Texas Winter 2025-2026

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Texas Snowman
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Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1 Postby Texas Snowman » Fri Oct 10, 2025 10:03 pm

Since it’s officially fall, winter called and said it’s got the next game on the calendar.

The Texas Winter 2025-2026 thread is now in the on-deck circle.

May it be unusually cold and snowy from the Red River to the Rio Grande! :D

:cold: :froze:
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#2 Postby Stratton23 » Wed Oct 15, 2025 3:52 pm

Probably an up and down winter, with periods of - EPO blocking and texas gets really cold, and obviously you’re warm spells, QBO is east waited this season, so a - PNA looks to be a big player this winter, also could try to see a + TNH develop in the winter months, lots of ways this winter could play out
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#3 Postby Ralph's Weather » Thu Oct 16, 2025 9:21 am

I expect near normal winter temps interspersed with significant Arctic blasts. Overall dry but with wet spells when the PNA trends more neutral. Hopefully we can get a couple -EPO/=PNA pairings through the winter. 
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#4 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Oct 25, 2025 1:34 pm

QBO looks to be going easterly for the winter, that favors more high latitude blocking ( - EPO) for our upcoming winter but also an increased chance of a Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event occuring as its also a - QBO which favors a weakened polar vortex, think we may have a chance at seeing a colder than normal winter down here
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#5 Postby Wthrfan » Wed Oct 29, 2025 1:07 pm

First lows in the 30s tonight for OKC. Here’s to hoping those of us who like a little winter weather will be happy in the coming months.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#6 Postby Stratton23 » Wed Oct 29, 2025 1:46 pm

MJO rotation looks to be going into 8/1 and 2 in early december, with a - QBO and now the euro weeklies indicating a weaker than normal polar vortex, i wouldn’t be surprised to see winter get off to a fast start this season
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#7 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Nov 01, 2025 2:03 pm

Larry Cosgrove just released his winter outlook, and its a very interesting one
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#8 Postby vbhoutex » Sat Nov 01, 2025 2:14 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Larry Cosgrove just released his winter outlook, and its a very interesting one

Larry is one of the best!! It is definitely interesting. I need to take a deeper look at it to be sure of the details.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#9 Postby vbhoutex » Sat Nov 01, 2025 2:18 pm

Wthrfan wrote:First lows in the 30s tonight for OKC. Here’s to hoping those of us who like a little winter weather will be happy in the coming months.

Here in Houston we had a 43f low 2 days ago. I don't mind, in fact like a little bit of Winter weather, so this is a good start, but we don't need too much of it here int the "tropics"!
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#10 Postby Iceresistance » Mon Nov 03, 2025 12:32 pm

Wthrfan wrote:First lows in the 30s tonight for OKC. Here’s to hoping those of us who like a little winter weather will be happy in the coming months.

I fell to 32 two nights ago, that was my first freeze of winter
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Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#11 Postby Wthrfan » Tue Nov 04, 2025 5:01 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Larry Cosgrove just released his winter outlook, and its a very interesting one


Just read through it. If he is right, mild through December, a cold January for most of Texas and Oklahoma and a cold February for Oklahoma extending into North Texas and continued colder than normal weather through March extending further south just about all the way to the Gulf.

Potential snowfall predictions for the season:

OKC-13"
Dallas-6"
Houston-3"
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#12 Postby Stratton23 » Thu Nov 06, 2025 1:08 am

Euro seasonal run which came out on NOV 1 looks very cold for december as a whole based on its 500 mb height configuration , even has a cold January and February as well, interesting
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