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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
Yukon Cornelius wrote:I went hunting this afternoon and counted 12 different flocks of geese flying south. This is the first time seeing migration this year. Say what you want but animal behavior usually is a good indicator of things to come.
Brent, can you elaborate if you don’t mind?Brent wrote:Yukon Cornelius wrote:I went hunting this afternoon and counted 12 different flocks of geese flying south. This is the first time seeing migration this year. Say what you want but animal behavior usually is a good indicator of things to come.
Definitely interesting seeing that as another sign from some other stuff I've read today about a pattern change
harp wrote:Brent, can you elaborate if you don’t mind?Brent wrote:Yukon Cornelius wrote:I went hunting this afternoon and counted 12 different flocks of geese flying south. This is the first time seeing migration this year. Say what you want but animal behavior usually is a good indicator of things to come.
Definitely interesting seeing that as another sign from some other stuff I've read today about a pattern change
TropicalTundra wrote:Iceresistance wrote:I'm worried for this coming February, it could be even nastier than this past February.
We have yet to get a freeze in Central & Southern Texas, Snow for the Southern Plains, & the MJO is moving very slowly.
We could have the one cold blast this winter, & it will be really big, potentially rivaling this past February's Cold Wave.
Of course it's only Late December & one can sneak in in January, but the one in February could be huge . . . :eek:
I’m pretty sure the entirety of Central Texas has recorded below 32F this winter. Most of South Texas hasn’t recorded a freezing temp though. Was there not a freeze like 2 weeks ago?
Iceresistance wrote:harp wrote:What makes you think this?Iceresistance wrote:I'm worried for this coming February, it could be even nastier than this past February.
We have yet to get a freeze in Central & Southern Texas, Snow for the Southern Plains, & the MJO is moving very slowly.
We could have the one cold blast this winter, & it will be really big, potentially rivaling this past February's Cold Wave.
Of course it's only Late December & one can sneak in in January, but the one in February could be huge . . . :eek:
We're overdue for Back-to-Back Winters with February Cold Waves (Or Below Normal Temperatures) that happen once in around 20 years.
Here are the Analog years for this: 1935 & 1936, 1954 & 1955, 1977 & 1978, & 1994 & 1995.
Maybe 2021 & 2022?
With the MJO moving slowly, it can allow for certain patterns to sustain itself for an extended period of time, since the MJO is in Phase 7, it's the Arctic Buildup phase, Phases 8-1-2 are the Cold Wave Phases, I'm predicting that the most favorable phases for Cold & Snowy weather will occur between Late January & into February.The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
We've yet to even have a Trace of snow across Oklahoma & Texas this winter, the first snowfall average is December in Oklahoma City & January in DFW.
AustinTXResident wrote:Iceresistance wrote:harp wrote: What makes you think this?
We're overdue for Back-to-Back Winters with February Cold Waves (Or Below Normal Temperatures) that happen once in around 20 years.
Here are the Analog years for this: 1935 & 1936, 1954 & 1955, 1977 & 1978, & 1994 & 1995.
Maybe 2021 & 2022?
With the MJO moving slowly, it can allow for certain patterns to sustain itself for an extended period of time, since the MJO is in Phase 7, it's the Arctic Buildup phase, Phases 8-1-2 are the Cold Wave Phases, I'm predicting that the most favorable phases for Cold & Snowy weather will occur between Late January & into February.The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
We've yet to even have a Trace of snow across Oklahoma & Texas this winter, the first snowfall average is December in Oklahoma City & January in DFW.
Where are you getting this historical information?
)
I havent had a chance to look at many analogs and come up with my biased opinion, but when i do, i will let you guys know, but winter will always show up at some point. It's possible during the transition out of La nina to El nino, which Ntx described in an earlier post. .
Iceresistance wrote:AustinTXResident wrote:Iceresistance wrote:
We're overdue for Back-to-Back Winters with February Cold Waves (Or Below Normal Temperatures) that happen once in around 20 years.
Here are the Analog years for this: 1935 & 1936, 1954 & 1955, 1977 & 1978, & 1994 & 1995.
Maybe 2021 & 2022?
With the MJO moving slowly, it can allow for certain patterns to sustain itself for an extended period of time, since the MJO is in Phase 7, it's the Arctic Buildup phase, Phases 8-1-2 are the Cold Wave Phases, I'm predicting that the most favorable phases for Cold & Snowy weather will occur between Late January & into February.The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the NHC and NWS.
We've yet to even have a Trace of snow across Oklahoma & Texas this winter, the first snowfall average is December in Oklahoma City & January in DFW.
Where are you getting this historical information?
I found the analog years on a different forum, but I've since lost it, but I do remember the years because I saw the years with the analog years. (I remember these numbers & years too well. :lol: )
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Still hope for you Texas folk. The good news is that the pattern changed. As a CO resident, this pattern is perfect for us skiers.
Merry Christmas fellas!
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