Texas Winter 2022-2023

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Iceresistance
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Texas Winter 2022-2023

#1 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Aug 03, 2022 3:56 pm

Surprised that no one has done this yet, but I’ll start it now in August.

I’m personally thinking that there is a higher than normal risk of a very mild winter for the Southern Plains, despite the Farmers almanac saying a incredibly nasty winter is possible for the Central and parts of the Southern Plains.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

Also many Oklahoma Supercells

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

My posts are NOT Endorsed by S2K, NHC or SPC, please look up the SPC, NHC & NWS for more info.

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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TXdaddy217
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#2 Postby TXdaddy217 » Thu Aug 04, 2022 4:12 am

Thank you for starting this thread. I am so done with 100 degree days. Hopefully we can all get a little something of winter joy throughout the state. :cold:
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I am not a meteorologist. Anything posted by me should not be taken as an official forecast. Get your information from respected sources such as NWS and NOAA. I get my weather information the same way Hank Hill does ..... I look out the window and say ... "YUP".

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#3 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Aug 05, 2022 7:47 pm

TXdaddy217 wrote:Thank you for starting this thread. I am so done with 100 degree days. Hopefully we can all get a little something of winter joy throughout the state. :cold:

I know! I am too! But perhaps we need to wait a few more months before this can get going.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

Also many Oklahoma Supercells

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

My posts are NOT Endorsed by S2K, NHC or SPC, please look up the SPC, NHC & NWS for more info.

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#4 Postby Itryatgolf » Wed Aug 10, 2022 5:19 pm

Last winter we was fortunate to have a east based niña and that allowed for a better pacific than anticipated. This winter may not be as fortunate. However, I've heard that a +qbo correlates with higher sunspot activity, hence usually leading to more blocking and -qbo correlates with lower sunspot activity. I'm thinking December may be our best opportunity at winter weather. A little different than last winter
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#5 Postby Itryatgolf » Sun Aug 14, 2022 7:54 am

Ben knoll, who is supposed to be well respected in the weather community, says the euro and ukmet seasonal is harping on -nao for early half of winter. That is the August update. We don't have triple niñas very often so it's difficult to really know how they pan out.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#6 Postby Itryatgolf » Sun Aug 14, 2022 7:58 am

Iceresistance wrote:Surprised that no one has done this yet, but I’ll start it now in August.

I’m personally thinking that there is a higher than normal risk of a very mild winter for the Southern Plains, despite the Farmers almanac saying a incredibly nasty winter is possible for the Central and parts of the Southern Plains.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.

Don't forget the old farmers almanac, which is even snowier lol
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#7 Postby Iceresistance » Sun Aug 14, 2022 2:44 pm

Itryatgolf wrote:
Iceresistance wrote:Surprised that no one has done this yet, but I’ll start it now in August.

I’m personally thinking that there is a higher than normal risk of a very mild winter for the Southern Plains, despite the Farmers almanac saying a incredibly nasty winter is possible for the Central and parts of the Southern Plains.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.

Don't forget the old farmers almanac, which is even snowier lol


Oh goodness! It's either a huge verification or bust!

Itryatgolf wrote:Ben knoll, who is supposed to be well respected in the weather community, says the euro and ukmet seasonal is harping on -nao for early half of winter. That is the August update. We don't have triple niñas very often so it's difficult to really know how they pan out.


BenNollWeather (AKA, the CEO of Snow) also has this.

 https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1558845907327561730


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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

Also many Oklahoma Supercells

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

My posts are NOT Endorsed by S2K, NHC or SPC, please look up the SPC, NHC & NWS for more info.

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#8 Postby Cpv17 » Wed Aug 17, 2022 8:42 am

Might be a front loaded winter. December and January look good for now.
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Yukon Cornelius
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#9 Postby Yukon Cornelius » Mon Aug 29, 2022 9:53 am

The other almanac:
Image
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#neversummer


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