Millons spent in a hurricane season that wasn't

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146126
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Millons spent in a hurricane season that wasn't

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 19, 2006 7:23 am

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/15322222/

I know that the residents of the gulf coast are happy that nothing occured in terms of hurricane landfalls to give them a break from the 04-05 active landfall years.It was good that millons were spent to be prepared because it's better to prepared than to be sorry later. Also in the information at link above there are statements from Philip Klotzbach about why the forecasts were wrong,however we know what happened as el nino kicked in and capped the Atlantic basin.
0 likes   

Typhoon Hunter
WesternPacificWeather.com
WesternPacificWeather.com
Posts: 1221
Joined: Wed Oct 11, 2006 11:37 am
Location: Tokyo
Contact:

!

#2 Postby Typhoon Hunter » Thu Oct 19, 2006 8:47 am

That's a very interesting article, thanks for posting it. No reason why all those supplies won't be suitable next year...who knows what the 2007 season has in store!
0 likes   
James - Documenting tropical cyclones...

http://www.youtube.com/TyphoonHunter

User avatar
hurricanetrack
HurricaneTrack.com
HurricaneTrack.com
Posts: 1781
Joined: Tue Dec 02, 2003 10:46 pm
Location: Wilmington, NC
Contact:

#3 Postby hurricanetrack » Thu Oct 19, 2006 9:02 am

Still don't think El Nino is the sole reason the season was like it was. If El Nino causes strong SAL outbreaks and crushing subsidence and higher than normal sea level pressure in the Atlantic then yes, El Nino rolled up the season. We had an El Nino in the 2002 and 2004 seasons- at the tail end, but had far more threatening activity than this season. Something else had to be going on this year, in my humble opinion.
0 likes   

LarryWx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6452
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: GA

#4 Postby LarryWx » Thu Oct 19, 2006 9:54 am

hurricanetrack wrote:Still don't think El Nino is the sole reason the season was like it was. If El Nino causes strong SAL outbreaks and crushing subsidence and higher than normal sea level pressure in the Atlantic then yes, El Nino rolled up the season. We had an El Nino in the 2002 and 2004 seasons- at the tail end, but had far more threatening activity than this season. Something else had to be going on this year, in my humble opinion.


Htrack,
It is well-known that El Nino causes increased MDR shear and reduced overall numbers of NS/H on average vs. not having an El Nino. What isn't clear to me is whether or not El Nino also tends to cause higher than average SAL, subsidence, and/or SLP, at least indirectly. I do consider that a possibility until IF and when it is proven to not be the case. Without stats to see or a scientific study to consider, I say that the atmosphere is far too complex for me to just assume it doesn't although that too may be the case.
0 likes   

Frank2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4061
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2005 12:47 pm

#5 Postby Frank2 » Fri Oct 20, 2006 11:18 am

Then there's that citrus spray cleaner guy who starting yelling as early as this March or April, "IF FRANCES, JEANNE AND WILMA DIDN'T CONVINCE YOU TO BUY A HOME GENERATOR..."

I only thought that commercial was in this area, until I happened to be listening to a Naples radio station, and heard the same guy say:

'IF CHARLEY AND WILMA DIDN'T CONVINCE YOU TO BUY A HOME GENERATOR..."

so, I guess he has them tailor-made for each market...

Still, it's not a bad idea to own one - as long as they are used properly when they are needed...

Frank
0 likes   

User avatar
hial2
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 809
Joined: Fri Oct 10, 2003 9:20 pm
Location: Indian trail N.C.

#6 Postby hial2 » Fri Oct 20, 2006 12:16 pm

Frank2 wrote:

'IF CHARLEY AND WILMA DIDN'T CONVINCE YOU TO BUY A HOME GENERATOR..."

Still, it's not a bad idea to own one - as long as they are used properly when they are needed...

Frank


Which brings us to the obvious...If your generator runs on gasoline, make sure that the gas tank is drained, or at least a gasoline stabilizer added, otherwise come next season there will be a ruined generator..Follow manufacturer's instructions!!..also, if there is gasoline stored in cans (NOT a good idea,BTW) use it in a car now..Gasoline doesn't have a long shelf life, and is a fire hazard..
I bought a 15,000 kw whole (most) home generator for The Season That Wasn't..A good home-selling point, i guess...
0 likes   

User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5277
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

#7 Postby PTrackerLA » Fri Oct 20, 2006 1:24 pm

It was the "season that wasn't" but geez did the gulf coast ever need a break! It was truly a blessing to have a quiet season. Just imagine how bad things might have been if another big storm impacted areas hit hard last year (especially Louisiana since the entire coast was devastated by storm surge from either Katrina or Rita). Let's hope for another quiet season for all gulf coast residents next year!
0 likes   

WeatherWiseGuy
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 92
Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2005 7:48 pm
Location: Florida

#8 Postby WeatherWiseGuy » Fri Oct 20, 2006 4:03 pm

Unfortunately, I fear that this bust of a forecast this season may cause to people to return to a sense of complacency. It took a couple of wicked seasons to make believers out of many people, but a couple of seasons/forecasts like this and we'll be right back where we started.
0 likes   

User avatar
hial2
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 809
Joined: Fri Oct 10, 2003 9:20 pm
Location: Indian trail N.C.

#9 Postby hial2 » Fri Oct 20, 2006 5:47 pm

WeatherWiseGuy wrote:Unfortunately, I fear that this bust of a forecast this season may cause to people to return to a sense of complacency. It took a couple of wicked seasons to make believers out of many people, but a couple of seasons/forecasts like this and we'll be right back where we started.


I think it would take a stretch of longer than a couple of years for "veterans" to forget 2004-2005...however,since one hundred new families move to Florida every second (it seems that way)..THOSE new people will probably have hurricane parties ( I personally know families that lost everything during Andrew and had them)..Those are the people we should worry about..
0 likes   

WeatherWiseGuy
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 92
Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2005 7:48 pm
Location: Florida

#10 Postby WeatherWiseGuy » Fri Oct 20, 2006 6:47 pm

I hope you're right hial2. I just think that people who don't have as much of an interest in weather as people like us tend to forget quickly and say, "Oh, those weather people don't know what they're talking about." By the way, I appreciate the avatar that you use. :D
0 likes   

User avatar
hial2
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 809
Joined: Fri Oct 10, 2003 9:20 pm
Location: Indian trail N.C.

#11 Postby hial2 » Fri Oct 20, 2006 6:54 pm

WeatherWiseGuy wrote: By the way, I appreciate the avatar that you use. :D


Thank you!.. I usually don't "wear it on my sleeve"...But, these are the times.. :P
0 likes   

User avatar
MGC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5905
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.

#12 Postby MGC » Sat Oct 21, 2006 6:53 pm

The 2006 hurricane season was the most over hyped non-event since Y2K and all the rogue computers that were going to launch a nuclear war. The gullible media swallowed the global warming crowd's wolf crying that 2005 was just he beginning of the end. In the end the media and the global warming wolf cryiers got a big pie in the face. 2006, all bark no bite.......MGC
0 likes   

User avatar
DanKellFla
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1291
Joined: Fri Mar 17, 2006 12:02 pm
Location: Lake Worth, Florida

#13 Postby DanKellFla » Sun Oct 22, 2006 5:54 pm

MGC, sure, hindsight is 20/20. Y2K was a one time occurrence. It won't happen again. On the other hand, hurricanes making landfall in the U.S. will happen again (independent of the existence of global warming). I upgraded my hurricane preparedness this year and I am happy that all it did was collect dust. It should only do that for the next 20 seasons.... I don't care.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Blown Away, Bobbyh83, facemane, Frank P, islandgirl45, JtSmarts, Kazmit, KeysRedWine, Lizzytiz1, riapal, SFLcane, sunny and 95 guests