Texas Winter 2022-2023

Winter Weather Discussion

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#41 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Nov 24, 2022 11:39 pm

Oh jeez! The 0z GFS has caved to the Euro for Early December and it would be a DISASTER! :eek:
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#42 Postby Cpv17 » Fri Nov 25, 2022 12:13 am

Iceresistance wrote:Oh jeez! The 0z GFS has caved to the Euro for Early December and it would be a DISASTER! :eek:


What’s the AO looking like the next few weeks? I’m thinking this could make the difference between being cold or really cold.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#43 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 28, 2022 4:10 am

Oh boy, a Monsterous -NAO on the Euro Ensembles in December!
Image
https://s1.gifyu.com/images/image.png.2dfec2e93599485243255ef847b9647f.png

It's so strong, that it has a SSW with it!
Image
https://s1.gifyu.com/images/Screenshot_20221127-194408_Chrome.jpg.6c2a03900c0eed5d0815f6c02313444b.jpg

Also this
 https://twitter.com/judah47/status/1596942574073262081




I found this from a different forum and shared it here.
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#44 Postby Cpv17 » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:53 am



I still don’t really see a favorable pattern to get the cold down here. The NAO might be favorable but the EPO really isn’t. Ensembles don’t show any lower heights making it this far down south and are even showing higher heights at times especially coming from the SE ridge. Without the favorable EPO, the cold will stay up north.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#45 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 28, 2022 9:23 am

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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

Also many Oklahoma Supercells

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#46 Postby wxman57 » Mon Nov 28, 2022 9:37 am

I'm liking the warming trend in the models over the next couple of weeks. Maybe even low 80s for this weekend. I also remember the unseasonably warm weather we had the week before the big Christmas freeze events of 1983 and 1989. More work on my wall was completed over the weekend. Latest models reflect the barrier.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#47 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:13 pm

Once there is a Strong -NAO in December, it usually stays that way until possibly January and/or February.

 https://twitter.com/RaleighWx/status/1597257635484815360


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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#48 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 28, 2022 8:19 pm

The trend is our friend with the NAO . . .
 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1597361500406321152




. . . and it could be a big one!
 https://twitter.com/BenNollWeather/status/1597292349612503040


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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

Also many Oklahoma Supercells

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#49 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 29, 2022 9:41 am

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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

Also many Oklahoma Supercells

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#50 Postby Iceresistance » Tue Nov 29, 2022 6:46 pm

Normally this is by the GFS, but the Euro is showing this?

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1597708305698238464


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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

Also many Oklahoma Supercells

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

My posts are NOT Endorsed by S2K, NHC or SPC, please look up the SPC, NHC & NWS for more info.

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#51 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 30, 2022 8:41 am

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

Also many Oklahoma Supercells

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

My posts are NOT Endorsed by S2K, NHC or SPC, please look up the SPC, NHC & NWS for more info.

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#52 Postby SnowintheFalls » Wed Nov 30, 2022 12:18 pm



What effect would this have on the southern states?
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#53 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Wed Nov 30, 2022 2:59 pm

It's the most wonderful time of the year. This thread kicks off tomorrow.

I can't wait for weeks 2-4 of December. Eat poop warm weather! :D
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I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#54 Postby TropicalTundra » Wed Nov 30, 2022 3:29 pm

ThunderSleetDreams wrote:It's the most wonderful time of the year. This thread kicks off tomorrow.

I can't wait for weeks 2-4 of December. Eat poop warm weather! :D


Personally I like a few warm days during winter especially after a really cold period. Non-stop cold rain is not my thing and this November was a good example.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#55 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Wed Nov 30, 2022 4:51 pm

TropicalTundra wrote:
ThunderSleetDreams wrote:It's the most wonderful time of the year. This thread kicks off tomorrow.

I can't wait for weeks 2-4 of December. Eat poop warm weather! :D


Personally I like a few warm days during winter especially after a really cold period. Non-stop cold rain is not my thing and this November was a good example.



As long as "above 60" is warm to you, I'm okay with that. Above 75 is HOT.
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I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#56 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 30, 2022 5:26 pm

SnowintheFalls wrote:


What effect would this have on the southern states?

We would be on the southern fringe, maybe near where the Subtropical Jet and the Polar Jet met up.

If it's the next 7-10 days, then we would get mostly rain.
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

Also many Oklahoma Supercells

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

My posts are NOT Endorsed by S2K, NHC or SPC, please look up the SPC, NHC & NWS for more info.

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#57 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Nov 30, 2022 5:38 pm

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

Also many Oklahoma Supercells

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

My posts are NOT Endorsed by S2K, NHC or SPC, please look up the SPC, NHC & NWS for more info.

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#58 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Nov 30, 2022 8:54 pm

I hate trying to decipher map colors.

It looks like that Euro snow map has below normal snow for OK and N Texas. Heck; over most areas.

That seems odd.
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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#59 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Wed Nov 30, 2022 9:11 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:I hate trying to decipher map colors.

It looks like that Euro snow map has below normal snow for OK and N Texas. Heck; over most areas.

That seems odd.


Those brown colors are 1-4 inches. The color code is tied to millimeters on that chart.
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I hibernate when it gets above 75 degrees!

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Re: Texas Winter 2022-2023

#60 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Nov 30, 2022 10:00 pm

Probably need to wait until beyond Dec 10 or maybe even mid-month before things really get interesting for the Southern Plains.
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