Is there a low level turning?

[vbhoutex]

Radar seems to indicate a turning ESE of CC and I have looked at WV and this visible. Am I seeing the beginnings of a low level "swirl" ESE of CC or a "mini vortex" or am I just seeing collapsing storms and outflow bundaries? The third choice,of course, is my desire.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod%20...%20p&loop=yes

Thanks to Jen Bayles for asking the initial question.

[southerngale]

When I clicked on your first link, I got:

This script should be referenced with a METHOD of POST. If you don't understand this, see this forms overview.


When I clicked on the second link, I got the DFW radar.

[wxman57]

We were looking at that tstm area as well. However, convection seems to be diminishing offshore and redeveloping inland, and pressures remain high along the TX coast. Possibly you're seeing a mid level vortex. These kind of complexes CAN develop into TCs (Alica, the 1943 hurricane that hit Houston, etc). Always have to watch for persistent convection offshore.

[Clint_TX]

Galveston discussion mentions a developing surface low.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The convection off Texas looks pretty heavy...and if shear
stays low I would expect some slow development...
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... xirg8n.GIF
Observe the large region of oval shaped convection
beginning to pull off of the Texas coast...
A surface low could form gradually...
from there I don't know...but I don't
see anything stopping a slow developmental
process.

[Clint_TX]

The link : http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=HGXAFDHGX

[Air Force Met]

Radar seems to indicate a turning ESE of CC and I have looked at WV and this visible. Am I seeing the beginnings of a low level "swirl" ESE of CC or a "mini vortex" or am I just seeing collapsing storms and outflow bundaries? The third choice,of course, is my desire.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod%20...%20p&loop=yes

Thanks to Jen Bayles for asking the initial question.

Is this what you are shooting for?

Sat Loop

[Aric Dunn]

radar is impressive .. not really for a TC more the intense rain.. but there is a mesoscale feature.. that may be able to do something if it sits long enough...

[southerngale]

It probably won't develop into anything, but I can definitely see the rotation. It doesn't seem to be moving much.

[Stratosphere747]

Not near as easy to see, compared to earlier. Would be crazy with the pattern Texas has been in over the last two weeks to have something pop up.

[Aric Dunn]

some of the precip totals.. just off shore are over 11 inches and probably passing a foot

[lrak]

The winds are crazy right now, and check out the pier shot along with the pressure.

http://www.corpusbeach.com/portacam2.htm


http://coastalsurfing.com/?page_id=5

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=PTAT2

It rained all day here today, and its been along time since thats happened. Also all the cams were showing lakeside conditions this morning.

[Ptarmigan]

That blob formed last night. It's been over the Gulf for nearly 24 hours. It should be worth watching. Hurricane Alicia formed from a MCS that went over the Gulf and underwent an explosive development.

[Stratosphere747]

Snippet from Houston disco...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
727 PM CDT TUE JUL 3 2007

23Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING SE OF CRP WITH A WEAK TROUGH AXIS
EXTENDING NE ALONG THE COAST.

[MiamiensisWx]

This system appears to be associated with an upper low over interior Texas. You can detect a broad rotation on this regional blend of radar loops. I have noticed plenty of mid-level convergence, and a trough has enhanced convective activity over the area. This loop indicates the extent of the non-tropical disturbance. Upper-level shear is quite high, as this system is a CONUS feature. A weak jet streak feature is entrenched over the vicinity. The southeastern portion of energy has produced a weak sfc low off the coast, but I do not think it will have enough time to gain tropical characteristics; a trough is approaching the area. In addition, the cells have been influenced by land-based convection; this is not a positive sign for tropical cyclogenesis under this synoptic setup.

[Cyclone1]

I'll eat my hat if this becomes a tropical cylcone.

[Stormcenter]

It looks like a nice blob of convection is starting to blossum
in the area mentioned in the discussion out of Houston.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html

[Stormsfury]

I think that's the same MCS that brought almost 10" of rain to Corpus Christi ...

[Berwick Bay]

I must admit that I wasn't very concerned about this when it was first posted, but as the hours and days drag on with this convection off the Texas Coast, I am beginning to think that there may be some chance for a surface low to develop in the Western GOM.
Here's the WV Loop
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov./goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html

[Stormsfury]

UNISYS is analyzing a 1011mb low between Brownsville, and Corpus Christi, TX at 1 PM EDT ...

SF