The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or 
TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Just caught up driving all day to SA and back. You guys need to reeeaaally stay calm with the precip maps. Heck, models couldnt get the last storm right till 36 hours out. Lets just be happy we see the pattern looking favorable at the time. Ive seen them disappear even at this stage so still a bit nervous.
You guys keep mentioning the energy near Hawaii being important, i agree. The 12Z seemed strange to me since the trough was weak but the high to its west was stronger in the W Pac. I thought that was strange.
The Euro seemed to have a strong W Pac high but the trough is weak, like the energy was split. I dont know, again, so far out. Almost too early to breakdown.
The low over Hawaii is a part of the -EPO omega block. Usually is there when you have intense ridging in Alaska. That's how you get the Alaskan ridge to really go off, heat is being pumped via that low east of it, tropics to polar. Intensification of the East Asian Jet to Hawaii. When the low is east near the west coast we torch. When the low is back towards Hawaii you get -EPO.
