Ntxw wrote:txtwister78 wrote:ThunderSleetDreams wrote:GFS dropping the hammer 4 days from Christmas…. Let’s see how this ends
Yeah I think if you've got all that arctic air, it's coming south much faster than what it depicts on this run. This is that typical model feedback issue with the Rockies where it dams the air up and "holds" it on the model.
Regardless it looks very Euroish though so at least we're starting to see some alignment (at least on this run).
This is why it's so valuable at this lead time to put weight on the ensembles. The OPs do their dance but eventually they will converge towards the ENS.
Agree 100%. I've been on that same train this far out but you can definitely see where this is going.