Texas Winter 2023-2024

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Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1401 Postby Iceresistance » Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:05 pm

Brent wrote:Our met just posted below zero temps possible :froze:

There better be snow on the ground if we're doing that

TWC has the same thing too for this coming weekend
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1402 Postby Itryatgolf » Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:08 pm

Ntxw wrote:
rwfromkansas wrote:So the GFS sends the HP to the other side of the globe? Hopefully other models don’t do that, but it is an outlier.


GFS is a progressive model. It's already sending a chunk of the PV out into the Atlantic where the cold air is washed out.

We can never discount it, but don't make sense with overall pattern progression imo
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1403 Postby Stratton23 » Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:16 pm

The GFS will correct towards the CMC, ICON and Euro solutions, the GFS has a notorious progressive bias in which it tries ro shove everything out so fast
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1404 Postby vbhoutex » Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:25 pm

Iceresistance wrote:I just saw this Tweet from TheProfessor, he is going to Guam

https://twitter.com/IngyBall/status/1743479761857319202

Wow!! Congratulations on the new assignment!! It should provide you with a lot of new tropical experience to say the least.
I'm so happy we will have Guam based met now. Please don't forget about us!!
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1405 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:29 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:
orangeblood wrote:
Ntxw wrote:https://i.imgur.com/BUFtyMz.png

The run doesn't go beyond this but the cold is still pressing.


And that’s without snow cover. Get any of that and this is Feb 2021 territory. Send out the ERCOT Prep Alert!!!!


ERCOT already said there will likely be rolling outages if we see an event like February 2021. There is only so much preparation they can do. If it's extremely cold with no sun and frozen precip, we're gonna have major issues.



It will be better than 2021 but yeah they will hedge with that statement. The Nat Gas substations that were down for PM in 2021 won’t happen again. They moved the PM schedules.

And LOL, at the Green Feudalism movement. We will look back in a decade possibly, but certainly 2 decades, and realize how silly we were with the renewables conversation as a base load for generation…. And not only as generation but from a NatSec perspective as well. The issue is people politicians have made it a political dichotomy instead of solving this easy issue.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1406 Postby ThunderSleetDreams » Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:33 pm

Someone mentioned Srain…. I miss his frequent winter posts and pragmatic takes.

I know he’s loving life in the Blue Ridge. No need to check in with us winter weather degenerates! ;)
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1407 Postby Texas Snow » Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:35 pm

Based on what I’ve seen and what’s been posted here, I think some are jumping the gun with all the ‘21 talk and massive power grid failures.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1408 Postby bubba hotep » Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:51 pm

12z Euro EPS trended colder again. I would say 4-7 days below freezing at DFW are in the cards. Taken verbatim, it shows 7 straight freezes at DFW but does appear to have significant cold risk during that timeframe.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.

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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1409 Postby Brent » Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:52 pm

Tulsa already has wind chills to -10 mentioned :cold:

Also saying a major winter storm can't be ruled out
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1410 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Jan 06, 2024 4:01 pm

Itryatgolf wrote:
Ntxw wrote:https://i.imgur.com/BUFtyMz.png

The run doesn't go beyond this but the cold is still pressing.


I hope we can score a winter storm in this upcoming pattern if it's going to be cold


I mean, I’m sure you’ll get one where you live.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1411 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Jan 06, 2024 4:13 pm

Oh great, now I’m seeing all the people along the EC on Twitter mentioning how good of a pattern this looks for them with wintry weather :roll:
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1412 Postby CaptinCrunch » Sat Jan 06, 2024 4:22 pm

Cpv17 wrote:Oh great, now I’m seeing all the people along the EC on Twitter mentioning how good of a pattern this looks for them with wintry weather :roll:


EC and NE are getting snow now from our last system. Frz rain in Baltimore for the game. The system that will come through Monday will also bring snow the that part of the country by mid week and again the week after. They have had very little in snow so far this season.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1413 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Jan 06, 2024 4:31 pm

CaptinCrunch wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:Oh great, now I’m seeing all the people along the EC on Twitter mentioning how good of a pattern this looks for them with wintry weather :roll:


EC and NE are getting snow now from our last system. Frz rain in Baltimore for the game. The system that will come through Monday will also bring snow the that part of the country by mid week and again the week after. They have had very little in snow so far this season.


Yeah but I was referring more towards the SE. Some chatter going on now saying after mid month the SE could get a big winter storm. That would definitely suck if they get something and we don’t.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1414 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Jan 06, 2024 4:40 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
CaptinCrunch wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:Oh great, now I’m seeing all the people along the EC on Twitter mentioning how good of a pattern this looks for them with wintry weather :roll:


EC and NE are getting snow now from our last system. Frz rain in Baltimore for the game. The system that will come through Monday will also bring snow the that part of the country by mid week and again the week after. They have had very little in snow so far this season.


Yeah but I was referring more towards the SE. Some chatter going on now saying after mid month the SE could get a big winter storm. That would definitely suck if they get something and we don’t.

They can only after we do.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1415 Postby gpsnowman » Sat Jan 06, 2024 4:41 pm

CaptinCrunch wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:Oh great, now I’m seeing all the people along the EC on Twitter mentioning how good of a pattern this looks for them with wintry weather :roll:


EC and NE are getting snow now from our last system. Frz rain in Baltimore for the game. The system that will come through Monday will also bring snow the that part of the country by mid week and again the week after. They have had very little in snow so far this season.

The game at Foxboro tomorrow could be played in a blizzard.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1416 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Jan 06, 2024 4:45 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:
CaptinCrunch wrote:
EC and NE are getting snow now from our last system. Frz rain in Baltimore for the game. The system that will come through Monday will also bring snow the that part of the country by mid week and again the week after. They have had very little in snow so far this season.


Yeah but I was referring more towards the SE. Some chatter going on now saying after mid month the SE could get a big winter storm. That would definitely suck if they get something and we don’t.

They can only after we do.


Haha you would think that’s how it would work but it seems like every storm system just blows up and starts producing once it gets past Texas.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1417 Postby Cpv17 » Sat Jan 06, 2024 4:46 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
CaptinCrunch wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:Oh great, now I’m seeing all the people along the EC on Twitter mentioning how good of a pattern this looks for them with wintry weather :roll:


EC and NE are getting snow now from our last system. Frz rain in Baltimore for the game. The system that will come through Monday will also bring snow the that part of the country by mid week and again the week after. They have had very little in snow so far this season.

The game at Foxboro tomorrow could be played in a blizzard.


If that’s the case, it’ll be worth watching!
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1418 Postby Brent » Sat Jan 06, 2024 4:59 pm

Itryatgolf wrote:
Ntxw wrote:https://i.imgur.com/BUFtyMz.png

The run doesn't go beyond this but the cold is still pressing.


I hope we can score a winter storm in this upcoming pattern if it's going to be cold


I don't think we have to worry here tbh. I know I was kind of ranting earlier but the first winter I was here all the snow was in February anyway in one storm :lol: all January had was flakes. I am a little concerned next week could be suppressed but we'll just have to see
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1419 Postby WacoWx » Sat Jan 06, 2024 5:07 pm

iPhone weather app with a low of 10 in Dallas next weekend. Wrap ya pipes.
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Re: Texas Winter 2023-2024

#1420 Postby CaptinCrunch » Sat Jan 06, 2024 5:09 pm

gpsnowman wrote:
CaptinCrunch wrote:
Cpv17 wrote:Oh great, now I’m seeing all the people along the EC on Twitter mentioning how good of a pattern this looks for them with wintry weather :roll:


EC and NE are getting snow now from our last system. Frz rain in Baltimore for the game. The system that will come through Monday will also bring snow the that part of the country by mid week and again the week after. They have had very little in snow so far this season.

The game at Foxboro tomorrow could be played in a blizzard.


Eagles Giants game may also be played in the snow.
Green Bay will just be cold in the 30s.

Wildcard games will interesting to say the least
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