HPC says no reprieve for you, Texas

#1 Postby **Portastorm** » Thu Nov 02, 2006 3:26 pm

Great ... just great ...

This from the Thursday afternoon 3-7 day forecast discussion from the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center:

A REPRIEVE FROM ANOTHER BIG FLOOD GIVEN NEW PROGRESSIVE
GFS/CANADIAN SOLUTIONS? NOT QUITE! THE NEW 12Z ECMWF DIGS AN UPPER
TROF INTO THE FAR WRN HIGH PLAINS SUN-MON...EVENTUALLY CARVING OUT
A CLOSED LOW TUE OVER THE TX/OK BORDER. THIS UPPER LOW SHOULD
INTERACT WITH STRONG GULF INFLOW JUST AHEAD OF IT...GENERATING
HEAVY CONVECTIVE RAINS OVER ERN PORTIONS OF TX/OK TUE.
HEAVY..POSSIBLY EXCESSIVE...RAFL SPREADING SLOWLY EWD THEREAFTER
INTO LA AND THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION.

southerngale · #2 Postby **southerngale** » Thu Nov 02, 2006 3:35 pm

The rivers and bayous are finally receding here after the worst flood in many years. Let's hope we don't get any more heavy rain in extreme Southeast Texas and East Texas, not to mention SW LA. Geez...

#3 Postby **gboudx** » Thu Nov 02, 2006 3:36 pm

The DFW NWS had a bit of a discussion of this event in the AM AFD. This would be very welcome for us drought stricken folks if it happens in the DFW area. One of the area lakes is still over 15' low, and many municipalities continue with drought restrictions. We need rain, and lots of it.

PTrackerLA · #4 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Thu Nov 02, 2006 3:45 pm

Our local met said last night he's thinking we could have a 3-5" rain event next week the way things look now. We can handle the rain here in Lafayette but areas to the west and north definitely do not need this.

#5 Postby **wall_cloud** » Thu Nov 02, 2006 5:10 pm

in Texas, you take it when you can get. You never know when its going to stop for a long time!

hurrican19 · #6 Postby **hurrican19** » Thu Nov 02, 2006 5:30 pm

Maybe in North Texas, but here in SETX, we get rain almost daily in the summer time

#7 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Nov 02, 2006 5:34 pm

hurrican19 wrote:Maybe in North Texas, but here in SETX, we get rain almost daily in the summer time

That's correct. Many people don't realize the Beaumont-Orange area has the highest annual rainfall in the lower 48 states.

Edit: Looking at some of the new digital maps this is not the case. The Coastal Ranges of WA take the cake. Oh well. I remember an old B&W map that had far SE Texas bullseyed with the highest US precip. - but that must have been created simply with reporting station data.

Ptarmigan · #8 Postby **Ptarmigan** » Thu Nov 02, 2006 9:26 pm

gboudx wrote:The DFW NWS had a bit of a discussion of this event in the AM AFD. This would be very welcome for us drought stricken folks if it happens in the DFW area. One of the area lakes is still over 15' low, and many municipalities continue with drought restrictions. We need rain, and lots of it.

Take all the rain you want. We have a surplus.

HPC says no reprieve for you, Texas

HPC says no reprieve for you, Texas

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