OF STRONG WINDS ALOFT TO THE SURFACE...KEEPING WINDS BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. FOR THE WEEKEND AND BEYOND...UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AS MODELS INDICATING THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM REDEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHWEST.