New Development in SW Caribbean?

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gatorcane
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New Development in SW Caribbean?

#1 Postby gatorcane » Tue Nov 13, 2007 12:48 pm

Looks like something new is trying to get going in the SW Caribbean even though 93L has fizzled. Thoughts?

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Re: New Development in SW Caribbean?

#2 Postby gatorcane » Tue Nov 13, 2007 4:14 pm

Latest: convection is on the increase and it seems to have stalled.

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#3 Postby gatorcane » Tue Nov 13, 2007 5:16 pm

000
ABNT20 KNHC 132214
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EST TUE NOV 13 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BROWN
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#4 Postby Cyclone1 » Tue Nov 13, 2007 7:44 pm

Just you average late season ITCZ flare, nothing to ignore though. If it can hang out for a while without moving inland, then it may have a chance.
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Re:

#5 Postby Gustywind » Tue Nov 13, 2007 10:45 pm

Cyclone1 wrote:Just you average late season ITCZ flare, nothing to ignore though. If it can hang out for a while without moving inland, then it may have a chance.


Absolutely :) but we have time....if necessary :wink:
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Re: New Development in SW Caribbean?

#6 Postby Sanibel » Tue Nov 13, 2007 11:20 pm

Look at the WV. Even if it did develop there's a steel lid of a High pressure regime above it.
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#7 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Nov 13, 2007 11:26 pm

Interestingly at the end of 2003 we saw a similar pattern in this general area. A lot of scattered convection developed before evolving into Odette and moving NEward. In this case everything is moving westward and limiting development.
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Re: New Development in SW Caribbean?

#8 Postby Sanibel » Wed Nov 14, 2007 9:53 am

Crossed over to EPAC.
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