Texas Winter 2015-2016

[Ntxw]

39 degrees here this was not forecast this early...

We'll need some help from the ULL and hope to not get dry slotted. Concern would not be the surface temperatures but the temps aloft and precip timing

[JayDT]

38 degrees down here around Duncanville according to Weatherbug.

[Ralph's Weather]

54 and about 4 inches of rain so far. My only shot at flurries is for the surface low to track close to Shreveport.

[Ntxw]

While the rest of us watch in envy, here is some images posted from the NWS Amarillo

Friona, you can see the truck



Amarillo

[TheAustinMan]

500mb low sweeping in over the Big Bend:

[TheProfessor]

Hopefully the turn to the Northeast is delayed and just pushes eastward.

[srainhoutx]

Not so sure envy is a word I would use. Many recues are being attempted as folks ventured out on the roadways in the Panhandle during the 'lull'. Now convective thundersnow is being reported across much of the Midland WFO and moving into the SW area of Lubbock. Roads have 7 to 10 foot drifts. Most if not all roads in SE New Mexico are impassable with many folks trapped in their cars. This may well rival or pass the Christmas 1997 Blizzard for areas from Ruidoso on East to the Caprock.

[Ntxw]

Not so sure envy is a word I would use. Many recues are being attempted as folks ventured out on the roadways in the Panhandle during the 'lull'. Now convective thundersnow is being reported across much of the Midland WFO and moving into the SW area of Lubbock. Roads have 7 to 10 foot drifts. Most if not all roads in SE New Mexico are impassable with many folks trapped in their cars. This may well rival or pass the Christmas 1997 Blizzard for areas from Ruidoso on East to the Caprock.

Oh come on srain, you know we want to put our beloved wxman57 in it. He loves snow !

Hopefully everyone up there stays home and enjoy it rather than be on the road. It certainly gives that 1997 storm a run for it's money.

The guidance are now almost doing a full split of the PV at the lower levels near the troposphere. And with a -EPO/+PNA setting up shop we'll benefit from the -AO SSW event, a lot of cold air will make a straight bee-line down North America the next 4-8 weeks.

[SouthernMet]

Conditions are very favorable for hail right now. We just had penny size hail in NRH/Keller area, and a trained spotter reported golf ball size hail near the northeast mall.

[TheProfessor]

Not so sure envy is a word I would use. Many recues are being attempted as folks ventured out on the roadways in the Panhandle during the 'lull'. Now convective thundersnow is being reported across much of the Midland WFO and moving into the SW area of Lubbock. Roads have 7 to 10 foot drifts. Most if not all roads in SE New Mexico are impassable with many folks trapped in their cars. This may well rival or pass the Christmas 1997 Blizzard for areas from Ruidoso on East to the Caprock.

Oh come on srain, you know we want to put our beloved wxman57 in it. He loves snow !

Hopefully everyone up there stays home and enjoy it rather than be on the road. It certainly gives that 1997 storm a run for it's money.

The guidance are now almost doing a full split of the PV at the lower levels near the troposphere. And with a -EPO/+PNA setting up shop we'll benefit from the -AO SSW event, a lot of cold air will make a straight bee-line down North America the next 4-8 weeks.

So you're saying I might need my new Canadian Coat when i go back to Ohio after all?

[Ntxw]

So you're saying I might need my new Canadian Coat when i go back to Ohio after all?

Yes sir, with the -EPO that is a good signal for the Lakes and midwest for cold dumps. It won't erase the December ridiculous anomalies for the winter but it will be colder than the period we are leaving behind.

[aggiecutter]

Major flooding once again on the Red River in NE Texas. River levels are predicted to rivals those of last spring's flood this week:

[Jarodm12]

light snow being reported in Gainesville

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... oBWrPkrK1t

[TheProfessor]

Down to 37 at Roanoke Elementary, If you have a smart phone, Apple or Android, I would download the app called my radar, it's really cool you can get severe alerts like a NOAA Weather Radio with it and it has an animated temperature map and you can see that the freezing line is starting to move a bit faster now.

[JayDT]

I might be wrong but to me it looks like the 18z NAM is trending a little further south & east?

[aggiecutter]

The Tornado threat in NE Texas is becoming serious:

[JDawg512]

Down to 37 at Roanoke Elementary, If you have a smart phone, Apple or Android, I would download the app called my radar, it's really cool you can get severe alerts like a NOAA Weather Radio with it and it has an animated temperature map and you can see that the freezing line is starting to move a bit faster now.

I have that app. It's a good app to have for sure.

[SouthernMet]

Not trying to sound the alarms, but I think we may have a window of opportunity for snow, atleast west of a Denton, Fort Worth, Granbury line, after midnight - 6am, possibly lingering until 9am, depending on the exact track/speed.

Edit : 18z NAM shifts snow on east onto DFW.






When the system moves over us, just like we saw earlier in Del Rio, tx and just like we saw on christmas eve, the column will cool enough for snow to reach the surface. We are going to need to watch for wet bulbing and dynamic cooling tonight, starting at 10pm for western counties.

[aggiecutter]

Confirmed Tornado damage in Dekalb, Texas per NBC 6 in Shreveport.

[TheProfessor]

That's the first time the NAM has had snow reaching Denton County