Well Organized Low Pressure SSW of Cape Verde Islands

[Gustywind]

Interresting to note in the TWD at 805am a low pressure but very low with 1011 mb in lattitude within the itcz...moving west....interresting we will what happens with this low in the next couple of days
000
AXNT20 KNHC 221028
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SAT SEP 22 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...
WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0945 UTC.

...THE ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 12N14W 6N22W 10M40W 7N59W. A 1011 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 6N19W...EMBEDDED WITHIN THE ITCZ...MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 2N-12N BETWEEN 18W-24W AND FROM 8N-14N BETWEEN 42W-53W.

[HURAKAN]

That's why I posted this satellite image in the thread titled "Wave in the Eastern Atlantic."

[Gustywind]

OK absolutely agree with you , good looking...but right now maybe we could merge it to this thread as we know that this is a low pressure within the ITCZ !

[cycloneye]

In this case being this low pressure around 1200 miles away from the wave in front,is better to have them separated.

[Gustywind]

That's why I posted this satellite image in the thread titled "Wave in the Eastern Atlantic."

Yeah cycloneye , we can separate it due to the high distance , agree with you

[Gustywind]

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/lis ... v=400,pp=0

[Gustywind]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/ATSA_latest.gif

[punkyg]

Is ther anyting new on this wave?

[Sanibel]

Strong wave maintaining convection off Africa. 8N-21W

[HURAKAN]

The system is looking very organized at the moment. The NHC confirms it has a LLC and it has to be watched for further development. Looks interesting to say the least.

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SAT SEP 22 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS DEVELOPED ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTH OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. THIS
SYSTEM SHOWS SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE AS IT MOVES WESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH

[GeneratorPower]

Could this be a REALLY long-tracker? Good grief, 19W?

It will no doubt cross the ENTIRE Atlantic and smack into the Yucatan. j/k

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

12Z TPC Surface Analysis Chart

[MiamiensisWx]

EUMETSAT Met-9 imagery

I'm quite surprised that it isn't designated as an INVEST. There is a definite mid-level circulation and convection has been persistent.

[punkyg]

I'm suprised that its developing at a low latitude.

[HURAKAN]

It's amazingly well organized. I will say it's the best of the season so far that far to the east.

[Vortex]

without question this is well on its way to becoming a depression...It's very far south and based on climatology it needs to be for any chance at crossing the pond...


http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/lis ... 5#controls

[Cyclone1]

It's amazingly well organized. I will say it's the best of the season so far that far to the east.

And that far to the south.

[punkyg]

When do you think this will be an invest?

[HURAKAN]

When do you think this will be an invest?

Very soon if it continues to show signs of organization.