All signs point to another important season

[Berwick Bay]

As if regathering her energies after the horrific season of '05, the tropical Atlantic appears ripe for renewed activity this year. Not that '06 was so quiet, (several storms in the mid-Atlantic), but early indications point to both increased activity and closer proximity to the home front. Transitioning back to La Nina, SST's already reaching a ripe stage in the Gulf, the present active cycle we have been in since '95, and MOST CRITICALLY the lack of Cape Verde formation in '05 and reduced activity there in '06. This means development likely to occur closer to home as in '05.

Once again I will restate that New Iberia, La. and Pascagoula, Miss appear as most likely locales for landfalling major hurricanes this year. There are reasons for this, but I think we must also remember that hurricane forecasting is as much an art as a science. And so we wait.

[Jagno]

Berwick Bay; All forcast by non professionals must have this disclaimer

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Welcome to storm2k!

I would love to see the reasons behind your predictions of a pretty specific landfall area. As you can understand, this area you are forecasting is home to alot of s2kr's so it is interesting to say the least.

[Berwick Bay]

Okay, I thought the disclaimer was only for specifically named storms and their projected paths. But if I mention a seasonal forecast or landfall location again, I will be happy to use the disclaimer. Thanks.