
000
FXUS62 KTBW 101848
AFDTBW
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
200 PM EST THU NOV 10 2005
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-SAT)...WV SAT IMAGERY SHOWING UPPER TROF
DEEPENING OVER EASTERN SEABOARD INTO THE DEEP SOUTH WITH ABUNDANT
DRY AIR OVER THE FL PENINSULA AND SE GULF. SFC COLD FRONT SLOWLY
SINKING ALONG THE GULF COAST REGION JUST INTO NW FL ATTM. VERY
LIMITED MOISTURE ONLY PRODUCING NARROW BAND OF CLOUDS ALONG FRONT
WHILE RADARS ARE QUITE AROUND THE STATE.
UPPER TROF TO DEEPEN FURTHER AS IT SLIDES E INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
TONIGHT/FRI PUSHING COLD FRONT OVER THE FL PENINSULA USING IN A DRIER
AND COOLER AIRMASS. UPPER RIDGING FROM THE GULF TO THE GREAT LAKES TO
QUICKLY MOVE EASTWARD FRI/SAT WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO
THE REGION. TEMPS TO ONLY FALL TO AROUND CLIMO INTO THE WEEKEND...BUT
DRIER DEWPOINTS WILL HELP TEMPS TO FEEL COOLER THAN LAST FEW DAYS.
&&
.LONG TERM (SAT NIGHT-THU)...RIDGING ALOFT OVER THE STATE SHIFTS EAST
THROUGH TUESDAY AS A LIFTING TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE EASTERN US
WEDNESDAY. ZONAL FLOW ALOFT OVER THE STATE THEN PREVAILS THROUGH
THURSDAY. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE TO THE NORTH OF THE
AREA GRADUALLY SHIFTS EAST THROUGH TUESDAY AS ANOTHER WEAKENING FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE NW. THIS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE WEDNESDAY...
DISSIPATING OVER SOUTH FL BY WED EVENING. DO NOT EXPECT ANY RAIN
AGAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM AS ALL THE ENERGY WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE
AREA AND MOISTURE WILL BE DIMINISHING AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE STATE.
HIGH PRESSURE RAPIDLY BUILDS INTO THE DEEP SOUTH AGAIN BEHIND THE
FRONT FOR THURSDAY BRINGING DRIER AIR OVER THE AREA WITH IT. TEMPS TO
GRADUALLY WARM TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND
THEN COOL TO NEAR NORMAL AFTER THE FRONT PASSES WED NIGHT/THURSDAY.