Texas Winter 2025-2026

Winter Weather Discussion

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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#101 Postby Stratton23 » Thu Nov 20, 2025 6:41 pm

Cpv17 yup, also the GEFS continues to trend colder , wouldn’t be shocked to see a winter storm signal grow on the models for texas as well
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#102 Postby Cpv17 » Thu Nov 20, 2025 7:00 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Cpv17 yup, also the GEFS continues to trend colder , wouldn’t be shocked to see a winter storm signal grow on the models for texas as well


Sounds good. We definitely deserve some exciting weather around SE TX. This weather has been straight cheeks going on 3 months now. We can’t even get any rain down here.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#103 Postby Golfisnoteasy75 » Thu Nov 20, 2025 7:09 pm

Stratton23 wrote:Cpv17 yup, also the GEFS continues to trend colder , wouldn’t be shocked to see a winter storm signal grow on the models for texas as well


Im ready for some action. Its still mid-end of November.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#104 Postby Iceresistance » Thu Nov 20, 2025 7:14 pm

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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#105 Postby Stratton23 » Thu Nov 20, 2025 7:24 pm

Im officially intrigued now, pretty impressive GEFS signal for wintry mischief along with the arctic cold
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#106 Postby Cpv17 » Thu Nov 20, 2025 7:48 pm

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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#107 Postby Ntxw » Thu Nov 20, 2025 9:00 pm

I wouldn't worry too much about the long range model noise. The analogs and trends favor cold from the high plains to the southern plains. Some op runs will be too progressive, others holds back too much. Ridging on and off the western North American coast is favorable
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#108 Postby Stratton23 » Thu Nov 20, 2025 9:14 pm

Ntxw good points, its easy to get caught up in the OP runs, and i definitely still do lol , the ensembles are still the best guidance to go with at this range, though it is nice to see a wet signal showing up on the ensembles, dont want it to be too cold because that could really suppress things
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