HMM>> Just Looking

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Aric Dunn
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HMM>> Just Looking

#1 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Jul 07, 2007 9:20 pm

there is a interesting feature im sure you all have seen .. over mississippi heading SE ..

if some way it were to make it off shore it would be something to watch..
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/se/loop-rgb.html

so there is no need to for the typical "it wont do anything" or the "even If" statements because i said "IF" it could some way get offshore and stay there then it would be something to watch..

so please no need for the "no chance" or anything like that :) it just purely a "IF" ...

anyway back to the LOW .. "if it were to get offshore in the gulf the shear is low and conditions appear to at least marginally favorable .. yeah so just watching it..

:)

the funny thing is ... is that it should be heading ene or E not SE .. so that is the only reason i really mentioned it..

and im bored//
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#2 Postby Cyclone1 » Sat Jul 07, 2007 9:24 pm

Hah, we're all bored, Aric. Yeah I noticed it. About a 1% chance of development, which is good enough for me. I'll watch it. :wink:
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Re: HMM>> Just Looking

#3 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Jul 07, 2007 9:25 pm

Image
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Re:

#4 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Jul 07, 2007 9:26 pm

Cyclone1 wrote:Hah, we're all bored, Aric. Yeah I noticed it. About a 1% chance of development, which is good enough for me. I'll watch it. :wink:



yeah .. boredom.. lol .. but hey there is no need for percentages in this thread its just a place to watch .. :)
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Re: Re:

#5 Postby Cyclone1 » Sat Jul 07, 2007 9:28 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
Cyclone1 wrote:Hah, we're all bored, Aric. Yeah I noticed it. About a 1% chance of development, which is good enough for me. I'll watch it. :wink:



yeah .. boredom.. lol .. but hey there is no need for percentages in this thread its just a place to watch .. :)


Yeah I know, But you know what they say... 73% of people who use percentages just make them up on the spot. Wait... I'm confused...
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Re: Re:

#6 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Jul 07, 2007 9:29 pm

Cyclone1 wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:
Cyclone1 wrote:Hah, we're all bored, Aric. Yeah I noticed it. About a 1% chance of development, which is good enough for me. I'll watch it. :wink:



yeah .. boredom.. lol .. but hey there is no need for percentages in this thread its just a place to watch .. :)


Yeah I know, But you know what they say... 73% of people who use percentages just make them up on the spot. Wait... I'm confused...


lol yeah .. i think it was .. 74.5678% of people ..
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#7 Postby Cyclone1 » Sat Jul 07, 2007 9:30 pm

Ahh, that's right. XD
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#8 Postby Cyclone1 » Sat Jul 07, 2007 10:13 pm

Hmmm... it sure is heading south pretty quickly. That's pretty cool. Has there ever been a storm from from something like this?
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Re:

#9 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Jul 07, 2007 10:17 pm

Cyclone1 wrote:Hmmm... it sure is heading south pretty quickly. That's pretty cool. Has there ever been a storm from from something like this?

im sure ... at some point.. low often come off the mainland and develop.. but like this particular way nothing comes to mind
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Re: HMM>> Just Looking

#10 Postby philnyc » Sat Jul 07, 2007 10:36 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:there is a interesting feature im sure you all have seen .. over mississippi heading SE ..

if some way it were to make it off shore it would be something to watch..
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/se/loop-rgb.html

so there is no need to for the typical "it wont do anything" or the "even If" statements because i said "IF" it could some way get offshore and stay there then it would be something to watch..

so please no need for the "no chance" or anything like that :) it just purely a "IF" ...

anyway back to the LOW .. "if it were to get offshore in the gulf the shear is low and conditions appear to at least marginally favorable .. yeah so just watching it..

:)

the funny thing is ... is that it should be heading ene or E not SE .. so that is the only reason i really mentioned it..

and im bored//



What the hey... it's fun to speculate
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Re: HMM>> Just Looking

#11 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Jul 07, 2007 11:14 pm

Well... it might be possible if it moves into the gulf and the trough leaves it behind. Looks like a mid to upper level disturbance.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8vor2.html

Looks like it's going to head east and out to sea...

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2007070718&field=500mb+Vorticity&hour=Animation


Maybe and if...
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Re: HMM>> Just Looking

#12 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jul 08, 2007 12:49 am

SouthFloridawx wrote:Well... it might be possible if it moves into the gulf and the trough leaves it behind. Looks like a mid to upper level disturbance.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8vor2.html

Looks like it's going to head east and out to sea...

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2007070718&field=500mb+Vorticity&hour=Animation


Maybe and if...


probably.. but im not worried about it if it goes out to see .. so no need to mention it ... really .. its just if it get in the gulf !! :) but yeah ... and it is analyzed as a 1012 surface Low by the way

sorry 1011mb
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Re:

#13 Postby tailgater » Sun Jul 08, 2007 8:23 am

Cyclone1 wrote:Hmmm... it sure is heading south pretty quickly. That's pretty cool. Has there ever been a storm from from something like this?

East with the Geese :D
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Re: Re:

#14 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jul 08, 2007 8:40 am

tailgater wrote:
Cyclone1 wrote:Hmmm... it sure is heading south pretty quickly. That's pretty cool. Has there ever been a storm from from something like this?

East with the Geese :D


huh.. i guess that means you think its heading east... well yes. it is.. last night it was looking a little more SE ..

but same idea.. if!!
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Re: HMM>> Just Looking

#15 Postby tailgater » Sun Jul 08, 2007 11:11 am

I gotta say this low is looking impressive! Is this really JULY. Might have a chance to become extra-tropical later?
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/GOES1 ... lXO844.jpg
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