Hot enough to go swimming

[Cookiely]

Tampa tied the record high!!!!!!!!!!
000
FXUS62 KTBW 311825
AFDTBW

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
125 PM EST SUN DEC 31 2006

...LATEST GFS MODEL KEEPS CONVECTION GOING THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE
FRONTOLOSIS SETS IN...

THIS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCES TONIGHT
AND MONDAY. WARMTH AT LOW LEVELS AND COOLING TEMPS AT MID LEVELS
OF THE ATMOSPHERE MEANS CENTRAL FLORIDA COULD SEE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SOME STORMS HAVING THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. REGARDLESS...THIS SETUP
IS MUCH WEAKER THAN THE CHRISTMAS DAY STORMS OF LAST WEEK.

CURRENTLY...DOPPLER AND VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWED A LINE OF STORMS
FROM APALACHICOLA SOUTHWEST INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. CLOUD
STREETS COVERED THE AREA WITH THE FLOW CURVING FROM MIAMI TO PLANT
CITY TO OCALA.

THE UNSEASONABLE WARMTH CONTINUES. TAMPA TIED THE RECORD HIGH OF
83 DEGREES AT 1 PM.

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...VERY MOIST AND CONVERGENT
LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL LEAD TO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN CENTRAL
FLORIDA TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL CREATE LIKELY POPS NEAR CEDAR KEY BY
SUNRISE. MAV MOS ABOUT 5 DEGREES TOO WARM LAST NIGHT. WILL GO 3
DEGREES ABOVE MOS TONIGHT...AND A FEW DEGREES ABOVE MOS MONDAY DUE
TO WARM START TO DAY.

COLD FRONT IS FORECAST BY THE GFS TO PASS THROUGH CEDAR KEY
AROUND 8 AM MONDAY...THEN TAMPA AROUND 2 PM. WILL HAVE TO MONITOR
THUNDERSTORMS FOR WIND GUST POTENTIAL IN THE AFTERNOON. THE FRONT
UNDERGOES FRONTOLOSIS AS IT SAGS THROUGH THE FORT MYERS AREA
MONDAY EVENING...LIMITING RAIN CHANCES THERE.

ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL CREATE A SHARP LINE OF SUN AND CLOUDS
TUESDAY. CEDAR KEY SHOULD SEE PARTLY SUNNY SKIES TUESDAY BUT THE
REST OF THE AREA WILL BE STUCK UNDER MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES.
TEMPERATURES FALL TO NORMAL HIGHS AND LOWS AS COOLER AIR MOVES IN
BEHIND FRONT.

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)... COMPLICATED FORECAST
DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD. FOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. WITH REMNANTS OF
FRONT STRETCHED ACROSS THE PENINSULA KEEPING SOME CLOUDS AND A
CHANCE OF A FEW SHOWERS OVER THE AREA. THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...NEXT
SHORTWAVE WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.S. HELPING TO
INDUCE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE TEXAS COAST.
THIS WILL CAUSE THE BOUNDARY ACROSS THE REGION TO BEGIN LIFTING
NORTH AS A WARM FRONT WITH STILL A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A FEW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE NATURE COAST THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK
NORTHEAST INTO TENNESSEE VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GULF AND INTO FLORIDA
BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO THE ENTIRE
AREA. NEXT WEEKEND IS WHERE THE LATEST GFS BEGINS TO DIVERGE FROM
OTHER THE MODELS AS WELL AS ITS PREVIOUS RUNS. LATEST GFS STALLS
THE COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY THEN
BEGINS TO LIFT IT BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY AS ANOTHER SHORT WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.S. THIS
WOULD KEEP SOME MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND
LEADING TO SOME CLOUDS AND A FEW SHOWERS. OTHER MODELS AS WELL AS
PREVIOUS GFS RUNS PUSHED THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION WITH
SLIGHTLY COOLER DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND.
FOR NOW HAVE NOT CHANGED PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEKEND VERY
MUCH AND CONTINUED WITH PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES...BUT DID
ADD SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT TO
THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ZONES. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD
WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

[JonathanBelles]

tampa only tied the record?

[tropicana]

yeah they tied it with 1990

[JonathanBelles]

ahhhh, i went out to check the pool temp this morning and to my shock it was 72 degress. thats 10-15 degrees above normal for this time of year.