What might happen in NC Dec 19th and 20th

Winter Weather Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
storms NC
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 247
Age: 69
Joined: Tue Sep 14, 2004 2:41 pm
Location: Coast of NC & southwest coast of Fla

What might happen in NC Dec 19th and 20th

#1 Postby storms NC » Wed Dec 15, 2004 10:32 am

watch it rain or nothing.I would just like to see another 1989 christmas. :?:





(SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
SATURDAY...MID LEVEL TROUGH TO SWING ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY. MODEL
TRENDS INDICATE COASTAL DEVELOPMENT FAR ENOUGH OFF SHORE WHICH WILL
RESULT IN LITTLE AFFECT ON WEATHER OVER CWA.
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...FORECAST BECOMES A BIT
TRICKY...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. ECMWF HAS BEEN CONSISTENT
PAST SEVERAL RUNS ON A FAIRLY DEEP TROUGH AND STRONG VORT MOVING
ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. ECMWF IS NOT AS
STRONG AS MORE AGGRESSIVE GFS AS IT DEVELOP A CLOSED UPPER LOW AND
VERY POTENT VORT (35 PER SEC) OVER GREAT LAKES AND DROP SOUTHEAST
INTO TENNESSEE VALLEY LATE SUNDAY...MOVING ACROSS AREA SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY. ALSO GFS CONTINUES TO TREND COLDER FOR SUNDAY AND
MONDAY. THICKNESS PROFILES INDICATE INDICATE PTYPE AS SNOW. HOWEVER
THE BIG QUESTION/CONCERN IS WHETHER ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL BE
AVAILABLE AS QPF LOOKS TO BE LIGHT FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. AT
THIS POINT CONFIDENCE IS LOW.
0 likes   

Return to “Winter Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 9 guests