TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 13N 113E NW SLOWLY.
WPAC: Invest 95W
Moderator: S2k Moderators
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.4N 111.9E,
APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HUE, VIETNAM. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 291820Z AMSR-E MICROWAVE IMAGE
INDICATE THIS AREA HAS RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATED AROUND A PARTIALLY
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ALONG WITH WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR.
THE DISTURBANCE IS ESTIMATED TO BE MOVING AT APPROXIMATELY 17 KNOTS
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE STRONG
SUBTROPICAL ANTICYLCONE OVER EASTERN CHINA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS FAIR.
APPROXIMATELY 320 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HUE, VIETNAM. ANIMATED
ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A 291820Z AMSR-E MICROWAVE IMAGE
INDICATE THIS AREA HAS RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATED AROUND A PARTIALLY
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT ALONG WITH WEAK TO MODERATE WIND SHEAR.
THE DISTURBANCE IS ESTIMATED TO BE MOVING AT APPROXIMATELY 17 KNOTS
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE STRONG
SUBTROPICAL ANTICYLCONE OVER EASTERN CHINA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS FAIR.
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