Texas Winter 2025-2026

Winter Weather Discussion

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wxman22
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1061 Postby wxman22 » Wed Dec 24, 2025 2:27 pm

While the 500mb flow will not allow the cold air to settle in too long.I wouldn’t be surprised if we get into the teens here with the quick shot of cold air coming early next week. As the surface high looks to be pretty potent. Similar to a couple of weeks ago.
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1062 Postby Ntxw » Wed Dec 24, 2025 2:39 pm

I do like the Atlantic blocking veering closer to Atlantic Canada in the long range. That will force undercutting of the cold and storms more in our direction vs out into the northeast US. Trough over Japan will help way better in the Pacific.

Wish everyone a happy Christmas Eve!
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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1063 Postby Stratton23 » Wed Dec 24, 2025 2:40 pm

Hope thats the case! Its crazy how christmas is here already and 2026 is just 8 days away! Time sure goes by fast! Happy holidays everyone, and heres to hoping for arctic cold and snow chances in the new year ahead!
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TomballEd
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1064 Postby TomballEd » Wed Dec 24, 2025 4:28 pm

Ntxw wrote:I do like the Atlantic blocking veering closer to Atlantic Canada in the long range. That will force undercutting of the cold and storms more in our direction vs out into the northeast US. Trough over Japan will help way better in the Pacific.

Wish everyone a happy Christmas Eve!


Merry Christmas.


To amuse myself, since I've only been a Texan, is to get enthusiastic for a potential 1 foot snowstorm in NYC, where I was born. Snow in December shouldn't be rare in NYC but it has become rare. Temp profiles in storms up there, NYC is having Baltimore winters and Boston has been having NYC type winters. Its like watching the Cowboys and Texans, one of them should be decent. I spent 25 years after 1981 watching the Cowboys with the Giants as a backup team, one was usually good if the other was bad.

I suspect there will be a hard freeze for most of Texas, it seems to happen more recent cold ENSO winters than not. Hard freeze is a plant killer, not a snow bringer to these parts.
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gpsnowman
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1065 Postby gpsnowman » Wed Dec 24, 2025 5:37 pm

Merry Christmas all!!
Smoking ribs here at Caddo Lake and sweating. Caddo is beautiful in the winter especially when it is cold. Hope everyone gets what they want for Christmas. I want a 2026 blizzard so we will see how that goes.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1066 Postby Brent » Wed Dec 24, 2025 5:39 pm

I wish the winter weather would be this easy and obvious to forecast :lol: :spam: just saying
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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1067 Postby Stratton23 » Wed Dec 24, 2025 6:03 pm

GEFS remains still bullish on winter precipitation breaking out across parts of the state as the shortwave passes through, looks like it would occur behind the frontal passage
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Golfisnoteasy75
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1068 Postby Golfisnoteasy75 » Wed Dec 24, 2025 6:17 pm

If the pacific jet extension is true, the pacific should become more favorable as time goes on for cold and winter weather imo.
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Stratton23
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1069 Postby Stratton23 » Wed Dec 24, 2025 8:33 pm

Very interesting 18z EPS run, i see some similarities showing up comparative to the 2017 december snowfall surprise event
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snownado
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1070 Postby snownado » Wed Dec 24, 2025 9:51 pm

Another record high minimum was set today at DFW (61*F), breaking the previous record of 60*F.

Merry Christmas to all!
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rwfromkansas
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1071 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Dec 24, 2025 9:55 pm

Seeing lots of old photos in my phone memories of the huge snowstorm December 2013. Drove up and was pushing a foot of snow with my car in Kansas. It was bad even for hours in OK. Just a crazy storm.
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Brent
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Re: Texas Winter 2025-2026

#1072 Postby Brent » Wed Dec 24, 2025 10:37 pm

rwfromkansas wrote:Seeing lots of old photos in my phone memories of the huge snowstorm December 2013. Drove up and was pushing a foot of snow with my car in Kansas. It was bad even for hours in OK. Just a crazy storm.


I have pictures of the river frozen over in 2022 here

But since 2021 that's the only Christmas with interesting weather pretty much

Maybe one of these years we'll get a 2013 or 2009 again(the first real blizzard on record here). It must have been something getting back to back blizzards between Christmas 2009 and February 2011(which is the biggest snow on record here) :double: I suppose were paying for that now too :lol:

In fact the only winter 2010-2011 didn't beat here for snowfall is one winter from the 1950s!
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